Football when a team goes behind

[sportingprofit]

When the team you strongly fancy to win goes behind, you can get alot better odds on them to win.
e.g Birmingham Vs Fulham - Birmingham's odds at start were 1.9 when they went behind they drifted to 6, I got on a 4.

As soon as they equalised there odds dropped to around 2.2, then you lay them.

I also did this in the Man City Vs Arsenal game.

Another example would be Bayern Munich tonight they drifted out as far as 6 when they went behind. Real Madrid the same against Marseille.

The great thing about this system as it does not have to be very succesful as of the odds. It also happens so much.

Example of what happens.
Man City 1-0 Arsenal - Lauren OG 10
Odds begin to drift, out around 4
Put £5 on them - Return = £20

Man City 1-1 Arsenal - Wiltord 48
Arsenal odds come into around 1.8
Lay Arsenal £5 - risk=£9

You make a profit on £11 if Arsenal Win
If they don't you lose nothing.

Man City 1-2 Arsenal - Ljungberg 72
Profit of £11 made .

Here is my betting slip from betfair may help:
Selection Odds Stake Bet Type Profit/loss(£)
Arsenal 3.95 5.00 Back 14.75
Arsenal 1.16 31.25 Lay -5.00
Back Subtotal 14.75
Lay Subtotal -5.00
Market Total 9.75
Commission @ 4.9% 0.48
Net Market Total 9.27

The Games I have currently used this method on are:
Man City Vs Arsenal
Macedonia Vs England
Brimingham Vs Fulham

Rules
1. Must fancy the team that goes behind to win the game.
2. Use the exchanges, you can get better odds and if/when the team equalises you can lay them.
3. Need to be by a computer while the game is been played (Probably the only negative).

[sportingprofit]

There is not really any qualifiers. It is just a team you believe should win. If they go behind get much better odds.

So this weekend the teams I fancy to win are.

NEWCASTLE Vs Bolton - NAP
MAN UTD Vs Arsenal
Wolverhampton Vs CHELSEA
FULHAM Vs Man City
LIVERPOOL Vs Leicester
SPURS Vs Southampton
MIDDLESBROUGH Vs Everton
ASTON VILLA Vs Charlton - Next Best

If any of the teams in block capitals go behind I will be on them to win. If they then equalise or even go ahead after going behind I will lay them as a saver bet (to cover me bets so I'm definately in profit). Should result in Profit.

The amount of teams that go behind then equalise is quite high %age.

Based on last weekend:
Birmingham Vs FULHAM
Man City Vs ASTON VILLA
Arsenal Vs PORTSMOUTH
Everton Vs NEWCASTLE
Chelsea Vs SPURS
BLACKBURN Vs Liverpool

SR=6/10 - 60%

The least fancied team (in capitals and blue) went ahead first in each game, so the team I thought would win at the start I would of backed.
As soon as they equalise I would lay them to the same stake. This covers you no mater what the result.

[sportingprofit]

I think I must of explained it wrong i'll try again.

You need to be by a computer, as you will be betting in running .

You only bet if you think the team that has gone behind will come back and equalise or win.

e.g Newcastle are 1.53(1/2) to win at the start. If they go behind they will most likely equalise and probably go on to win. (When there 1-0 down you can get odds of them to win at around 4(3/1).

If they equalise you you lay them odds usually now about 1.7 (make sure you take a stake so you are in profit).

So you have now backed them:
£5 to win (score is Newcastle 0-1 Bolton) odds equal = 3(2/1) Winnings = £15
If Newcastle equalise (score is 1-1) you lay them:
£5 to lose odds around 1.7 (8/11)

Now if Newcastle win you win £6.50.
If the don't win you win nothing but also lose nothing.