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MattR
30th July 2008, 22:38
These have been going really well since I started them at the start of July so I thought I'd start to post them (and watch as they go ***'s up :ooo)

For the record they are 25/37 25 wins, 7 draws, 5 losses and my starting bank of £333.33 (I decided to use 3% of the bank as the stake and wanted to start with a tenner) is now up to £498.86. Average odds of the selections to date is 2.20. I'll start on here with my current bank and stake to save working everything out twice.

Here's tonight's.

Odds are those I got earlier - brackets are current odds on betfair)

All bets are on the home team

Tonight's stake is £14.94

Vitoria v Atl Paranense 1.74 (1.73)
Botafogo v GOIAS 1.68 (1.64)
Portuguesa v Fluminense 2.40 (2.66)
Figuerense v Sao Paulo 2.88 (3.05)
Internacional v Santos 1.75 (1.82)

Seem's I'd have been better off waiting to back them until now! Usually they mostly drop a tad which is why I've taken to getting them in earlier. Still, I can only miss out on profit if it wins!

MattR
31st July 2008, 09:40
Vitoria v Atl Paranense 1.74 (1.73) W 2-1
Botafogo v GOIAS 1.68 (1.64) W 2-0
Portuguesa v Fluminense 2.40 (2.66) W 3-1
Figuerense v Sao Paulo 2.88 (3.05) D 1-1
Internacional v Santos 1.75 (1.82) L 0-1


Results
3/5
Pr/Lo +10.14 :)

New Bank 508.20
Tonight's Stake 15.25

Just one selection tonight

Vasco De Gama v Atletico Mineiro 1.94

MattR
1st August 2008, 10:10
Vasco De Gama v Atletico Mineiro 1.94 W 6-1


Results to date
4/6
Pr/Lo +23.51 :)


New Bank £521.57
Next Stake £15.65


Next batch of games are sat/sun evening

MattR
2nd August 2008, 10:08
Tonight's games

Stake £15.65

Fluminense v Internacional 2.46
Nautico v Figueirense 2.08

MattR
3rd August 2008, 19:05
Fluminense v Internacional 2.46 L 1-2
Nautico v Figueirense 2.08 L 1-2


Results to date
4/8
Pr/Lo -7.79


New Bank £490.27
Next Stake £14.71


Tonight's games

8pm Flamengo v Cruzeiro 2.22
8pm Ipatinga v Palmeiras 3.70
10.20pm Atletico MG v Sp Recife 1.95
10.20pm Atletico PR v Botafogo 2.06

yerotsluap
3rd August 2008, 20:20
Fluminense v Internacional 2.46 L 1-2
Nautico v Figueirense 2.08 L 1-2


Results to date
4/8
Pr/Lo -7.79


New Bank £490.27
Next Stake £14.71


Tonight's games

8pm Flamengo v Cruzeiro 2.22
8pm Ipatinga v Palmeiras 3.70
10.20pm Atletico MG v Sp Recife 1.95
10.20pm Atletico PR v Botafogo 2.06

Saw a little of the Fluminense game last night and they were absolutely hopeless could barely string two passes together

MattR
3rd August 2008, 21:15
Yeah, I was hoping they would be better than they have been. They were playing a lot of reserve players early in the season when they were in the Copa Libertadores and I thought they were in a false position. Perhaps not!

This is system based though and the final part of the system is whether the odds are higher than the stats system says they should be. If so then I am betting them.

Nautico have been a pain since I started too. They have lost 3 of the 4 games they have been selections for.

MattR
4th August 2008, 23:21
8pm Flamengo v Cruzeiro 2.22 L 1-2
8pm Ipatinga v Palmeiras 3.70 L 1-2
10.20pm Atletico MG v Sp Recife 1.95 W 2-1
10.20pm Atletico PR v Botafogo 2.06 L 0-3

Results to date
5/12
Pr/Lo -38.62


New Bank £459.44
Next Stake £13.78


Awful weekend on them. :ermmm Usually very few away wins in Brazil. 1-2 seemed to be the favourite score.

Next games midweek.

MattR
6th August 2008, 21:28
Stake £13.78


11.30pm Vasco v Coritba 2.16
12.30am Sp Recife v Portuguesa 1.59
1.50am Santos v Atl MG 1.91