betting expert
7th May 2008, 00:01
Chester Day 1:
1:45PM: 5F(Class2)
The draw is key in sprints round chester,very key,on the whole stick to horses drawn in stalls 1-3 most of the time
Horse drawn stall 1 in this race(just the lady) has shwon very little on all 3 runs so far, getting outpaced and looking a very one paced horse.
The 5f might be too short for the horse and step up in trip will suit in future,but can not be fully ruled out,as it being a front runner,if was to get a easy leade and the rail it could steal the race.
I do like how alan baileys aspen darl;in would well on it's only start so far, got slightly outpaced for most of the race,but stayed on well come the end to win well. He's a trainer that does well round here,but drawn stall 5,it will be tough work for this horse to follow up with another win.
The one for me is WHITE SHIFT, David evans the trainer and a trainer i follow closely,chester is his local track and he does very well at the course with his runners. Knows the place like the back of his hand.
Horse was very weak in the market on debut and threw up a suprise win on it's debut. Trainer admitted afterwards it was still not 100% fit, davids not a trainer that has many 2yr old hoprses winning on their debut,especially when not 100% sound. So you can garuntee this horse is half decent. Has listed race entry at redcar in october,so you can tell the horse is highly thought of by david.
Drawn stall 2 and made all on debut to win,so has the draw and it will be a battle for one horse to grab the rail and with a shrewd jockey booking of robert winston. This horse has aevery chance to follow up it's recent debut win.
Selection: WHITE SHIFT 7/1
2:15PM: 1m3f(llisted,class 1)
Very very tough race and all though longer trip,the draw is still key,as you never want to be stuck 3 or 4 wide round chester.
Clives horse Try me is interesting one,very sahrewd trainer and horse on first two career runs was ran well under the horses suited trip, was outpaced in those two races and rane two decent 3rds.
Then was stepped up to it's suited trip on run last time out and ran green and hanging badly. Horse went down by a head and was a unlucky loser. Horse is obviously decent,but still improving fro meach run. Drawn 9 of 9 and hanging badly is never a good sign for a horse round here,so all though i like the horse,it's one to skip today.
Another interesting runner is Sail of o'brien, always a trainer to take notice of,when sending one to chester,again like sail was ran under trip on debut,then stepped up in trip on 2nd run and looked winner,but for holding it's head high when asked to go and win the race. I t will have come on alot for that run and should be a major player here and with decent stall draw off 4 too.
One for me is LAUGHTER, Stoute the trainer and again a trainer to watch closely at chester. Won well last year over 7f despite running green, horse is bred for stamina, so big step up in trip is natural. Form of that maiden aint worked out too well, but it's better than the average maiden,and this horse has several group 1 entrys and was expensive purchase,brted very well out of sadlers wells. Drawn 6 which is not to bad. Ryan moore booked to ride who has ridden a few winners round this track, this horse should go close,but a race that is very open and any off the runners could easily grab it.
Selection: LAUGHTER 3/1
2.45PM: 2M2F(Handicap)
Chester cup is absolute lottery and will be so many hard luck storys, Got some top horses in this race inculding jump horse Fair along. But that horse is drawn 16 of 17 and it will need a miracle to win from that draw,no matter how much class it has.
You don't reallt want to be on a hold up horse either,you need a mircale to get the gaps in a race liek this and thats were most of hard luck storys will come from.
The local word in the area and strong vibes are for a horse called DOUBLE BANDED, and that is my selection. Gets in off very low mark and carrys only a 3 pound penalty for it's win 2 weeks ago. This horse has been plotted up nicely by dunlop and drawn 5, this horse will be ridden close to the pace if not make the running. Everything has fallen perfect for this horse, and with horse drawn stall 1 in dought of running,it could end up in even better draw. Danger could be Halla sun drawn 2, rated 120 over the jumps and only 90+ on the flat.
Horse will be fit as a flee after going jumping for last couple of months and should put up a good run here.
Selection: DOUBLE BANDED 5/1
3.15PM: 5F(Handicap)
two old sprint legends fire up the band and strike up the band run here,but have been given awful draws in 10 and 13, so i will not be touching them. Most of these are out of form, which could mean it throws up big price winner. But for me the safe and reliable horse round here is CARIBBEAN CORAL. Two time winner round here and course expert, horse loves the place.
Likes to race just off the pace in behind and with several fron runners in this race,a strong gallop is garunteed, drawn 6 of 14 which is not to bad, will be able to drop in behind and when they swing for home,hope the gaps come and if so off it will fly. Horse is geared every year for a win at this course,won off 86 last year and races off 81 today, plus decent claimer taking 3 off it's back, the horse has 8 pound in hand. It's a handicap steal and will be all set to put up another bold run.
Selection: CARIBBEAN CORAL 20/1
4.00PM: 1M2F(Maiden)
Impossible race this, and the market will guide you to the likely winner. But i do like the look off KINGS CHARM and that is my choice here. Ran in very decent maiden and was running a good race for a long time,before flattening out late on. Horse was never settled that day and will come on for the run. Stable is slying at the moment and j.noseda has very high strike rate at this course. Horse has group 2 entrys and again naoither well bred horse. Should take some beating in this type of race,but market will guide you.
Selection: KINGS CHARM 5/1
4.35PM: 1M4F(Handicap)
Shocking race and probably best to be on something at decent price.......or just skip the race. But being forced to pick one, i would have to go for YES MR PRESIDENT, mark johnston not a stable i like and not exactly going great guns at moment. But this horse being out of montjeu,its bred for race like this. Ran two very poor races on it's first two runs,but that could just be down to johnston stable form at the time, but horse hacked up last time out in 3 runner race and all though never beat much,it was very impressive and looked to have improved alot from first two runs. Got stall 1, and getting a weight of most of it's rivals. I will be disappointed if it does not go close here. But not a race to get involved with to be honest.
Selection: YES MR PRESIDENT 8/1
1:45PM: 5F(Class2)
The draw is key in sprints round chester,very key,on the whole stick to horses drawn in stalls 1-3 most of the time
Horse drawn stall 1 in this race(just the lady) has shwon very little on all 3 runs so far, getting outpaced and looking a very one paced horse.
The 5f might be too short for the horse and step up in trip will suit in future,but can not be fully ruled out,as it being a front runner,if was to get a easy leade and the rail it could steal the race.
I do like how alan baileys aspen darl;in would well on it's only start so far, got slightly outpaced for most of the race,but stayed on well come the end to win well. He's a trainer that does well round here,but drawn stall 5,it will be tough work for this horse to follow up with another win.
The one for me is WHITE SHIFT, David evans the trainer and a trainer i follow closely,chester is his local track and he does very well at the course with his runners. Knows the place like the back of his hand.
Horse was very weak in the market on debut and threw up a suprise win on it's debut. Trainer admitted afterwards it was still not 100% fit, davids not a trainer that has many 2yr old hoprses winning on their debut,especially when not 100% sound. So you can garuntee this horse is half decent. Has listed race entry at redcar in october,so you can tell the horse is highly thought of by david.
Drawn stall 2 and made all on debut to win,so has the draw and it will be a battle for one horse to grab the rail and with a shrewd jockey booking of robert winston. This horse has aevery chance to follow up it's recent debut win.
Selection: WHITE SHIFT 7/1
2:15PM: 1m3f(llisted,class 1)
Very very tough race and all though longer trip,the draw is still key,as you never want to be stuck 3 or 4 wide round chester.
Clives horse Try me is interesting one,very sahrewd trainer and horse on first two career runs was ran well under the horses suited trip, was outpaced in those two races and rane two decent 3rds.
Then was stepped up to it's suited trip on run last time out and ran green and hanging badly. Horse went down by a head and was a unlucky loser. Horse is obviously decent,but still improving fro meach run. Drawn 9 of 9 and hanging badly is never a good sign for a horse round here,so all though i like the horse,it's one to skip today.
Another interesting runner is Sail of o'brien, always a trainer to take notice of,when sending one to chester,again like sail was ran under trip on debut,then stepped up in trip on 2nd run and looked winner,but for holding it's head high when asked to go and win the race. I t will have come on alot for that run and should be a major player here and with decent stall draw off 4 too.
One for me is LAUGHTER, Stoute the trainer and again a trainer to watch closely at chester. Won well last year over 7f despite running green, horse is bred for stamina, so big step up in trip is natural. Form of that maiden aint worked out too well, but it's better than the average maiden,and this horse has several group 1 entrys and was expensive purchase,brted very well out of sadlers wells. Drawn 6 which is not to bad. Ryan moore booked to ride who has ridden a few winners round this track, this horse should go close,but a race that is very open and any off the runners could easily grab it.
Selection: LAUGHTER 3/1
2.45PM: 2M2F(Handicap)
Chester cup is absolute lottery and will be so many hard luck storys, Got some top horses in this race inculding jump horse Fair along. But that horse is drawn 16 of 17 and it will need a miracle to win from that draw,no matter how much class it has.
You don't reallt want to be on a hold up horse either,you need a mircale to get the gaps in a race liek this and thats were most of hard luck storys will come from.
The local word in the area and strong vibes are for a horse called DOUBLE BANDED, and that is my selection. Gets in off very low mark and carrys only a 3 pound penalty for it's win 2 weeks ago. This horse has been plotted up nicely by dunlop and drawn 5, this horse will be ridden close to the pace if not make the running. Everything has fallen perfect for this horse, and with horse drawn stall 1 in dought of running,it could end up in even better draw. Danger could be Halla sun drawn 2, rated 120 over the jumps and only 90+ on the flat.
Horse will be fit as a flee after going jumping for last couple of months and should put up a good run here.
Selection: DOUBLE BANDED 5/1
3.15PM: 5F(Handicap)
two old sprint legends fire up the band and strike up the band run here,but have been given awful draws in 10 and 13, so i will not be touching them. Most of these are out of form, which could mean it throws up big price winner. But for me the safe and reliable horse round here is CARIBBEAN CORAL. Two time winner round here and course expert, horse loves the place.
Likes to race just off the pace in behind and with several fron runners in this race,a strong gallop is garunteed, drawn 6 of 14 which is not to bad, will be able to drop in behind and when they swing for home,hope the gaps come and if so off it will fly. Horse is geared every year for a win at this course,won off 86 last year and races off 81 today, plus decent claimer taking 3 off it's back, the horse has 8 pound in hand. It's a handicap steal and will be all set to put up another bold run.
Selection: CARIBBEAN CORAL 20/1
4.00PM: 1M2F(Maiden)
Impossible race this, and the market will guide you to the likely winner. But i do like the look off KINGS CHARM and that is my choice here. Ran in very decent maiden and was running a good race for a long time,before flattening out late on. Horse was never settled that day and will come on for the run. Stable is slying at the moment and j.noseda has very high strike rate at this course. Horse has group 2 entrys and again naoither well bred horse. Should take some beating in this type of race,but market will guide you.
Selection: KINGS CHARM 5/1
4.35PM: 1M4F(Handicap)
Shocking race and probably best to be on something at decent price.......or just skip the race. But being forced to pick one, i would have to go for YES MR PRESIDENT, mark johnston not a stable i like and not exactly going great guns at moment. But this horse being out of montjeu,its bred for race like this. Ran two very poor races on it's first two runs,but that could just be down to johnston stable form at the time, but horse hacked up last time out in 3 runner race and all though never beat much,it was very impressive and looked to have improved alot from first two runs. Got stall 1, and getting a weight of most of it's rivals. I will be disappointed if it does not go close here. But not a race to get involved with to be honest.
Selection: YES MR PRESIDENT 8/1