Lyons @ Dundalk

[wb]

The Dundalk AW track is only new, but Ger Lyons has been firing some nice priced winners home.

All the while at the new Dundalk track, everyone has been watching the big guns like O' Brien and Oxx, but Lyons has been sneaking in winners of all ages.

All Ger Lyons trained horses @ Dundalk since it opened:

Age ......Races...... Wins ...........Placed (inc. win)....... Profit to €100 stakes
2yo...... 10............ 2 ................6 .................................€50
3yo........9............ 3................. 4 ................................€1,133
4yo+..... 8............ 2.................. 5 ...............................€1,250


He has a few entered for tomorrow evening:

09 Nov 2007 6:45 Archmani at DUNDALK (A.W)(Overnight), Ulster Bank Capital Maiden

09 Nov 2007 6:45 Hurricane Hen at DUNDALK (A.W)(Overnight), Ulster Bank Capital Maiden

09 Nov 2007 6:45 Edmondstown Lass at DUNDALK (A.W)(Overnight), Ulster Bank Capital Maiden

09 Nov 2007 7:45 Mist And Stone at DUNDALK (A.W)(Overnight), Ulster Bank Newry Fillies Handicap

09 Nov 2007 9:10 Turk at DUNDALK (A.W)(Overnight), Ulster Bank Corporate Markets Nursery

[Jonny2621]

nice one Wayne :wink

[wb]

7.4 on Mist and Stone. One to go. Thanks Ger :thumbs

[wb]

A few for Friday:



16 Nov 2007 6:45 Tin Cha Woody at DUNDALK (A.W)(Overnight), European Mortgages Race

16 Nov 2007 7:15 Romeo´s On Fire at DUNDALK (A.W)(Overnight), Anthony Duffy Construction Handicap

16 Nov 2007 7:45 Young Jemmy at DUNDALK (A.W)(Overnight), CRE Rentals Median Auction Maiden

16 Nov 2007 8:15 Crannog Cross at DUNDALK (A.W)(Overnight), Donnelly´s Bar & Restaurant Handicap

16 Nov 2007 9:10 Eskadron at DUNDALK (A.W)(Overnight), CRE Property Management Handicap

[wb]

Some great place prices last night and a 9/1 winner which was trading at 12s sees a decent return again :)

[wb]

A win and a place so far :) Couple left to go.

[wb]

It appears that Lyons is still worth following here. Excluding yet another winner tonight, his stats read...

Bets: 88
Wins: 15
Strike rate: 17.05%
Profit to €10 stakes: €170.50

[Win2Win]

17% at one track is not really that reliable though. The profits can easily be distorted by 1 or 2 high priced winners, they may have been 'lucky', a fluke, one of only a handful of finishers, you need to look at the figures closely, and the trend must be over at least 3 years to show it's a trainers track.

[vegyjones]

It appears that Lyons is still worth following here. Excluding yet another winner tonight, his stats read...

Bets: 88
Wins: 15
Strike rate: 17.05%
Profit to €10 stakes: €170.50


Is that since your first post Wayne...

becasue otherwise his stats read

up to November 8th

bets: 27
Wins: 7
Profit ti €10 stakes: €243.30

and since november 8th

bets: 61
wins: 8
profit to €10 stakes: -€72.80

[wb]

Hi Veg, He's shown a slight loss in 2008 so far:

Period Bets Wins SP Points Strike Rate

2008... 39... 6... -5.75... 15.38%
2007... 52... 10... 16.83... 19.23%

However, he's hit the bar loads of times and seems to be fighting back. As Keith says, it's not a huge sample by any means, so the risk averse may not be interested. I'm trying to get in early though and seeing if I can make a few quid on the new track before his prices are cut too much.

Regarding Dundalk, there's another early trend I'm following...

Again, this will not appeal to those who like large samples, but Murtagh has a cracking record there (Thanks to MattR for pointing this out to me!) :

Qualifiers Winners SP Points Strike Rate

62... 20... 52.23... 32.26%

[wb]

There ain't many people around these parts that follow Irish racing it seems, but for anyone interested, this is still working well. Since Dundalk AW track opened, backing Ger Lyons trained horses has produced:

Bets: 196
Wins: 42
Strike Rate: 21.43%
Profit to £100 stakes: £4025

Stack, Oxx and Michael O'Brien are all worth noting at Dundalk too.