Merlin Footy Bets (Thread 2)

[Merlin]

Better start a new thread I think…with the other gone to 6 pages…


For Wednesday footy bet, I am gonna stay in Wales, and go non-league , to boot...:yikes:

Newport County host Maidenhead – and this ought to be a home win for the Exiles…

Newport are expecting a good goal tally this year with a decent looking attacking line-up. They have a newish defence set-up, including the keeper…and they did well to hold Bishops Stortford (away) to a bore-draw last weekend.

Meanwhile, Maidenhead lost 1-0 at home to Fisher, albeit losing in the 89th minute…the reports suggest there was sloppy defending throughout and their manager typified it by calling them ¨Sunday Morning Defenders¨…

They wont relish crossing the Severn Bridge Wednesday night – that’s for sure – and to make it worse they have to pay the bridge toll on the way in…..:laugh

Just quickly…..They have 5 head-to-heads…

NEWPORT WON 4 OF THEM (3 AT HOME AND 1 AWAY)
1 DRAW AT MAIDENHEAD

1.83 is widely available, and everything looks set for a NEWPORT WIN…

NEWPORT COUNTY V MAIDENHEAD

HOME WIN @ 1.83

5 POINTS
..............................................

Stats
.........
August 07
+ 32.74 Points

[Merlin]

Probably another bet for Wednesday evening…..in the Brazilian League…but I will wait on reading the papers in the morning……..will be Midnight + kick-off time..UK time…

[Skittle]

Fair bit of diversity there Merlin. I was thinking of keeping it simple and going for Man City @ 1.64 ish.

Thought I might have been in for 5 points when Raith went to extra time with 10 men but it wasn't to be.

[Merlin]

I looked at that Man City game...and thought it could be a draw..but passed it over, as I did with the Premier games Wednesday - they look tricky to me...:yikes:.......

Good luck, Man City may win...but 1.64 is short to my mind....Derby are no pushovers, they are hard to beat..and I do fancy them to stay in the Premiership...:yikes:

Unlucky with the Raith prediction...see the other * Merlin* had full points......think I get 2 points for the away goal scored....

[monty]

The Man City price is far to short for me as well. I think the club and fans have high expectations this season, but you can never underestimate the new boys? They will always want to prove themselves to everyone just to show they are worthy of being in the Premiership.

The early kick off between Spartak Moscow v’s Celtic appeals to me more. I think Celtic will find this a very hard match, and they will be lucky to come away with anything from this game. Celtic has had a great record at home while playing in Europe, but their away form has been dire.

I’ve not had a Monty bet for a while so here one today

Spartak Moscow to win (1.94) @ Betfair

[Merlin]

WAHOO...WE GOT A monty bet...

see other thread...

[Mug OUFC]

Never trust man city

[Skittle]

With the Rangers game last night, I was feeling more and more confident about it as kick off drew nearer and so it proved, albeit only just. With the Man City game I have the opposite feeling and I will be passing on that game now.

[Merlin]

:yikes: ….hope we talked you of a losing bet…S.. :laugh

[Skittle]

It was certainly part of my thinking, ta.

Just layed Toulouse @ 5.8.

[Merlin]

[QUOTE=Merlin;431946]
NEWPORT COUNTY V MAIDENHEAD

HOME WIN @ 1.83

Half-time

1-1

[Merlin]

BET LOST.....
Newport 1 Maidenhead 1 FT att - 1159
Newport 1 Maidenhead 1 HT
Newport 1 Maidenhead 1 Williams 42
Newport 1 Maidenhead 0 Bowen 28
....................................................

………………………………………………

BET TONIGHT IN BRAZILIAN SERIE A

BOTAFOGO V CORINTHIANS

HOME WIN @ 1.70

4 POINTS

[Merlin]

This game kicks-off in 45 minutes....its been tanked a bit on Betfiar...and is now into 1.58 – 1.60……ish….

The best fixed odds bookie is STAN JAMES @ 1.62…….

Fingers crossed…

[Merlin]

Losing bet...

FINAL SOCRE

BOTAFOGO 2 – 3 CORINTHIANS....

Doh.......at 8.30pm last night we had a thunderstorm which knocked out our electricity supply….everything was restored within an hour – bar the internet connection……..it has now come....22 hours later…..

I now have tons to catch up on (as all my income is gained either directly or indirectly… one way or another on-line)…

I just see I missed out on a winning footy bet tonight….as I mentioned on another thread the other day , I was planning to bet Cambridge @ 2.80….they beat Oxford 2-1…..(sorry Caged…:laugh)……..that would have been a 6 point bet – and recovered yesterdays losses……

I guess I am pissed off right now…..:laugh

[Merlin]

Stats
.........
August 07
+ 23.74 Points
...................
(*5)............

[Merlin]

The Emerald Isle is gonna host my Friday Footy Betting – and I will need a good dose of Irish good fortune to come away a winner, to boot. (you will see why when you see my bets :laugh)

However, it is the 3rd round of the FAI Cup and I am hoping for at least 1 prima facie shock.

I will be having 3 bets – here they are:

Bray v St Patricks

Along with Cork City , St Pats are one of my favourite teams in Ireland, and for a while they led the premier division. Not sure whats happened to them… (there are rumours of player unease – what the issue are… I don’t know) .

They are clearly on a downward curve at the mo…Not only have they lost their title aspirations, but got stuffed in a European game too…….Mind you, Bray are not the most consistent of teams – but they have a couple of players coming back, most notably; Colm Tresson – and @ 5/2 are worth a tickle…
......................................................................................................................................

Limerick 37 v Douglas Hall

This tie is First Division v non-league……and naturally the league side; Limerick are favourites, and home , too.

But they play DOUGLAS HALL who are one of , if not the biggest non-league side in Cork, and they have a good tradition of doing well in this Cup. In actual fact , in the last round they beat a very good Cobh Ramblers side (Cobh are top of the 1st Divsion, currently).

7/1 is available, but when Betfair wakes up Friday afternoon, they may go to twice that…..
.........................................................................................................................................................

Cork v Kilkenny

The last game with a very small interest is the Cork v Kilkenny game.

Now Kilkenny are the whipping boys of Irish league soccer, they have only won 3 games all season (from 24) and are not surprisingly propping up the 1st Division.

However, even though Cork should win this game standing on their heads…..@ 1/5 is a no.no.no.no.no.no.no. Bet….

Since losing Roy O’Donovan , Cork have really struggled to score goals….and they could easily get done with a solitary goal here….

Last time out, Kilkenny beat Limerick 2-0 , and this may have put the fire in their belly…
............................................................................................................................................

BETS
……..

Bray v St Patricks
HOME WIN @ 5/2 = 4 POINTS

Limerick 37 v Douglas Hall
AWAY WIN @ 7/1 = 1 POINTS
............................................
Cork v Kilkenny
AWAY WIN @ 11/1 = 1 POINT

PLEASE NOTE - THERE IS A BET CHANGE HERE.....I WILL BE LAYING CORK (around 1.28) FOR 1 POINT and NOT betting Kilkenny...
..........................................

6 POINTS STAKED

PS: Will wait for Betfair to get a bigger price on DOUGLAS HALL…

Good Luck if you play…

[Skittle]

Sounds like the thunderstorm might have got to you with bets like those. Not your usual style is it ?

[Merlin]

I do think BRAY will win…S…..

Of course the other 2 are hoping for shocks…but they do have a squeak…..

CORK have been beaten at odds-on a few time already this summer……(I know, it cost me once)…:laugh…and as I said about Douglas Hall…they are non-league Cup specialists…..well kind of…:laugh

Don’t think its much to risk…the possible returns are good…it’s a long season…and if I aint in front come March…I will drive your Hackney for you ……nude ….:laugh

[Merlin]

Actually...Skittle.....your comment made me re-examine these bets....I am going to change my mind on one of them...

So instead of BETTING 1 POINT on KILKENNY...I will lay CORK to 1 Point....hopefully at around 1.28 ish.....

[Skittle]

I hope you are in front come March..................I'm looking out of the window now, and my poor cab is shaking at the thought. Scared to go to bed now, I can feel a nightmare coming on.

[Merlin]

:laugh

[Merlin]

OK..

Got BRAY @ 4.00
DOUGLAS HALL @ 7.00
LAYED CORK @ 1.25

[Merlin]

SATURDAY FOOTY BETS
..........................................

Raith v Alloa
Home win @ 1.50
8 POINTS

Leeds V Southend
Home win @ 1.89
4 POINTS

[monty]

Hi Merlin

I think Raith Rovers will win as well, but I'm not going to be touching it. In the past I've posted previews when Alloa Athletic are one of the teams involved. I never seem to have much luck in any of my bets when this team is included. I also had a big loss in this same fixture last year which ended 0-0, but best of luck mate, I hope you have better luck than I did.

[Merlin]

Glad you fancy them , too...mate....they have started will....hope history doesnt repeat itslf though...:laugh

[paul183195]

gotta ask ya merlin.....dont you ever sleep :). i was on here early this morning about 5.30 and there you was :laugh

[Merlin]

Most of my working life is online.....and I work from home…essentially……:yikes:…..

[Mug OUFC]

I suspect "work" is a strong word in this context :D :wink

[mathare]

I suspect "work" is a strong word in this context :D :winkI bet most things Merlin does involving the internet are four-letter words beginning with 'w' and ending in 'k' though :wink

[paul183195]

:laugh:laugh:laugh:laugh

[Merlin]

All footy bets down tonight....

BRAY 1 – 2 ST PATS
CORK 5 – 1 KILKENNY
LIMERICK 1 – 1 DOUGLAS HALL

CONFUSCIOUS SAY MAN WEARING HAT OF OPTIMISM, END UP WEARING HAT OF CLOWN…..:laugh

Roll on Raith and Leeds Saturday….

[Merlin]

SATURDAY FOOTY BETS
..........................................

Raith v Alloa
Home win @ 1.50
8 POINTS

Leeds V Southend
Home win @ 1.89
4 POINTS


Stats
.........
August 07
+ 17.74 Points
...................
(*7)............

[Skittle]

Got to agree in part with the Raith prediction, but they do have a few players missing for this game. It shouldn't worry them too much, but I think the price is too short for me.

[MaxySerb]

Leeds 1:0!

:thumbs

[Merlin]

No score with Raith at Half-time....hope history dont repeat itself in that game..:yikes:

[Merlin]

Wahoo..Raith have scored.....

[Mug OUFC]

Good day again merlin :GP

What you reckon on newcastle villa? Every man and his dog are on the barcodes...

[Merlin]

Did we win
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COURSE WE DID....:laugh

RAITH 2 -1
LEEDS 4 -1(latest)

[Merlin]

Good day again merlin :GP

What you reckon on newcastle villa? Every man and his dog are on the barcodes...

Not touching it mate.....Twist my arm I would go draw...

[Merlin]

Got a bet in mind for 2morrow....Sunday...

[monty]

well done mate.

[Merlin]

Gonna have a 2 point bet on the big dance in US major league soccer....kicking off ...12.30 am UK time

New York Red Bulls v Los Angeles Galaxy

Expecting 60,000 + at the Giants stadium...

LA are 7/2...will have a 2 point away win...STAN JAMES...

[Merlin]

Stats
.........
August 07
+ 23.30 Points
...................
(*7)............

Tonights bet paid for in the stats...

[Merlin]

Maxy..you go to the RS game?...see they won 1-0…….I think the odds were about 1.15…:laugh

[Merlin]

Nice start after 26 minutes

New York Red Bulls 1-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

[presto]

looking good merl, available to lay on betfair @ 1.65

only seen a few mls games, i thaught CH5 may show a few games after jumping on the beckham bandwagon, LA looked utterly pathetic the last time i watched them. so hope they come through for you tonight

[scoobydoo]

My Internet has been knocked out for a few hours....just managed to get on. Well done today Merl...nice one or should I say 2!:thumbs

I see that....3 goals in 8 minutes! The Beckham effect maybe! :yikes:

Couple of years ago Im sure you used to be able to watch MLS games on their site...you can buy a season ticket now for $15 but wonder what matches you would get...maybe not the one you want!

[Merlin]

I just layed them for 1.69 – for 1.40 Points….liabilty

[Merlin]

Well that was a timely lay…2-2 now….

Hope they can still do it….but had to lay at that price after taking 7/2

[Merlin]

Nice avatar Prest.....

[presto]

i couldn't keep my concentration with thoes bouncy boobs of the previous one :)

[presto]

3-2 by the look of it

[Merlin]

Nothing lost nothing gained..

Finished NEW YORK 5 – 4 LOS ANGELES
..........................................................................

2 Bets for Sunday...

Both Home wins....

ENGLISH PREMIERSHIP
Liverpool v Chelsea
HOME WIN @ 6/4 = 4 POINTS

BRAZIL SERIE A
Nautico v Atletico-MG
HOME WIN @ 2.20 (widely available) = 4 POINTS

[MaxySerb]

Wow, Huan Pablo Angel is playing for NY? :ooo
They had a lay unitl 88. min...

I was just about to ask you what are you think about Nautico. :)
So, how sure are they?

[Merlin]

Wow, Huan Pablo Angel is playing for NY? :ooo
They had a lay unitl 88. min...

I was just about to ask you what are you think about Nautico. :)
So, how sure are they?

Put it this way mate…..the price of 2.20 is a reflection of their chances…but I do think we are on an even money shot…..

This is the halfway 20 game point of the season….and the target was 27 points (at this stage)..which (with the same momentum in the 2nd period) would be enough to retain Serie A status…coz at the end 4 teams go down….

They are on 20 points…even if they win today it only puts them on 23…..with a sustained momentum second half of the season…and 1 or 2 more wins – they will probably suvive Seria A….

To lose today and stay on 20 would be a huge blow….they are well up for it….and know they need to win…

Atletico-MG are on 25 points (and gained promotion with Náutico last season as winners of Serie B)…

Just bear in mind I have 4 points on the bet…that’s my level of confidence…..(scale 1 through 10)…

Good luck if you play…

[Merlin]

Taking The Plunge...
..................................
Sunday Footy Lay Bet...

Lay Man Utd @ 2.00

2 Points

PS: SEE FOOTY LAY THREAD - WONT BE POSTED HERE FROM NOW ON...

[Skittle]

That was tasty, I layed them on the Asian in the end. Also layed the Chavs @ 3.45.

[Merlin]

Well it looks like Mr Styles cost me 4 points with that penalty award......hope it evens out over the course...:yikes:

[Merlin]

Nothing lost nothing gained..

BRAZIL SERIE A
Nautico v Atletico-MG
HOME WIN @ 2.20 (widely available) = 4 POINTS


Anyone fancy this - kicks off in 20 minutes...

[Mug OUFC]

Go on then :helper

COME ON NAUTICO :happyboun:happyboun:happyboun

[Merlin]

LOST...LOST....LOST...

NAUTICO 0 - 1 ATHLETICO

Once again proving the Brazilian picks are my worst bets....will have to cut right back on this league...

2 STEPS FORWARD AND 1.90 STEPS BACKWARD...on we go with the drunken betting stroll....:laugh




Stats
.........
August 07
+ 17.30 Points
...................
(*7)............

[Merlin]

MONDAY FOOTY BET
............................

MAX BET
...........

Drogheda v Galway Utd

HOME WIN @ 1.44 with STAN JAMES....

10 POINTS

[Merlin]

Here are the stats for the game...and one of the best sites for Irish Soccer...

http://www.eleven-a-side.com/previews/preview.asp?pid=1019

[monty]

MONDAY FOOTY BET
............................

MAX BET
...........
Drogheda v Galway Utd

HOME WIN @ 1.44 with STAN JAMES....

10 POINTS

Hi Merlin

You have a good record with your max bets if I remember right? I think Drogheda will win this match, as well as the league title, but I would have liked a better price than the current odds of 1.41 at the moment.

If I can't get better later, I'll give this match a miss.

Good Luck Mate...:thumbs

[Merlin]

Actually, M…this is the best priced Max I have had….had 6 in total and 5 won……

Cork let me down for 100%:yikes:….

If this one goes down..my Max are still in profit…but that wont happen will it:…:yikes:

[Skittle]

Drogs might be more than a 10 point bet, but they'll do for me.

[Merlin]

BANKER LOST – LOST - LOST

SCORE 2-2

Unbelievable really as DROGHEDA were 2-0 up...and more than that GALWAY had 10 men for the whole of the second half...its unreal...:yikes:

[monty]

I'm really glad i missed this one out Mate. That's unbelievable for a team to be 2-0 up against 10 men & with only 3 mins to go...that score is unbelievable.

[scoobydoo]

Unlucky Merlin...that is an incredible end to the game...cant really believe it! :doh

[Merlin]

All losing bets hurt..but Max`s going down is excruciating…

[Merlin]

Stats
.........
August 07
+ 7.30 Points
...................
(*7)............

[Merlin]

Tuesday Footy Bet

Cambridge V Farsley

Home Win @ 1.80

4 Points

[Skittle]

The money was already in the bank on Drogs. That kind of result is an extreme rarity.

[Merlin]

Did we win?
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.COURSE WE DID...

Cambridge 5-1 Farsley

[Merlin]

Stats
.........
August 07
+ 10.50 Points
...................
(*7)............

[Merlin]

WEDNESDAY

FAI Cup game

Douglas Hall v Limerick 37


DOUBLE CHANCE HOME OR DRAW @ 10/11 with Paddy Power.

3 POINTS

[Merlin]

BET LOST TO AN 88 MINUTE GOAL..

Douglas Hall 0 - 1 Limerick 37

[Merlin]

Stats
.........
August 07
+ 7.50 Points
...................
(*7)............

[mathare]

...................
(*7)............I have to ask Merlin, what's this mean?

[Merlin]

It’s a personal note for me…Matt….

What it means is that from time to time…being human an all…:laugh…I analyse each losing bet…particularly with regard to asking myself questions….about was I really happy about taking that bet :yikes:..

I am trying to be very honest with myself…and most losing bets…….I am quite happy to lose on , coz I know 100% that the bet was good…..it just didn’t happen…..

However, occasionally , I will have a strong sense of that I shouldn’t have taken the bet - the bet was bad…bad decision…….

So the figure represents the points I have lost on BAD BETS …kinda in hindsight…but bets perhaps I shouldn’t have taken……Am I making sense….:yikes:

If I am learning from my own mistakes…that figure should be dropping month on month…if it rises I aint learning anything….

[monty]

BET LOST TO AN 88 MINUTE GOAL..

Douglas Hall 0 - 1 Limerick 37


Unlucky Mate....... another late goal :splapme

[mathare]

I am trying to be very honest with myself…and most losing bets…….I am quite happy to lose on , coz I know 100% that the bet was good…..it just didn’t happen…..

However, occasionally , I will have a strong sense of that I shouldn’t have taken the bet - the bet was bad…bad decision…….

So the figure represents the points I have lost on BAD BETS …kinda in hindsight…but bets perhaps I shouldn’t have taken……Am I making sense….:yikes:Aye, that makes perfect sense. I kinda running review of the bets, I like it. Curiosity satisfied now :)

[monty]

Merlin the only strong home pick this week in the Irish Premier League is Derry City again, all the rest are coming out as away wins. I've not been lucky with Derry this season but I'm going to have to take them again.... :yikes:


Bohemians v's Drogheda

Derry City v's Bray Wanders

Galway Utd v's Sligo Rovers

Longford Town v's St Patricks Ath

UCD v's Shamrock Rovers

Waterford Utd v's Cork City

[Merlin]

Bohemians v's Drogheda

Derry City v's Bray Wanders

Are these MONTY BETS , mate...:yikes:

[monty]

The Derry match is a Monty bet, but the rest will just be small staked fun bets. I'll post up the picks from Ericom league in a minute or two.

[monty]

Cobh v's Shelbourne (M-Bet)

Kildare-C v's Finn Harps

Limerick v's Dundalk

Monaghan v's Athlone Town

Wexford Youths v's Kilkenny


I'll only be betting only on the teams in bold, the last two teams are coming out as draws.

[Merlin]

Great M...will post the MONTY BET in the MONTY thread...

[monty]

Merlin ..... I must warn you mate! my Irish picks haven't been that great during the last 3-4 weeks, so follow at your own risk. My ratings were going great for weeks, but then they went downhill for a bit with some crazy results, but hopefully it will pick up again soon.... :wiggle:

[Merlin]

No worries mate..will Only bet the MONTY BET with the MONTY BANK….

Fancy one of the others myself…..(Finn Harps)….

We all have dips mate….and don’t I know it….but IT IS going to be a profitable season…very confident….:yikes:

[monty]

I'm pretty confident that these irish teams who have a strong rating will come good again. As I said the ratings went crazy for a few weeks, but I'm sure a lot of the losing picks had to do with adverse weather conditions and not entirley the fault of the ratings. My Scottish ratings went through similar bad spell last winter, so its got me thinking about missing certain bets if the weather conditions are not quite right.

Does that make any sense to you?

[Merlin]

Sure it does............the same with any field sport mate......like horse racing...:yikes:

[Merlin]

THURSDAY BET

Weymouth v Burton

HOME WIN @ 2.70

3 POINTS

[monty]

THURSDAY BET

Weymouth v Burton

HOME WIN @ 2.70

3 POINTS



Unlucky M.M.M

The bet was going to plan untill the sending off after 30mins.

[Merlin]

Yep, M...I am sure Weymouth would have won ....10 men for na hour is a hard task....

Never mind, you may have noticed that I layed under 2.50 in my footy lay thread…some consolation ……

BRAZILIAN SERIE A BET TONIGHT – THURSDAY – KICK-OFF 12.30PM UK TIME…

Flamengo x Juventude

HOME WIN @ 1.68

6 POINTS

[Merlin]

Stats
.........
August 07
+ 4.50 Points
...................
(*7)............

[monty]

I did notice it after the game had started, every little bit back helps...:thumbs

6pts on your bet later, you must be quite confident? , so I'll have a go at it myself. :mover

[Merlin]

Well, they are both at the bottom of the table , M…but Juventude are really bad…….almost certain to be relegated…..

Flamengo will get out of the bad position they are in , notwithstanding they have 2 games in hand over some of the others…..

They should win this home game in Rio…they are in the ascendancy… :yikes:

I will stress…Juventude are chronic….lets hope it goes to the book….

[Merlin]

Most fixed odds bookies are going 1.53 on the home win..so , 1.68 is pretty good....fingers crossed...

[monty]

We can only hope it goes by the book. I like to have a wee bet on these games that are played through the night, it's good when you check the bet in the morning and its a winner.

[monty]

Merlin

I've been away fishing quite a bit over the last few weeks, but hopefully I 'll get more time to myself soon, and I'll get back to my Scottish Leagues Picks.

[Merlin]

Merlin

I've been away fishing quite a bit over the last few weeks, but hopefully I 'll get more time to myself soon, and I'll get back to my Scottish Leagues Picks.


Lovely Jubbly....

[Merlin]

Tonights bet is 1-0 at half-time...

For most Brazilian games here is the link of the main media company in Brazil..

http://globoesporte.globo.com/ESP/Futebol/TempoReal/0,,TEP16238-8646,00.html

You don’t have to do anything the page refreshes automatically…you will get a text commentary…and when goals are scored or other main action , you will be able to watch on Video , usually a few minutes after the event….

[Merlin]

However, obviously everything is in Portuguese:laugh

[monty]

Full-Time: 4-0


Nice one....:thumbs

[Merlin]

Nice win...M....for a change..:laugh

[Merlin]

FRIDAY BETS
..........
Bohemians v Drogheda
HOME @ 2.98
3 POINTS

York City v Forest Green
HOME @ 2.04
4 POINTS

[Mug OUFC]

Ive got to know your thinking behind york merl :) I can see this being a draw...

[Merlin]

Wot thinking – who says I think....:yikes:…..

Draw…York…home…..Draw?.....NO..NO..NO..NO…:laugh

[Mug OUFC]

:laugh Fair enough :thumbs

FGR arent a bad side this year, and I have no trust in york after their first two games. But I bet your right and Im wrong. As usual :laugh

[Merlin]

SATURDAY FOOTY BETS
......................

Airdrie Utd v Queens Park

AWAY WIN @ 5/2
4 POINTS

Cowdenbeath v Raith
AWAY WIN @ 4/5
4 POINTS

Oldham v Bristol Rovers
HOME WIN @ 1.98
8 POINTS

16 POINTS STAKED

[Merlin]

Merlin the only strong home pick this week in the Irish Premier League is Derry City again, all the rest are coming out as away wins. I've not been lucky with Derry this season but I'm going to have to take them again.... :yikes:


Bohemians v's Drogheda

Derry City v's Bray Wanders

Galway Utd v's Sligo Rovers

Longford Town v's St Patricks Ath

UCD v's Shamrock Rovers

Waterford Utd v's Cork City

Not bad there M...profit overall...well done mate...

[Merlin]

FRIDAY BETS
..........
Bohemians v Drogheda
HOME @ 2.98
3 POINTS

York City v Forest Green
HOME @ 2.04
4 POINTS


Absolute crap....on a downward spiral...

YORK lost 0-2

Bohs and Drogs 1-1

[Merlin]

FRIDAY NIGHT BET BRAZIL SERIE B

MARILIA V BRASILIENSE

HOME @ 1.57 with Paddy Power or Blue Square

6 POINTS

[Merlin]

Kick off 12,30 am..UK time..

[Merlin]

Stats
.........
August 07
:yikes: - 2.42 Points :yikes:
...................
(*11)............

[Merlin]

FRIDAY NIGHT BET BRAZIL SERIE B

MARILIA V BRASILIENSE

HOME @ 1.57 with Paddy Power or Blue Square

6 POINTS

Kick-off 10 minutes...if any night owls are playing..:yikes:

[Merlin]

MARÍLIA-SP 1 x 2 BRASILIENSE-DF

Marilia were winning 1-0.......got done by 2 away goals in the last 4 minutes...

Its just not my week.......

[Merlin]

SATURDAY FOOTY BETS
......................

Airdrie Utd v Queens Park

AWAY WIN @ 5/2
4 POINTS

Cowdenbeath v Raith
AWAY WIN @ 4/5
4 POINTS

Oldham v Bristol Rovers
HOME WIN @ 1.98
8 POINTS

16 POINTS STAKED



Stats
.........
August 07
- 8.42 Points
...................
(*11)............

[Skittle]

Just a quickie for you. Raith are on VC Bet @ 8/5, must be a mistake, but you never know. Cowdenbeath are having trouble putting a team out and have asked for the match to be postponed,but have been turned down.

[monty]

Just a quickie for you. Raith are on VC Bet @ 8/5, must be a mistake, but you never know. Cowdenbeath are having trouble putting a team out and have asked for the match to be postponed,but have been turned down.


Skittle....I didn't know that, thanks mate...:happyboun

[monty]

SATURDAY FOOTY BETS
......................

Airdrie Utd v Queens Park

AWAY WIN @ 5/2
4 POINTS

Cowdenbeath v Raith
AWAY WIN @ 4/5
4 POINTS

Oldham v Bristol Rovers
HOME WIN @ 1.98
8 POINTS

16 POINTS STAKED



Stats
.........
August 07
- 8.42 Points
...................
(*11)............



Raith Rovers are probably my best pick from the Scottish 2nd Division, and should be good enought to take the 3pts against Cowdenbeath.

Airdrie Utd v's Queen's Park? The form suggests Queen's Park should play well? I really don't think they will win. Airdrie Utd have had a lot problems recently, but the clubs future was secured this week when there ground was bought by a consortium, with this good news I think the clubs performance on the park will improve.

My club Ayr Utd have had a terrible start to the season, and they really need to get some much needed points today, as the club mentioned in the local papers they can't let the league leaders get to far infront so early in the season, so i'll take a chance on an Ayr Utd win today.

Another bet I like the look of is in the Premier League game at Easter Road. I think i'll go for Hibs to beat Aberdeen, Hibernian are a strong attacking team at home, so they might be worth a look at as another home win. I should get a good price in this match.

In the 3rd Division I'm going to take Stenhousemuir to beat East Stirling, although East Stirling have had some good results recently, I think they will find it hard against Stenhousemuir today.

The Scottish first Division has been my betting graveyard for years ;fire This Division is so unpredictable as most of the teams in this league are good enough to beat each other. My tip for this division is to stay away...:yikes: This league is not for me, but if you must have a bet in Division One? I would take Morton to win at home against Hamilton.


Good Luck with your bets Guys, I'm away fishing again.....:D

[Merlin]

Brilliant , thanks M.....glad you like Raith tôo…Went for QP ..as the price is good for an in form team……fingers crossed….

Good luck to us….all..


(will try VC on that price S....)…

[Merlin]

Gone fishing..:yikes:...........u must have a bird in the glen..:laugh

[Merlin]

Just a quickie for you. Raith are on VC Bet @ 8/5, must be a mistake, but you never know. Cowdenbeath are having trouble putting a team out and have asked for the match to be postponed,but have been turned down.


Dived straight in for it......it had changed to 4/6...

[MaxySerb]

C'mon Raith...At least draw... ;fire

[Merlin]

Wot a load of rubbish today - ......doh..

……………………………………………….

Kick off 8.00pm UK time..

BRAZIL SERIE B

Santa Cruz v Ipatinga

HOME WIN @ 1.80 with Blue Square

8 POINTS

[Merlin]

MLS (Saturday)

2.50 is a generous price for DC…they are on an unbeaten run of 5…whilst Toronto are on a losing streak of 6 or 7……..

Toronto vs DC United

AWAY WIN @ 2.50 (general)

6 POINTS
...................

Thats it from me today...fingers crosseed...

[monty]

Hi M

I had a bad days fishing and my bets were also crap today, so I hope DC United win to ease the pain.

Merlin did you do Finn Harps tonight?

[Merlin]

No M...although I had planned to....to be frank...I forgot about it…

Typically they are currently winning 1-0..

Its been a bad hair day for me…in fact its been a bad hair day few weeks….:yikes:

Take today….I thought my bets were strong….not a bloody winner….and to rub salt in the woind….

The 2 league teams I support….LEEDS and SWANSEA both won away at good prices…..

To be honest mate…I am pulling my hair out……..its one of the dark periods in betting……….:laugh

[monty]

No M...although I had planned to....to be frank...I forgot about it…

Typically they are currently winning 1-0..

Its been a bad hair day for me…in fact its been a bad hair day few weeks….:yikes:

Take today….I thought my bets were strong….not a bloody winner….and to rub salt in the woind….

The 2 league teams I support….LEEDS and SWANSEA both won away at good prices…..

To be honest mate…I am pulling my hair out……..its one of the dark periods in betting……….:laugh



Finn Harps are winning 3-0, that win helps my bank a bit, but my day will turn out a lot better if Cobh can get a winner in the last 15 mins. I know how your feeling just now with your bets, for some reason my strong picks seem to be falling quicker than Arjen Robben in a penalty box. That's the reason why there only been a few Monty bets.

[Merlin]

Cob are winning....2-1....nice...

[Merlin]

Cob are winning....2-1....nice...


:yikes: the score has changed now…..on the site I use…… 1-1 :yikes:

[Merlin]

Perhaps my luck is changing...SATA CRUZ are winning 2-1 with 10 minutes to go...

[monty]

Let's hope they can hold on...:yikes:

[monty]

Hey M ...did you notice my team won their first league match of the season today 4-0

[Merlin]

Yeh..did notice...nice start....are they gonna be money makers….?

[Merlin]

I can takre my head out the oven now...

SANTA CRUZ 2-1 Ipatinga

[monty]

Yeh..did notice...nice start....are they gonna be money makers….?

They have a new manager and basically a new squad. The fans were hoping for a good season but got off to a bad start but they nearly won away last week and a win today should give them a boost. I would think they will get us a few winner this season.

Another Scottish team that i might start betting is Stranraer in the 3rd Division, but i'll only bet on them if they are playing at home, as other teams have to travel one hell of a distance to get there.
They should get a few wins on their own patch.

[monty]

I can takre my head out the oven now...

SANTA CRUZ 2-1 Ipatinga


:thumbs

[monty]

Merlin ...did you see trogdor huge winning bet tonight on G.G?


$23,212

[Merlin]

Yeah...just saw....good for him...10 fold acca…don’t get them buggers up too often…:yikes:

[Mug OUFC]

Merlin merlin merlin what is going on :ooo

Im sure you'll turn it round...but can we learn anything from this or is it pure statistical fluke? Why are there bets going down? :)

[Merlin]

Merlin merlin merlin what is going on :ooo

Im sure you'll turn it round...but can we learn anything from this or is it pure statistical fluke? Why are there bets going down? :)

:laugh

Its not all that bad mate...:yikes:……

2 bets won last night @ 1.80 and 2.50….so there is light…..

Mind you, I have kinda wasted about 17 Points this month…in my retrospective opinion……….but you never stop learning in this game , mate…..anyone who says or thinks they don’t make betting errors are either delusional or liars….:yikes:

[scoobydoo]

Nice comeback last night Merlin....the Brazilian bet wasnt on Betfair I dont think was it? Was that cos it was a second div game??

[Merlin]

No, Serie B are not on Betfair...but 4 or 5 of the main bookies offer odds.....
..................................................................................................

Middlesbrough v Newcastle

AWAY WIN @ 2.72
4 POINTS

OVERS BET (2.50) @ 2.30
3 POINTS

Possibly 2 other footy bets today.....will post later....

[Merlin]

Sport Recife v Vasco da Gama
HOME @ 2.40 with SKYBET and Bet Direct
6 POINTS


This game is only 2.05 with BET 365:yikes:....and currenly only 2.28 on Betfair...

[Skittle]

Good day to you all kind sirs. Apologies if I put anyone onto the Raith game with my 'news'. It was still a damn good bet in my opinion, but everything went wrong for the Rovers, including a missed penalty, and they played their worst game of the season,typical.

I was lucky enough to recoup losses on the Everton draw.

Have done Newcastle on the draw no bet today.

[monty]

Good day to you all kind sirs. Apologies if I put anyone onto the Raith game with my 'news'. It was still a damn good bet in my opinion, but everything went wrong for the Rovers, including a missed penalty, and they played their worst game of the season,typical.

I was lucky enough to recoup losses on the Everton draw.

Have done Newcastle on the draw no bet today.


Hi Skittle

On paper Raith Rovers should have won, but Scottish Football is very unpredictable at times especially during the first half a dozen games of the season.
Don't worry mate, we'll get plenty of winners from the Scottish Leagues soon....:thumbs

[Merlin]

Money back job on the Newcastle game.....better than lsing it...:yikes:

Hope this Sport Recife bet comes in…..may actually go to the game…see later…

Good luck if you play…

[Mug OUFC]

Nearly got both in there merlin...guess which one i followed you on ;fire

Dont like man u today?

[Merlin]

Nearly got both in there merlin...guess which one i followed you on ;fire

Dont like man u today?

Doh......

You can lead a horse to water, but you cannoth make it drink:laugh

Man U game is tricky.....banana skin job.........woudnt touch it with your money...:laugh

[Mug OUFC]

:laugh to be fair i got in late and it was already 1-1 so too late for overs

Man U @ 1.5 makes oxfords price yesterday look massive...or this price tiny...doesnt matter anyway my betting bank has been wiped out and my card has been declined :mad:. Tomorrows conference bets will have to be placed via the girlfriends bank account and a betting shop :yikes:

[Merlin]

The sport text commentary, with action and goals on video a few minutes after the event is here:

http://globoesporte.globo.com/ESP/Futebol/TempoReal/0,,TEP16370-8646,00.html

Considering an MLS bet for later…haven’t placed it yet…will post if I do..

Colorado Rapids - Los Angeles Galaxy
Fancy a small bet on the away...but overs would bem y main interest @ around 2.20

[Merlin]

Colorado Rapids - Los Angeles Galaxy (Kick-off Midnight UK time)
AWAY @ 3.70 = 3 POINTS

OVERS @ 2.30 = 3 POINTS

6 POINT BET

.................................
Stats
.........
August 07
- 8.92 Points
...................
(*17)............

[Merlin]

Sport game fished 0-0....

And sport missed a penalty......twits....

[Merlin]

:laugh to be fair i got in late and it was already 1-1 so too late for overs

Man U @ 1.5 makes oxfords price yesterday look massive...or this price tiny...doesnt matter anyway my betting bank has been wiped out and my card has been declined :mad:. Tomorrows conference bets will have to be placed via the girlfriends bank account and a betting shop :yikes:

:yikes: You nawty boy :yikes:...you need your little ass whacked......you have backed some winners recently...and results the last few weeks/months should see you through the dark tunnel.....

It could mean one of the following...

1) Your staking is too high...
2) Your using your main betting bank for other things...like fun bets or chinese takeaways:laugh
3) Your girlfriend has been withdrawing your betting fund...:laugh


You need to do some of the following...

1) Stop visiting expensive massage parlours...
2) Set your bank up and dont touch it for other things...
3) Either divide your bank into level stakes....or bet no more than 3% of it per bet...

I know that we all have differnt circumstances, but to have any chance of making money long term you got to have A separate betting bank – which doesnt prejudice other areas of your life…

You don’t have to start with a lump sum…you can pay in to your betting bank each week or month….

You know it makes sense….:laugh…..

[Merlin]

Colorado Rapids - Los Angeles Galaxy (Kick-off Midnight UK time)
AWAY @ 3.70 = 3 POINTS

OVERS @ 2.30 = 3 POINTS

6 POINT BET

.................................
Stats
.........
August 07
- 8.92 Points
...................
(*17)............

The overs are in any way:laugh

Colorado Rapids 3-0 Los Angeles Galaxy

And its not even half-time yet:yikes:

[Merlin]

MONDAY
.............
Cork v Bray (in-running game on Betfair)
1.47 @ BETFAIR

THIS IS A :yikes:MAX BET :yikes: HOME WIN FOR ME = 10 POINTS
…………………………………………………………………….

Cambridge Utd v Ebbsfleet
HOME WIN @ 1/1 generally available
4 points

[Merlin]

Well I am up working on some reports , so I may as well have a bet on the next MLS game…

Chivas look bankers here…..are unbeaten at home, and a win here can consolidate theor play-off claims……meanwhile , Salt Lake are crap away…..confirmed by the fact they are yet to win on the road…


CHIVAS V SALT LAKE

HOME WIN @ 1.48 BETFAIR…

8 POINTS

KICK-OFF 2.00AM UK time

[Merlin]

Well I am up working on some reports , so I may as well have a bet on the next MLS game…

Chivas look bankers here…..are unbeaten at home, and a win here can consolidate theor play-off claims……meanwhile , Salt Lake are crap away…..confirmed by the fact they are yet to win on the road…


CHIVAS V SALT LAKE

HOME WIN @ 1.48 BETFAIR…

8 POINTS

KICK-OFF 2.00AM UK time

1-0

[MaxySerb]

LA played without almighty Beckham... :)

Well, what is more certain for tonight game...
Cork to win with handicap or 1-1?
I'm totally sure that they will win, they are in form, they have 2 games to play, and result of Bohemians and St.Patrick are going very well for them. If they win this 2 games they can be second on table...
So...it's now or never for them.

[monty]

Maxyserb....I agree with everything that you said in your post, Cork City should be able to win this match tonight. The price for a home win is kind of poor if you ask me, it's that poor I honestly wouldn't touch it.
I would rather take the handicap bet or bet over 2.5 goals in this game.

[MaxySerb]

Yeah...I don't like to play values under 1.6 either...
Will see...I have to have some cover bet beside this...
Handicap is about 2.5, and 1-1 is 2.15...
I don't like to lose on Half-time so I'll probably take Handicap -1 as a main bet.

[monty]

I've noticed that both clubs have quite a few players out injured, so with so many first team regulars out? I'm going to be betting on Over 2.5 goals as my main bet. I also noticed that 4 out of the last 6 matches between these two sides ended up going Over 2.5 goals
Cork City have won 6-0 and 3-0 in there last two home matches against BrayWanderers.

So a bet on Over 2.5 goals it is for me....:D

Good Luck with your bet MaxySerb...:thumbs

[monty]

MaxySerb what website to you get your info on for the Irish games? I normally use this one.

http://www.irishfootballonline.com/news/7208.html

[MaxySerb]

Well...I have several sites for that informations. That one is very good. Normally, when I'm taking some serious single, I like to visit official club sites also...
For Irish football I'm using that one.

Colm Carroll (Cruciate Knee Ligament) will not be involved as he remains sidelined by injury, although he has now returned to taking an almost full part in training. Liam Kearney was substituted with a knee injury against Waterford and is rated as doubtful for the clash, while Sean Kelly (knee) and Gareth Farrelly (Groin Strain) are both also struggling with injuries.

[monty]

Maybe I should forget the overs bet, I've just noticed that there has been 4 games played this season in the Irish Premier League, when the home team has been priced @ 2/5 (1.40) of these 4 games the home side won 3 of the matches and the other match ended a draw, and all 4 games were under 2.5 goals..... :yikes:

We must be due an overs then...:D

[MaxySerb]

:D

Yeah...

Well, I have picked this. Alea iacta est!

Cork - Bray 1-1 at 2.15 - 6e
Cork - Bray X-1 at 4.50 - 5e
Cork - Bray Cork to win with (-1) at 2.50 - 5e

I hope that those two last will pass... :D

[monty]

I'll stick with the original overs bet and the -1 handicap, and hopefully they will both come in and it will start my week off on a more positive side. Last weeks bets were very poor, they seemed to go 1 winner 2 losers if you know what I mean....:splapme

[MaxySerb]

My God...
They are losing 0-2... ;fire ;fire ;fire
I can't believe it...

[MaxySerb]

2-2 83'.

If they win now, I'll hate them for the rest of my life.
Only if they win 4:2 will suit me...

[monty]

I've noticed that both clubs have quite a few players out injured, so with so many first team regulars out? I'm going to be betting on Over 2.5 goals as my main bet. I also noticed that 4 out of the last 6 matches between these two sides ended up going Over 2.5 goals
Cork City have won 6-0 and 3-0 in there last two home matches against BrayWanderers.

So a bet on Over 2.5 goals it is for me....:D

Good Luck with your bet MaxySerb...:thumbs



At least the Overs came in....:mover

[MaxySerb]

I simply hate them...they had best defense at home after Bohemians and Shams in the league...at least on paper...
::swear

Yes...it was over 2.5...but I didn't cover it...

What is happening with all this games...I can't understand it anymore... :splapme

[Merlin]

Gotta laugh...or I will cry....:laugh

[monty]

Gotta laugh...or I will cry....:laugh


The low price on Cork tonight put me off the straight win bet, I had thought about putting this match forward for a Monty bet, but i just didn't like the low price. If the Cork City price had been anything over 1.53 I probably would have taken it.
Last week Bray-W had an away match against Derry -C and in that match Derry-C were a much bigger price than what Cork were tonight ,yet there were only 4 points of a difference between Cork and Derry in the league. I honestly didn't think Cork were any better than what Derry were at home, so I had thought I would have got a similar price as last weeks game. It's strange how the bookies work out their prices out at times.

Never mind... better move on to the next bet...:splapme

[Merlin]

Sure...but its just me at the moment...I am in that dark betting tunnel....I know this coz my other bets (horses) are the same.....thought i was seeing light the other day…but it was an illusion….

[monty]

Merlin when I get that same problem I usually take 2-3 days off and away from betting, I do this mainly because if I don't take the time off, I usually end up placing stupid bets that I normally wouldn't touch.
Take the time to look up some bets than are being played later in the week, find at least 10 good matches and from that 10 narrow it down to 2-3 teams that you think will definately win? and then start betting again with your chosen picks.

[Merlin]

Merlin when I get that same problem I usually take 2-3 days off and away from betting, I do this mainly because if I don't take the time off, I usually end up placing stupid bets that I normally wouldn't touch.
Take the time to look up some bets than are being played later in the week, find at least 10 good matches and from that 10 narrow it down to 2-3 teams that you think will definately win? and then start betting again with your chosen picks.

http://www.win2win.co.uk/forum/showthread.php?p=434721#post434721

Good advice…M…will I listen though……:yikes:

[monty]

Merlin....Your not the only one mate whos been in that dark tunnel, we all go through bad spells. A few weeks ago I placed 5 singles, my bets consisted of 4 home wins and the other match I had taken for a draw. The 4 home matches all ended up drawing and guess what the one i took for a draw ended up as a home win. :headbange I honestly thought about giving up betting when that happened.

[Skittle]

Added to the fact that you support Ayr United, I'm surprised that you haven't given up everything connected with football.:yikes::wink

[monty]

Added to the fact that you support Ayr United, I'm surprised that you haven't given up everything connected with football.:yikes::wink


Skittle

I'm a true supporter just like yourself, if I was a glory hunter hunter I would have picked a team from the SPL (Scottish Pish League)....:D
And Skittle look on the bright side my team won 4-0 at the weekend. There is a long way to go in the season and I'm sure my team will start moving up the table soon....:boing

[Mug OUFC]

1) Stop visiting expensive massage parlours...
2) Set your bank up and dont touch it for other things...
3) Either divide your bank into level stakes....or bet no more than 3% of it per bet...

I know that we all have differnt circumstances, but to have any chance of making money long term you got to have A separate betting bank – which doesnt prejudice other areas of your life…

You don’t have to start with a lump sum…you can pay in to your betting bank each week or month….

You know it makes sense….:laugh…..


You are of course correct merlin..i do have a ringfenced betting bank...but not a huge one (principally so that it DOESNT impact the rest of my life). I would say I usually have about £100 in play, the problem being that 3% of this would make my max bet £3. Hard to get anywhere with that sort of staking limit.

So I will generally put large percentages of my bank on single selections...my max bet is around £40 but average around £20...and therefore do run the risk of a bad run wiping me out quickly.

I also think this month, because I was skint in my real bank account...i took some big risks with my betting account to try and get enough cash to withdraw to live off...and of course when you NEED to win you rarely do :ermmm

[Merlin]

Keep going.....C......you were born to win mate....:yikes:….:laugh

TUESDAY
................

9 POINTS TO WIN 3

LIVERPOOL to beat Tolose

[Merlin]

Follow at your peril...

But I feel there is a strong bet in Brazil Serie B tonight…Kick-off 30 minutes past Midnight – UK time..

Brasiliense v Avai

Brasiliense should easily beat Avai...and the price with Paddy Power and Sporting bet is 1.40......cramped odds…but a 40% return is not to sniffed at in what should be a formality…:yikes:

8 POINTS

[monty]

There are League Cup games being played in Scotland tonight, and one tie that looks a good price to me is Hamilton Accies from the Scottish 1st Division, who are playing away at Berwick Rangers from the Scottish 2nd Division.

Berwick Rangers got thumped 4-0 by my club Ayr Utd on Saturday, and by all accounts from my fellow Ayr Utd supporters, they said Berwick Rangers were the worst team that they had seen Ayr Utd playing against in years.

On another Internet forum the Berwick-R fans couldn’t understand why their team played son bad, they said it should have been into double figures.
It's a different story for Hamilton Accies who had a fine 2-0 away win against Morton on Saturday. Hamilton Accies are currently sitting top of the Scottish Division 1 with 4 wins from 4 matches.

Some of you might remember that just a couple of weeks ago, I tipped Hamilton Accies to get beat at home in the Cup by my team Ayr Utd and they did lose that match, which came as a shock to some people, but not to me. The reason for this defeat was because that game was in the Scottish Challenge Cup (Known by fans to be the Mickey Mouse Cup of Scotland) The match tonight is the Scottish League Cup and all the teams still in this Cup will be taking the games more serious. The winners of this match tonight could end up with a big money spinning tie against the Old Firm in the next round, so there is plenty to play for.
I would imagine both clubs will be trying hard for the win tonight and Berwick-Rangers surely can’t play as bad as they did on Saturday (or can they?). Well I'm going to side with Hamilton Accies tonight, as I think this is a good price for a full-time outfit, playing against a team who are currently part-time, so my money will be going on the Away win, as I think Hamilton Accies will be to strong on the night, well I hope so .... :D

Take Hamilton Accies to win 1.83 @ Coral ....(merlin this is not a monty bet)


Good Luck Guys....:thumbs

[Skittle]

Merlin.............should be a winner on Liverpool. Toulouse have a few players out for this game as well.

Monty...........with you on the Accies, was looking at that earlier. There's almost too many games on tonight, needle in a haystack time in trying to find a winner.

Fancy a draw in the Red Star and Lazio games, just the one will show a small profit.

[monty]

Hi Skittle Mate

As you know I’m not really one for placing too many bets in one day, but I’m thinking about doing a few tonight. I’m going to take Over 2.5 in the Hamilton game, as well as betting the straight win. I’m also thinking about doing Merlin’s 2 bets as I think his bets look good tonight. My only problem is trying work out what one will be my main bet.

[monty]

Latest Score after 15mins:

Berwick Rangers 1 Hamilton 1

Could be looking good for my overs bet.

[Merlin]

Doh......cheers M......great, great write-up......had to go out this afternoon . just got back...so missed the action.....anyway......I wish you good luck, mate....

[Merlin]

Hamilton leading 2-1 , M......get in there.......

[monty]

Well my overs bet is up...:D but as I type Livescore says Berwick have scored 2-2... ::swear

[Merlin]

Yep..you got the overs.........they are ahead now agian...2-3

Liverpool must have been bet of the season tonight...

[monty]

Latest Score: 77mins

Berwick 2 Hamilton 3

[monty]

Yep..you got the overs.........they are ahead now agian...2-3

Liverpool must have been bet of the season tonight...

True...:D

[monty]

Merlin ... I've just noticed that Derry City were playing tonight against UCD in the Irish League Cup, and there up 3-0

They seem to be on a bit of a roll just now.

[monty]

Full-Time Score:

Berwick Rangers 2 Hamilton Accies 3 ..... :D

[Merlin]

Merlin ... I've just noticed that Derry City were playing tonight against UCD in the Irish League Cup, and there up 3-0

They seem to be on a bit of a roll just now.

Yes....I was gonna play them..but the way things have gone..I turned it down.....besides...you never know which way Derry are gonna roll...:laugh

[Merlin]

Full-Time Score:

Berwick Rangers 2 Hamilton Accies 3 ..... :D


Well done...shame I missed it...I would have played...

[monty]

Well Done with your Liverpool bet if your other wins it will have been a cracking day for me. :thumbs

[Merlin]

Brasiliense should win , M...I am confident and would be shocked if they didnt .........:yikes:

I am not in front yet, today…but will be when they win………..

Kick-off in hour and twenty…

[Merlin]

Bet Skitte will enjoy himself tonight....ferrying all those Frogs to Speke airport…:laugh……

His taxi is gonna stink of onions in the morning….:laugh

[monty]

Brasiliense should win , M...I am confident and would be shocked if they didnt .........:yikes:

I am not in front yet, today…but will be when they win………..

Kick-off in hour and twenty…


Hi Merlin

I don't know what the score was, but i do know my winnings are in my account...:D I took Brasiliense on the Asian Handicap -1 @1.73
only because you were so confident....Cheers Mate.....:thumbs

[Merlin]

Was 3-1…M..
…………………….


WEDNESDAY FOOTY BET

Celtic v Spartak Moscow
CELTIC @ 2.04

6 POINTS
........................................


Figueirense v America RN
HOME @ 1.40

Botafogo RJ v Flamengo
HOME @ 2.25

Parana Clube v Cruzeiro
AWAY @ 2.60

Brazilian game prices with William Hill

BET IS 4 X 1 Point Trebles with the Celtic game
1 x ½ Point Acca

10.50 Points Staked

[monty]

I've been looking at the Celtic v's Spartak Moscow match as well. Celtic have a very, very good record on their own ground. I think Celtic are good price tonight.

Another possible home win that I've been looking at is in the French League the match is between Le Mans v's PSG
PSG seem to be having trouble scoring goals just now, they have drawn 4 out the 5 matches played so far, and they have only managed to score 2 goals in those games. I'm a little bit concerned about the amount of draws PSG have earned this season, so for this match I'm going to play it on the safe side, and take Le Mans (1.67) with the Draw No Bet Option at Sportingbet.

I don't have an account with Bet Direct, but you can get a slightly better price with them on the Asian Handicap Le Mans (0) priced @ (1.72) I think that's works out just the same as the draw not bet? but I'm sure someone will correct me if I'm wrong.


Good Luck Guys...:thumbs

[Merlin]

Great, M…will trundle along to online bookie and place another bet…:laugh…
Pleased you like Celtic, too…was hoping you would comment on that game….
Good luck to us….

[Skittle]

Bet Skitte will enjoy himself tonight....ferrying all those Frogs to Speke airport…:laugh……

His taxi is gonna stink of onions in the morning….:laugh


I would have been more worried about the garlic, but I don't work on Monday and Tuesday, so I missed them. Would have been a good night with the 800th birthday celebrations going on as well.

Celtic are worth a go tonight as you and Monty said. I think Ajax may be worth a gander as well. By all accounts, they battered Slavia in the first leg only to suffer on the counter attack.

[Skittle]

Can't understand how I nearly missed this one.

Motherwell @ 1.57 to beat Raith Rovers. Rovers haven't been playing that well recently despite wins in the league and were woeful against Cowdenbeath on Saturday. Raith's priority has to be the league for this year and 'Well will just be a step too far. The gulf in class should be too much.

[monty]

Skittle

I can see where you’re coming from with the Motherwell game, but lower Division teams in Scotland always, always try a lot harder in the Cup games, as they are always hopeful of getting a big tie against Rangers or Celtic especially if they get a tie Away from home in the next round.
If they do manage to draw one of the big two teams? The money they will earn from the fixture will be unbelievable, plus the extra money from any live TV. The Cup games in Scotland are probably the only way the smaller clubs will earn extra revenue, so beware mate Raith-R might play a lot better than you think?
On paper you're probably right going for Motherwell, but its one match I would rather avoid.

Good Luck with your bet ....:thumbs

[monty]

Merlin what score did you take on the prediction league? I can see 2 Merlins on it .... :yikes:

[Merlin]

Merlin what score did you take on the prediction league? I can see 2 Merlins on it .... :yikes:

:laugh

Yeah..I registered as Merlin....then someone followed me with * Merlin* ....:yikes:

I am 2-0

[monty]

:laugh

Yeah..I registered as Merlin....then someone followed me with * Merlin* ....:yikes:

I am 2-0


:thumbs

[monty]

My 2 bets are not looking very good at the moment....:headbange

[Merlin]

And Spartak on half-time....

Anyway…..I think Celtic always needed to score 2 to win this….lets hope they can get another ….without fighting amongst themselves…:yikes:

[Merlin]

Doh.....1-1

I went straight in @ 2.00 for Celtic to win in extra time...

6 POINTS.....money back job....I hope.....:yikes:

[monty]

I've taken 5/4 for the game to go to penalties.

[Merlin]

I've taken 5/4 for the game to go to penalties.


:yikes:......:laugh

[monty]

My bets were crap today, they were a bit of a let down after such a good day yesterday. Never mind theres always tomorrow...:splapme

[Merlin]

Well..I am thinking of singling one of the Brazilian Serie A bets....:yikes:…

[monty]

Can't understand how I nearly missed this one.

Motherwell @ 1.57 to beat Raith Rovers. Rovers haven't been playing that well recently despite wins in the league and were woeful against Cowdenbeath on Saturday. Raith's priority has to be the league for this year and 'Well will just be a step too far. The gulf in class should be too much.


Well Done Mate...:thumbs


There seems to be plenty of goals in the Scottsh League Cup, 9games out of 12 matches ended up over 2.5 goals. I will need to remember that next season.

[monty]

Well..I am thinking of singling one of the Brazilian Serie A bets....:yikes:…


What one?

[monty]

Celtic miss a penalty

[Merlin]

Well done…M…on your penalty bet….

I had better not touch any singles tonight…after that game….doh….:yikes:….


(Was thinking of the Botafogo game...based on price....as the banker is probably Figuerinse...)

[Merlin]

I must admit now to making an error……I feel, anyway…going back in on Celtic….should have saved the stake for Botafogo…but I am not going to chase….have to accept it, now…

[monty]

That last bet helped me bigtime, but I'm still slightly down for the day. I'm not going chasing either, it always ends in tears with me.

[Merlin]

There is a Brazilian Serie A game which kicks-off in 15 minutes….which I am just leaving to go and watch….the ground is only about 5 minutes from where I live…

Sport v Gremio…..

Gonna take the home win @ 2.30 and hope to start Thursday off with a winning bet….

4 POINTS

[Skittle]

Well Done Mate...:thumbs


There seems to be plenty of goals in the Scottsh League Cup, 9games out of 12 matches ended up over 2.5 goals. I will need to remember that next season.

Cheers...............and I had the audacity to predict 3-1 as well. :thumbs

[Skittle]

Sport won 2-0.

[Merlin]

Cheers...............and I had the audacity to predict 3-1 as well. :thumbs

Excellent......was that in the prediction thingy, too....coz I liiked for you the other day there, and couldnt find you....

[Merlin]

Sport won 2-0.


Just got back from this......thankfully pulled a little back.....

[monty]

Cheers...............and I had the audacity to predict 3-1 as well. :thumbs



Its good to see that your not giving up your title without a fight......:D

[Merlin]

THURSDAY
……………….
Dundalk v Wexford Youths

9 POINTS HOME WIN @ 1.50 with William Hill

[monty]

Dundalk should win this match, as their home record has been excellent this season. Everything I checked points to a home win, so I would be very surprised if Wexford Youths took anything from this match. They say Football is a funny old game, but betting can be even funnier at times, but hopefully not tonight because I'm going to follow you on this one....:D

[Merlin]

Not a Monty bet, mate…

[Merlin]

Hills price of 1/2 is a decent price for this…

[Skittle]

Its good to see that your not giving up your title without a fight......:D

The 'bigger' battle is staying ahead of one of my lads, 'Son of Skittle'. He thinks he can topple the champion. I'm about 4 points up on him at the moment.

[Merlin]

The 'bigger' battle is staying ahead of one of my lads, 'Son of Skittle'. He thinks he can topple the champion. I'm about 4 points up on him at the moment.

15 = Skittle
12 = Merlin
11 = Son Of Skittle

[Skittle]

I must do better.

Dundalk should be a winner tonight, but I'm leaving them alone until they get a bit of form back. I've gone for Blackburn -2 on the Asian instead @ 1.87. There doesn't seem to be much else, and I'm not trawling through all the UEFA Cup games where I can't even pronounce half the teams.

Fingers crossed for Liverpool's draw in the CL leagues. From a purely selfish point of view I want Slavia, Rosenborg or Shakhtar from pot 4. I need a trip away for a few days and it would be a good excuse to go. Slavia now have Smicer back in their team and Prague is my favourite city. Rosenborg will do as I haven't got Norway stamped in my passport. Shakhtar sounds great, middle of nowhere and I loved the Ukraine when I went to Kiev a few years ago. Fingers crossed.

[monty]

Oh! what a right stinker of a day I've had..:splapme and that's before I've had a bet. First my internet crashed, so I couldn't do any work :D so I decided to do some much needed work in my garden, just to keep my mrs happy.:ermmm I went to cut the grass and my lawnmower wouldn't start, eventually after an hour or so I got it going, only for it to cut out on me with one strip of grass left to cut :mad: not a problem I said? I'll use my strimmer, so I went to the shed and got my strimmer out, and guess what? no cable left in it, so I'm left with one long strip of grass in my garden.....:yikes: and Merlin you want to know if the Dundalk games it's a Monty Bet? :rolleyes: Well the way my luck has been going today? its probably best if I don't have any bets at all....lol :helper but I still feel confident about Dundalk tonight, so my answer is YES, it's a Monty Bet....:boing

[Merlin]

Whoosh....just got in......going straight out agin....:yikes:....missed the Monty Bet.....:yikes:

[monty]

mmm...:rolleyes:..That might end up to be a good thing the way my luck is going...lol

[Merlin]

mmm...:rolleyes:..That might end up to be a good thing the way my luck is going...lol

I already got a whack on the game anyway...but the monty bet would have nearly doubled the stake.....

[monty]

THURSDAY
……………….
Dundalk v Wexford Youths

9 POINTS HOME WIN @ 1.50 with William Hill


Full-Time Score:

Dundalk 2 Wexford Youths 0 . . . . . :D


It turned out to be a bit harder than I thought it would be, but who cares a win is a win. . . .:laugh

[Merlin]

DID WE WIN?
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CORSE WE DID....WOO HOO....TIMES THEY ARE A CHANGING…:laugh

[Merlin]

Gonna go in on some Brazil Serie A..later....kick-off 12.30am UK time…

Not gonna blast it……don’t want to lose all todays profit…if it goes pear-shaped…:yikes:

SANTOS HOME WIN @ 1.52 ish = 4 POINTS

The other bet is a really, really, really longshot….so BEWARE….yes…you guesed it….its…..

NAUTICO :yikes:AWAY:yikes: @ 10.00 = 1 POINT

[Merlin]

Here is the latest Brazil Seria A standings..

http://www.soccerway.com/national/brazil/first

You will see that Santos should win this game….

They also won the reverse fixture in May 0-1….

[monty]

Merlin

I'm going to go for St Patricks to beat Waterford Utd at home tomorrow. I know there form hasn't been great during the last few weeks, but my sheet is picking them to win and it's also picking Cork City to win at home against Galway Utd. As for a Monty bet I'm not sure what one to side with, the rating for St Patricks is much better, so I think it will be them.

[Merlin]

Great...thanks..M....I think Pats will come good again , too…..as for the Cork Men…:yikes:

[Merlin]

Can I post the Pats bet as a Monty then…? Or wait till tomorrow…..?

[monty]

Nautico? I hope that one comes in for you.... :spinning

[monty]

Can I post the Pats bet as a Monty then…? Or wait till tomorrow…..?

I will wait till tomorrow, till I see the team sheet, but I'm sure thats the one I'll end up going with....:)