mathare's Under/Over 2.5 Goals Systems

[mathare]

If you've been following my gamblog at all you'll know I have been analysing English football data looking for under/over 2.5 goals systems and have found a few systems of interest that I will be paper trading here on the forum. I cannot stress enough how important the words "paper trading" are here. I have done quite a bit of research and analysis into these systems but it is still risky to go live with any system right away so I will be monitoring the selections and results without putting down any real money just yet. And I don't suggest you follow these with real money either until such time as they are proven.

All bets are to 1pt stake at the specified odds which have been taken from Oddschecker

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 Goals
Doncaster v Barnsley @ 11/10 (Blue Sq, SkyBet)
Ipswich v Swansea @ 11/10 (general)
QPR v Preston @ 11/10 (Victor Chandler, Blue Sq, Paddy Power etc)

4a (30) - Over 2.5 Goals
Ipswich v Swansea @ 11/10 (general)

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 Goals
Southend v Bristol Rovers @ 4/5 (Sportingbet, SkyBet)
Yeovil v Carlise @ 4/5 (Bet365, SkyBet)

3a (50) - Under 2.5 Goals
Leeds v Norwich @ 9/10 (Bet365)
Walsall v Exeter @ 17/20 (Bet365)
Yeovil v Carlise @ 4/5 (Bet365, SkyBet)

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 Goals
None

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 Goals
None

I will keep the usual set of stats (profit, SR, ROI) for each system and post regular updates to allow easy monitoring of the systems.

[mathare]

Not a great start with just one game going our way. I didn't realise Leeds v Norwich is not till Monday night as it was down as a Saturday game when I checked the coupon but I will update the stats after that game

[mathare]

A goal for Leeds in injury time last night took that match over 2.5 goals and it was looking so good for us too. Oh well.

Not a great start for these systems at all with just one winner. We have a chance to put things right tonight though with a full set of Championship matches to be played.

[mathare]

Tuesday 20th October

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 Goals
Doncaster v Peterborough @ 23/20 (Bet365)
QPR v Reading @ 21/20 (Bet365)

[mathare]

Two winners at greater than evens last night gets things back on track a bit more. Championship system 2a (10) is now in profit but we're still running at a loss overall. It's very early days yet though.

Stats are as shown in the attachment

[TheGoodGuy]

Well done on the Doncaster & QPR results, Mat.

I'm following this thread with interest, especially to see how many of your qualifiers match with my rather basic system.

My system also threw up the QPR match as being OVER.......but not the Doncaster match......my system predicted it to be so NOT an OVER game that I was tempted to back it as an UNDER. Luckily I didn't.

I am back to paper trialling my OVER/UNDER system until I can come up with something more consistent/reliable..........but I wish you well with your efforts & am watching closely!

:thumbs

[mathare]

Thanks for the kind words Ada. Good luck with the trial of your system - it'll be interesting to see how it works out for you. And if you need any help, or just someone to bounce ideas of, give me a shout :thumbs

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 Goals
Crystal Palace v Nottm Forest @ 5/4 (Bet365)
Preston v Middlesbrough @ 19/20 (Bet365)
Derby v QPR @ 23/20 (Extrabet)

4a (30) - Over 2.5 Goals
Barnsley v Bristol City @ 5/4 (Bet365)
Derby v QPR @ 23/20 (Extrabet)

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 Goals
Millwall v Leeds @ 4/5 (Betfred, Skybet, Stan James)

3a (50) - Under 2.5 Goals
Bristol Rovers v Yeovil @ 17/20 (Sportingbet)
Millwall v Leeds @ 4/5 (Betfred, Skybet, Stan James)

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 Goals
None

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 Goals
None

I don't understand the League One markets this week. The vast majority of the matches have been priced up identically. Has the Premiership and the big games there taking up too much of the odds compilers' time leaving little for the minor league markets? The League Two markets are priced more as I'd expect though so perhaps it's just the League One fixtures this week...

[mathare]

Weird. The systems I didn't expect to do so well (the Championship ones) are on fire while the lower league systems are struggling initially. Hmmm.

Stats as shown in the attachment (the easiest way to display tables properly)

[mathare]

Things start to step up a bit now with the League Two systems coming online properly. I hope no-one minds but I won't be posting up the bookies offering the best odds along with each bet as that is proving rather time-consuming. The odds are there somewhere though as I check each match with Oddschecker and note the best odds for over/under in each match. The vast majority of the prices are from Bet365 though so that's a good place to start if you want to bet on under/overs.

Remember though, I am still paper-trading these...

Friday 30th October
League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
Southend v Gillingham @ 17/20

Saturday 31st October
Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 Goals
Coventry v Reading @ 11/10
Doncaster v Blackpool @ 6/5
Preston v Crystal Palace @ evens

4a (30) - Over 2.5 Goals
None

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
Millwall v Colchester @ 4/5

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
Leeds v Yeovil @ evens
Millwall v Colchester @ 4/5
MK Dons v Bristol Rovers @ 21/20

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
Bournemouth v Rochdale @ 17/20
Burton v Bury @ 19/20
Hereford v Darlington @ 4/5
Rotherham v Aldershot @ 17/20
Torquay v Northampton @ 11/10

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
Bournemouth v Rochdale @ 17/20
Burton v Bury @ 19/20
Hereford v Darlington @ 4/5
Rotherham v Aldershot @ 17/20
Torquay v Northampton @ 11/10

[mathare]

Pretty much breakeven over all that lot with League One still continuing to disappoint :(

Stats as per attached table

[mathare]

It's the first round proper of the FA Cup this weekend which means there are no league games in the bottom two divisions which means we just have the Championship working for us with the under/overs.

I am using a slightly different format for the bets this week as it saves me a considerable amount of time to use a macro to output them, and this is the best format for the macro output. It should all be clear enough though...

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
07/11/2009 Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough @ 6/5
07/11/2009 Watford v Preston @ 19/20
09/11/2009 Barnsley v Sheffield Utd @ 1/1

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
09/11/2009 Barnsley v Sheffield Utd @ 1/1

League 1
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
None

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
None

League 2
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
None

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
None

[mathare]

Breakeven overall last weekend

[mathare]

It's an international break for the top leagues this weekend but the lower leagues are back in action after last week's FA Cup distraction.

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
None

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
None

League 1
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
14/11/2009 Huddersfield v Wycombe @ 11/10
14/11/2009 Bristol Rovers v Carlisle @ 1/1
14/11/2009 Colchester v Exeter @ 1/1
14/11/2009 Yeovil v Southend @ 4/5

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
14/11/2009 Huddersfield v Wycombe @ 11/10
14/11/2009 Bristol Rovers v Carlisle @ 1/1
14/11/2009 Colchester v Exeter @ 1/1
14/11/2009 Walsall v Stockport @ 9/10
14/11/2009 Yeovil v Southend @ 4/5

League 2
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
14/11/2009 Bradford v Bournemouth @ 5/6
14/11/2009 Bury v Notts County @ 4/5
14/11/2009 Darlington v Burton @ 4/5
14/11/2009 Lincoln v Cheltenham @ 4/5
14/11/2009 Port Vale v Rotherham @ 17/20

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
14/11/2009 Bradford v Bournemouth @ 5/6
14/11/2009 Bury v Notts County @ 4/5
14/11/2009 Darlington v Burton @ 4/5
14/11/2009 Lincoln v Cheltenham @ 4/5
14/11/2009 Port Vale v Rotherham @ 17/20

[mathare]

A real mixed bag this weekend with goals galore in League One, unfortunately.

Stats as shown in attached table

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
21/11/2009 Barnsley v Cardiff @ 10/11
21/11/2009 Coventry v Crystal Palace @ 6/5
21/11/2009 Doncaster v QPR @ 21/20
23/11/2009 Preston v Newcastle @ 19/20

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
21/11/2009 Coventry v Crystal Palace @ 6/5
21/11/2009 Ipswich v Sheffield Weds @ 21/20

League 1
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
21/11/2009 Carlisle v Swindon @ 10/11
21/11/2009 Millwall v Wycombe @ 4/5
21/11/2009 Yeovil v Charlton @ 4/5

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
21/11/2009 Bristol Rovers v Gillingham @ 10/11
21/11/2009 Millwall v Wycombe @ 4/5
21/11/2009 Yeovil v Charlton @ 4/5

League 2
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
21/11/2009 Bradford v Accrington @ 1/1
21/11/2009 Burton v Hereford @ 17/20
21/11/2009 Lincoln v Grimsby @ 8/11
21/11/2009 Northampton v Crewe @ 11/10
21/11/2009 Torquay v Rotherham @ 4/5

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
21/11/2009 Bradford v Accrington @ 1/1
21/11/2009 Burton v Hereford @ 17/20
21/11/2009 Lincoln v Grimsby @ 8/11
21/11/2009 Northampton v Crewe @ 11/10
21/11/2009 Torquay v Rotherham @ 4/5

[mathare]

Another slight loss this weekend (although there is still one match to be played) but at least we had some winners in League One for a change

Stats ahead of the Preston v Newcastle game as shown in the attachment

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
23/11/2009 Preston v Newcastle @ 19/20

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
None

League 1
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
None

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
24/11/2009 Colchester v Stockport @ 10/11

League 2
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
24/11/2009 Darlington v Morecambe @ 4/5
24/11/2009 Port Vale v Torquay @ 3/4
24/11/2009 Rotherham v Lincoln @ 17/20

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
24/11/2009 Darlington v Morecambe @ 4/5
24/11/2009 Port Vale v Torquay @ 3/4
24/11/2009 Rotherham v Lincoln @ 17/20

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
28/11/2009 Crystal Palace v Watford @ 11/10
29/11/2009 Cardiff v Ipswich @ 20/19

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
None

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
None

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
None

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
None

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
None

[mathare]

The stats below include the midweek games as well as the two Championship bets from the weekend

[mathare]

A busy midweek session for the bottom divisions had thrown up quite a few bets...

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
None

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
None

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
01/12/2009 Brighton v Charlton @ 19/20
01/12/2009 Bristol Rovers v Exeter @ 11/10
01/12/2009 Carlisle v Hartlepool @ 19/20
01/12/2009 Huddersfield v Tranmere @ 23/20
01/12/2009 Millwall v MK Dons @ 10/11
01/12/2009 Southend v Norwich @ 10/11
01/12/2009 Yeovil v Walsall @ 4/5

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
01/12/2009 Brighton v Charlton @ 19/20
01/12/2009 Carlisle v Hartlepool @ 19/20
01/12/2009 Huddersfield v Tranmere @ 23/20
01/12/2009 Millwall v MK Dons @ 10/11
01/12/2009 Yeovil v Walsall @ 4/5

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
01/12/2009 Bradford v Rochdale @ 10/11
01/12/2009 Burton v Accrington @ 17/20
01/12/2009 Lincoln v Port Vale @ 2/3
01/12/2009 Torquay v Cheltenham @ 17/20

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
01/12/2009 Bradford v Rochdale @ 10/11
01/12/2009 Burton v Accrington @ 17/20
01/12/2009 Lincoln v Port Vale @ 2/3
01/12/2009 Torquay v Cheltenham @ 17/20

[mathare]

A terrible night for these last night with far too many goals going in. The League One systems are having a complete shocker!

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
05/12/2009 Crystal Palace v Doncaster @ 11/10
05/12/2009 Peterborough v Swansea @ 21/20

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
None

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
05/12/2009 Colchester v Bristol Rovers @ 21/20
05/12/2009 Exeter v Brighton @ 21/20
05/12/2009 Gillingham v Carlisle @ 1/1
05/12/2009 Walsall v Southampton @ 43/40

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
05/12/2009 Colchester v Bristol Rovers @ 21/20
05/12/2009 Exeter v Brighton @ 21/20
05/12/2009 Walsall v Southampton @ 43/40

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
05/12/2009 Darlington v Bradford @ 1/1
05/12/2009 Port Vale v Morecambe @ 10/11
05/12/2009 Rotherham v Burton @ 4/5

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
05/12/2009 Darlington v Bradford @ 1/1
05/12/2009 Port Vale v Morecambe @ 10/11
05/12/2009 Rotherham v Burton @ 4/5

[mathare]

Much more like it this weekend with just three incorrect and a gain of around 7pts

[mathare]

Just one Championship game tonight

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
07/12/2009 Watford v QPR @ 10/11

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
None

[mathare]

Wednesday 9th December
I accidentally missed 9 Championship games last night (I don't quite know how) and when trying to sort my spreadsheet out to handle these missed games I noticed something odd with some of the numbers. Further investigation uncovered several errors in the code that calculated the bets for the Championship and League One systems. I have now fixed these errors - and double-checked the bets so I know they are now correct. However, this means the bets I have posted up for the Championship and League One paper trades may not be correct. I could go through and check the bets on this thread and compare them to the spreadsheet and correct them as I go but I'm not going to - I can't be bothered quite frankly. What I will do is post a new set of stats showing the correct figures for all systems - and the new figures are rubbish I'm afraid. The Championship systems that looked to be doing alright aren't do very well at all in actual fact. Not as bad as the League One systems (whose figures were pretty close before actually) but still not great. This correction has 'cost' me over 10pts but at least I can now be 100% confident that the systems are as I intended them to be (in terms of the bets selected if not the results).

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
12/12/2009 Sheffield Utd v Crystal Palace @ 21/20
12/12/2009 Swansea v Nottm Forest @ 13/10
13/12/2009 Middlesbrough v Cardiff @ 1/1

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
12/12/2009 Swansea v Nottm Forest @ 13/10

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
12/12/2009 Carlisle v Wycombe @ 10/11
12/12/2009 Huddersfield v Gillingham @ 6/5
12/12/2009 Leyton Orient v MK Dons @ 11/10
12/12/2009 Millwall v Walsall @ 17/20
12/12/2009 Yeovil v Norwich @ 19/20

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
12/12/2009 Bristol Rovers v Swindon @ 17/20
12/12/2009 Huddersfield v Gillingham @ 6/5
12/12/2009 Leyton Orient v MK Dons @ 11/10
12/12/2009 Millwall v Walsall @ 17/20

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
12/12/2009 Barnet v Crewe @ 1/1
12/12/2009 Bradford v Rotherham @ 17/20
12/12/2009 Burton v Aldershot @ 17/20
12/12/2009 Lincoln v Rochdale @ 11/13
12/12/2009 Shrewsbury v Grimsby @ 17/20
12/12/2009 Torquay v Darlington @ 13/15

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
12/12/2009 Barnet v Crewe @ 1/1
12/12/2009 Bradford v Rotherham @ 17/20
12/12/2009 Burton v Aldershot @ 17/20
12/12/2009 Lincoln v Rochdale @ 11/13
12/12/2009 Shrewsbury v Grimsby @ 17/20
12/12/2009 Torquay v Darlington @ 13/15

[mathare]

An extremely poor weekend here losing nearly 20pts across all systems. The bottom two divisions saw a veritable goal fest while the Championship just didn't get the goals we needed in the games we picked. These things happen though. That said, I am surprised these systems are doing as poorly as they are...

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
19/12/2009 Plymouth v Coventry @ 23/20
19/12/2009 Nottm Forest v Preston @ 23/20

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
19/12/2009 Crystal Palace v Barnsley @ 6/5
19/12/2009 Nottm Forest v Preston @ 23/20

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
19/12/2009 Tranmere v Bristol Rovers @ 21/20

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
19/12/2009 Leeds v Southampton @ 10/11
19/12/2009 Tranmere v Bristol Rovers @ 21/20
19/12/2009 Walsall v Leyton Orient @ 19/20

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
19/12/2009 Darlington v Northampton @ 19/20 - abd
19/12/2009 Port Vale v Chesterfield @ 10/11 - abd
19/12/2009 Rotherham v Dag & Red @ 19/20 - abd
21/12/2009 Bournemouth v Notts County @ 10/11 - abd

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
19/12/2009 Darlington v Northampton @ 19/20 - abd
19/12/2009 Port Vale v Chesterfield @ 10/11 - abd
19/12/2009 Rotherham v Dag & Red @ 19/20 - abd
21/12/2009 Bournemouth v Notts County @ 10/11 - abd

[mathare]

League Two was abandoned but finally the League One systems kick into action and we secured a small profit this weekend.

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
26/12/2009 Crystal Palace v Ipswich @ 23/20
26/12/2009 Preston v Barnsley @ 21/20 - postponed
26/12/2009 Leicester v Sheffield Utd @ 5/4

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
26/12/2009 Crystal Palace v Ipswich @ 23/20
26/12/2009 Preston v Barnsley @ 21/20 - postponed
26/12/2009 Leicester v Sheffield Utd @ 5/4

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
26/12/2009 Brighton v Leyton Orient @ 21/20
26/12/2009 Southend v Colchester @ 5/6
26/12/2009 Carlisle v Huddersfield @ 19/20 - postponed
26/12/2009 Yeovil v Wycombe @ 17/20

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
26/12/2009 Brighton v Leyton Orient @ 21/20
26/12/2009 Carlisle v Huddersfield @ 19/20 - postponed
26/12/2009 Leeds v Hartlepool @ 21/20
26/12/2009 Yeovil v Wycombe @ 17/20

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
26/12/2009 Lincoln v Chesterfield @ 19/20
26/12/2009 Port Vale v Burton @ 4/5 - postponed
26/12/2009 Shrewsbury v Macclesfield @ 10/11
26/12/2009 Torquay v Hereford @ 10/11

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
26/12/2009 Lincoln v Chesterfield @ 19/20
26/12/2009 Port Vale v Burton @ 4/5 - postponed
26/12/2009 Shrewsbury v Macclesfield @ 10/11
26/12/2009 Torquay v Hereford @ 10/11

[mathare]

Stats following the Boxing Day fixtures as per the attached table

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
28/12/2009 Bristol City v Watford @ 21/20
28/12/2009 Nottm Forest v Coventry @ 11/10
28/12/2009 Sheffield Utd v Preston @ 23/20
28/12/2009 Swansea v Crystal Palace @ 13/10

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
28/12/2009 Bristol City v Watford @ 21/20
28/12/2009 Sheffield Utd v Preston @ 23/20

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
28/12/2009 Colchester v Southampton @ 1/1
28/12/2009 Huddersfield v MK Dons @ 11/10
28/12/2009 Millwall v Bristol Rovers @ 10/11

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
28/12/2009 Colchester v Southampton @ 1/1
28/12/2009 Millwall v Bristol Rovers @ 10/11
28/12/2009 Walsall v Norwich @ 1/1 - postponed

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
28/12/2009 Barnet v Northampton @ 10/11
28/12/2009 Bournemouth v Torquay @ 8/11
28/12/2009 Bradford v Shrewsbury @ 1/1
28/12/2009 Burton v Notts County @ 1/1
28/12/2009 Darlington v Lincoln @ 7/10 - postponed

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
28/12/2009 Barnet v Northampton @ 10/11
28/12/2009 Bournemouth v Torquay @ 8/11
28/12/2009 Bradford v Shrewsbury @ 1/1
28/12/2009 Burton v Notts County @ 1/1
28/12/2009 Darlington v Lincoln @ 7/10 - postponed

[mathare]

For systems I thought I had researched thoroughly these are doing really badly. I am deeply disappointed but not too disheartened as there are plenty more angles I can look at the raw data to unearth more ways of beating the bookies

[mathare]

It's FA Cup 3rd round weekend so nothing in the Championship and only a few fixtures in League One and Two

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
None

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
None

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
02/01/2010 Wycombe v Norwich @ 11/10

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
02/01/2010 Walsall v Charlton @ 13/15 - postponed

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
02/01/2010 Bournemouth v Northampton @ 17/20
02/01/2010 Bradford v Cheltenham @ 17/20
02/01/2010 Darlington v Port Vale @ 4/5 - postponed
02/01/2010 Hereford v Crewe @ 6/5 - postponed

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
02/01/2010 Bradford v Cheltenham @ 17/20
02/01/2010 Darlington v Port Vale @ 4/5 - postponed
02/01/2010 Hereford v Crewe @ 6/5 - postponed

[mathare]

That's a bit better :)

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
09/01/2010 Coventry v Barnsley @ 21/20
09/01/2010 Crystal Palace v Bristol City @ 6/5 - postponed

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
09/01/2010 Coventry v Barnsley @ 21/20
10/01/2010 Leicester v Ipswich @ 21/20

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
09/01/2010 Leeds v Wycombe @ 5/4

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
None

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
None

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
None

[mathare]

The few games that survived were good for a couple of points but still a long way back to evens...

[mathare]

Hopefully we'll have virtually all the league games on this weekend and no further postponements to disrupt things further

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
16/01/2010 Blackpool v QPR @ 21/20
16/01/2010 Bristol City v Preston @ 6/5
16/01/2010 Ipswich v Coventry @ 11/10
16/01/2010 Plymouth v Crystal Palace @ 13/10
16/01/2010 Scunthorpe v Cardiff @ 5/4

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
16/01/2010 Bristol City v Preston @ 6/5
16/01/2010 Doncaster v Watford @ 6/5
16/01/2010 Peterborough v Derby @ 21/20
16/01/2010 Scunthorpe v Cardiff @ 5/4

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
16/01/2010 Exeter v Leeds @ 10/11
16/01/2010 Huddersfield v Southend @ 23/20
16/01/2010 Leyton Orient v Bristol Rovers @ 11/10 - postponed
16/01/2010 Millwall v Southampton @ 10/11
16/01/2010 Wycombe v Charlton @ 1/1

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
16/01/2010 Colchester v Norwich @ 19/20
16/01/2010 Huddersfield v Southend @ 23/20
16/01/2010 Leyton Orient v Bristol Rovers @ 11/10 - postponed
16/01/2010 Millwall v Southampton @ 10/11
16/01/2010 Walsall v Brighton @ 42/41
16/01/2010 Wycombe v Charlton @ 1/1

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
16/01/2010 Barnet v Lincoln @ 8/11
16/01/2010 Bournemouth v Bury @ 11/13
16/01/2010 Bradford v Notts County @ 11/10 - postponed
16/01/2010 Burton v Shrewsbury @ 42/41
16/01/2010 Darlington v Aldershot @ 10/11 - postponed
16/01/2010 Hereford v Morecambe @ 21/20 - postponed

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
16/01/2010 Bournemouth v Bury @ 11/13
16/01/2010 Bradford v Notts County @ 11/10 - postponed
16/01/2010 Burton v Shrewsbury @ 42/41
16/01/2010 Darlington v Aldershot @ 10/11 - postponed

[mathare]

Pretty much breakeven all told this weekend

[mathare]

One for tonight:

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
17/01/2010 Newcastle v West Brom @ 11/10

[mathare]

I completely forgot about the other midweek fixtures :splapme I thought I'd done the whole lot but evidently I only did Monday's Championship game. Oh well.

Here are the weekend's bets anyway
Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
23/01/2010 Blackpool v Watford @ 10/11
23/01/2010 Plymouth v Barnsley @ 11/10 - postponed

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
23/01/2010 Plymouth v Barnsley @ 11/10 - postponed

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
23/01/2010 Carlisle v Stockport @ 1/1
23/01/2010 Yeovil v Exeter @ 18/19

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
23/01/2010 Bristol Rovers v Hartlepool @ 19/20
23/01/2010 Carlisle v Stockport @ 1/1

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
23/01/2010 Lincoln v Bradford @ 4/5
23/01/2010 Port Vale v Macclesfield @ 17/20
23/01/2010 Shrewsbury v Dag & Red @ 17/20
23/01/2010 Torquay v Burton @ 4/5

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
23/01/2010 Lincoln v Bradford @ 4/5
23/01/2010 Shrewsbury v Dag & Red @ 17/20
23/01/2010 Torquay v Burton @ 4/5

[mathare]

League Two let me down this weekend and as a result it's a loss of around a couple of points overall.

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
26/01/2010 Bristol City v Cardiff @ 21/20
26/01/2010 Nottm Forest v QPR @ 21/20
26/01/2010 Peterborough v Preston @ 1/1
26/01/2010 Plymouth v Derby @ 5/4
26/01/2010 Swansea v Coventry @ 5/4

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
26/01/2010 Plymouth v Derby @ 5/4
26/01/2010 Swansea v Coventry @ 5/4

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
26/01/2010 Millwall v Southend @ 4/5

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
26/01/2010 Brentford v Southampton @ 5/6
26/01/2010 Millwall v Southend @ 4/5
26/01/2010 Walsall v Norwich @ 1/1

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
26/01/2010 Darlington v Northampton @ 4/5
27/01/2010 Burton v Lincoln @ 19/20

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
26/01/2010 Darlington v Northampton @ 4/5
27/01/2010 Burton v Lincoln @ 19/20

[mathare]

Not quite good enough midweek, down a few more points :(

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
30/01/2010 Cardiff v Doncaster @ 11/10
30/01/2010 Reading v Barnsley @ 1/1

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
30/01/2010 Reading v Barnsley @ 1/1

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
30/01/2010 Bristol Rovers v Wycombe @ 18/19
30/01/2010 Carlisle v Leyton Orient @ 11/13
30/01/2010 Yeovil v Huddersfield @ 11/10

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
30/01/2010 Bristol Rovers v Wycombe @ 18/19
30/01/2010 Leeds v Colchester @ 17/20

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
30/01/2010 Lincoln v Dag & Red @ 10/11 - postponed
30/01/2010 Northampton v Burton @ 1/1
30/01/2010 Port Vale v Hereford @ 10/11
30/01/2010 Shrewsbury v Accrington @ 1/1
30/01/2010 Torquay v Bradford @ 1/1

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
30/01/2010 Lincoln v Dag & Red @ 10/11 - postponed
30/01/2010 Northampton v Burton @ 1/1
30/01/2010 Port Vale v Hereford @ 10/11
30/01/2010 Shrewsbury v Accrington @ 1/1
30/01/2010 Torquay v Bradford @ 1/1

[mathare]

Up a couple of points overall

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
02/02/2010 Preston v Barnsley @ 11/10

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
02/02/2010 Preston v Barnsley @ 11/10

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
None

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
02/02/2010 Walsall v Charlton @ 1/1

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
None

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
None

[mathare]

Three winners midweek :thumbs

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
05/02/2010 Newcastle v Cardiff @ 1/1
06/02/2010 Swansea v Preston @ 6/5
06/02/2010 Barnsley v Watford @ 10/11
06/02/2010 Bristol City v Coventry @ 6/5
06/02/2010 Scunthorpe v Crystal Palace @ 23/20

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
06/02/2010 Swansea v Preston @ 6/5
06/02/2010 Sheffield Utd v Derby @ 11/10

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
06/02/2010 Exeter v Southampton @ 19/20
06/02/2010 Millwall v Norwich @ 4/5

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
06/02/2010 Millwall v Norwich @ 4/5
06/02/2010 Walsall v Bristol Rovers @ 10/11

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
06/02/2010 Barnet v Aldershot @ 17/20
06/02/2010 Bradford v Bury @ 5/6
06/02/2010 Burton v Port Vale @ 8/11
06/02/2010 Darlington v Rotherham @ 10/11
06/02/2010 Hereford v Torquay @ 8/11

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
06/02/2010 Barnet v Aldershot @ 17/20
06/02/2010 Bradford v Bury @ 5/6
06/02/2010 Burton v Port Vale @ 8/11
06/02/2010 Darlington v Rotherham @ 10/11

[mathare]

Quite a bit of green in there but only a slight profit, under 1pt in total.

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
09/02/2010 Leicester v Doncaster @ 1/1
09/02/2010 Middlesbrough v Barnsley @ 1/1

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
09/02/2010 Middlesbrough v Barnsley @ 1/1

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
08/02/2010 Colchester v Southend @ 1/1
09/02/2010 Brighton v Huddersfield @ 19/20
09/02/2010 Bristol Rovers v Walsall @ 1/1

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
08/02/2010 Colchester v Southend @ 1/1
09/02/2010 Brighton v Huddersfield @ 19/20
09/02/2010 Bristol Rovers v Walsall @ 1/1

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
09/02/2010 Bournemouth v Notts County @ 4/5
09/02/2010 Darlington v Lincoln @ 2/3
09/02/2010 Northampton v Accrington @ 4/5
09/02/2010 Port Vale v Chesterfield @ 2/3

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
09/02/2010 Bournemouth v Notts County @ 4/5
09/02/2010 Darlington v Lincoln @ 2/3
09/02/2010 Northampton v Accrington @ 4/5

[mathare]

Up just over 3pts midweek, mainly thanks to a full house in League One

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
13/02/2010 Coventry v QPR @ 1/1

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
None

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
13/02/2010 Brighton v Norwich @ 19/20
13/02/2010 Carlisle v MK Dons @ 13/15
13/02/2010 Millwall v Exeter @ 11/13
13/02/2010 Yeovil v Gillingham @ 11/13

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
13/02/2010 Brighton v Norwich @ 19/20
13/02/2010 Millwall v Exeter @ 11/13
13/02/2010 Yeovil v Gillingham @ 11/13
15/02/2010 Bristol Rovers v Charlton @ 10/11

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
12/02/2010 Burton v Crewe @ 10/11
12/02/2010 Northampton v Aldershot @ 9/10
13/02/2010 Bradford v Grimsby @ 17/20
13/02/2010 Chesterfield v Bury @ 10/11
13/02/2010 Shrewsbury v Hereford @ 17/20

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
12/02/2010 Burton v Crewe @ 10/11
13/02/2010 Bradford v Grimsby @ 17/20
13/02/2010 Shrewsbury v Hereford @ 17/20

[mathare]

A loss of just over 3pts ahead of tonight's match between Bristol Rovers and Charlton

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
16/02/2010 Derby v Preston @ 21/20
16/02/2010 Scunthorpe v Barnsley @ 1/1
16/02/2010 Sheffield Weds v Doncaster @ 1/1
16/02/2010 QPR v Watford @ 1/1 - postponed

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
16/02/2010 Scunthorpe v Barnsley @ 1/1
16/02/2010 QPR v Watford @ 1/1 - postponed

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
16/02/2010 Carlisle v Huddersfield @ 42/41
16/02/2010 Yeovil v Colchester @ 11/13

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
15/02/2010 Bristol Rovers v Charlton @ 10/11
16/02/2010 Carlisle v Huddersfield @ 42/41
16/02/2010 Leeds v Walsall @ 17/20
16/02/2010 Yeovil v Colchester @ 11/13

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
16/02/2010 Hereford v Aldershot @ 17/20

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
16/02/2010 Hereford v Aldershot @ 17/20

[mathare]

Up around a point and a half midweek

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
20/02/2010 Cardiff v Barnsley @ 10/11
20/02/2010 Crystal Palace v Coventry @ 5/4
20/02/2010 Newcastle v Preston @ 21/20
20/02/2010 Scunthorpe v Watford @ 10/11

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
20/02/2010 Crystal Palace v Coventry @ 5/4

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
20/02/2010 Exeter v Stockport @ 10/11
20/02/2010 Leeds v Brighton @ 11/10

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
None

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
20/02/2010 Darlington v Chesterfield @ 4/5
20/02/2010 Hereford v Burton @ 3/4

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
20/02/2010 Darlington v Chesterfield @ 4/5
20/02/2010 Hereford v Burton @ 3/4

[mathare]

Pretty rubbish again with a loss of just over 3pts this weekend

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
None

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
None

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
None

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
23/02/2010 Leeds v Oldham @ 10/11
23/02/2010 Swindon v Stockport @ 11/10
23/02/2010 Tranmere v Huddersfield @ 17/20

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
23/02/2010 Bournemouth v Barnet @ 4/5
23/02/2010 Bury v Morecambe @ 10/11
23/02/2010 Darlington v Notts County @ 10/11 - postponed
23/02/2010 Hereford v Northampton @ 4/5
23/02/2010 Port Vale v Lincoln @ 4/5

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
23/02/2010 Darlington v Notts County @ 10/11 - postponed
23/02/2010 Hereford v Northampton @ 4/5
23/02/2010 Port Vale v Lincoln @ 4/5

[mathare]

Up around a quarter of a point midweek.

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
27/02/2010 Leicester v Nottm Forest @ 11/8
27/02/2010 Middlesbrough v QPR @ 21/20
27/02/2010 Preston v Cardiff @ 1/1
27/02/2010 Reading v Sheffield Weds @ 11/10

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
27/02/2010 Doncaster v Crystal Palace @ 3/2
27/02/2010 Leicester v Nottm Forest @ 11/8

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
26/02/2010 Southend v Charlton @ 11/13
27/02/2010 Millwall v Hartlepool @ 19/20
27/02/2010 Yeovil v MK Dons @ 18/19

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
27/02/2010 Bristol Rovers v Colchester @ 17/20
27/02/2010 Millwall v Hartlepool @ 19/20

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
27/02/2010 Bradford v Darlington @ 17/20
27/02/2010 Burton v Rotherham @ 21/20
27/02/2010 Chesterfield v Aldershot @ 17/20
27/02/2010 Torquay v Accrington @ 9/10

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
27/02/2010 Bradford v Darlington @ 17/20
27/02/2010 Burton v Rotherham @ 21/20
27/02/2010 Chesterfield v Aldershot @ 17/20

[mathare]

Up 8.20pts this weekend :thumbs

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
None

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
None

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
02/03/2010 Bristol Rovers v Stockport @ 11/10

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
None

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
02/03/2010 Darlington v Port Vale @ 3/4

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
02/03/2010 Darlington v Port Vale @ 3/4

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
06/03/2010 Crystal Palace v Sheffield Utd @ 11/8
06/03/2010 Derby v Watford @ 19/20
06/03/2010 Peterborough v Coventry @ 11/10

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
06/03/2010 Crystal Palace v Sheffield Utd @ 11/8
06/03/2010 Derby v Watford @ 19/20
06/03/2010 Plymouth v Preston @ 5/4

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
None

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
06/03/2010 Leeds v Brentford @ 10/11
06/03/2010 Wycombe v Carlisle @ 17/20

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
06/03/2010 Darlington v Torquay @ 17/20
06/03/2010 Hereford v Macclesfield @ 3/4
06/03/2010 Rotherham v Bradford @ 4/5

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
06/03/2010 Darlington v Torquay @ 17/20
06/03/2010 Hereford v Macclesfield @ 3/4

[mathare]

A loss of around 5pts over the weekend

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
09/03/2010 Ipswich v Cardiff @ 11/10
09/03/2010 Preston v Doncaster @ 11/10

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
None

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
None

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
None

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
09/03/2010 Bury v Darlington @ 1/1

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
09/03/2010 Bury v Darlington @ 1/1

[mathare]

Breakeven midweek

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
13/03/2010 Barnsley v Crystal Palace @ 23/20
13/03/2010 Leicester v Cardiff @ 11/10
13/03/2010 Preston v Nottm Forest @ 11/8

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
13/03/2010 Doncaster v Derby @ 11/10
13/03/2010 Middlesbrough v Newcastle @ 15/13
13/03/2010 Preston v Nottm Forest @ 11/8
13/03/2010 Swansea v Sheffield Weds @ 11/8

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
13/03/2010 Millwall v Charlton @ 8/11
13/03/2010 Yeovil v Hartlepool @ 9/10

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
13/03/2010 Yeovil v Hartlepool @ 9/10

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
13/03/2010 Barnet v Accrington @ 3/4
13/03/2010 Bradford v Aldershot @ 10/11
13/03/2010 Burton v Cheltenham @ 17/20
13/03/2010 Chesterfield v Port Vale @ 8/11
13/03/2010 Shrewsbury v Rochdale @ 3/4
13/03/2010 Torquay v Crewe @ 42/41

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
13/03/2010 Barnet v Accrington @ 3/4
13/03/2010 Bradford v Aldershot @ 10/11
13/03/2010 Burton v Cheltenham @ 17/20
13/03/2010 Shrewsbury v Rochdale @ 3/4
13/03/2010 Torquay v Crewe @ 42/41

[mathare]

A loss of around 4.5pts this weekend

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
16/03/2010 Barnsley v Nottm Forest @ 11/8
16/03/2010 Coventry v Cardiff @ 6/5
16/03/2010 Peterborough v Doncaster @ 23/20
16/03/2010 Swansea v West Brom @ 5/4
16/03/2010 Reading v QPR @ 11/10

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
16/03/2010 Barnsley v Nottm Forest @ 11/8
16/03/2010 Swansea v West Brom @ 5/4
16/03/2010 Watford v Ipswich @ 11/10

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
None

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
None

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
16/03/2010 Hereford v Morecambe @ 17/20

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
16/03/2010 Hereford v Morecambe @ 17/20

[mathare]

Up around 5pts midweek

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
20/03/2010 Blackpool v Crystal Palace @ 23/20
20/03/2010 Ipswich v Barnsley @ 11/10
21/03/2010 Leicester v Coventry @ 6/5
21/03/2010 Cardiff v Watford @ 20/23

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
20/03/2010 Ipswich v Barnsley @ 11/10
20/03/2010 Sheffield Weds v Derby @ 21/20
20/03/2010 Bristol City v Newcastle @ 11/10

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
20/03/2010 Southend v Carlisle @ 17/20
20/03/2010 Yeovil v Bristol Rovers @ 17/20

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
20/03/2010 Yeovil v Bristol Rovers @ 17/20

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
20/03/2010 Burton v Chesterfield @ 18/19
20/03/2010 Darlington v Barnet @ 10/11
20/03/2010 Hereford v Bradford @ 10/11
20/03/2010 Torquay v Lincoln @ 10/11

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
20/03/2010 Burton v Chesterfield @ 18/19
20/03/2010 Darlington v Barnet @ 10/11
20/03/2010 Hereford v Bradford @ 10/11
20/03/2010 Torquay v Lincoln @ 10/11

[mathare]

A loss of just over 6pts this weekend. Based on the way things have gone I can't see any of these systems surviving through to next season but let's just see how things go over the remaining weeks of the season...

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
23/03/2010 Bristol City v Barnsley @ 11/10
23/03/2010 Middlesbrough v Preston @ 21/20
24/03/2010 Sheffield Weds v Watford @ 21/20

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
23/03/2010 Bristol City v Barnsley @ 11/10
23/03/2010 Doncaster v Newcastle @ 1/1
23/03/2010 Nottm Forest v Crystal Palace @ 11/8
23/03/2010 QPR v Derby @ 21/20
24/03/2010 Sheffield Weds v Watford @ 21/20

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
None

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
None

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
23/03/2010 Bradford v Notts County @ 17/20
23/03/2010 Darlington v Aldershot @ 10/11
23/03/2010 Rotherham v Macclesfield @ 10/11

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
23/03/2010 Bradford v Notts County @ 17/20
23/03/2010 Darlington v Aldershot @ 10/11
23/03/2010 Rotherham v Macclesfield @ 10/11

[mathare]

Down another couple of points

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
27/03/2010 Crystal Palace v Cardiff @ 11/10
27/03/2010 Barnsley v Doncaster @ 1/1
27/03/2010 Coventry v Sheffield Weds @ 11/10
27/03/2010 Swansea v Ipswich @ 11/8

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
27/03/2010 Swansea v Ipswich @ 11/8
28/03/2010 Sheffield Utd v Scunthorpe @ 11/10

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
27/03/2010 Colchester v Wycombe @ 1/1
27/03/2010 Exeter v Walsall @ 3/4
27/03/2010 Millwall v Stockport @ 1/1

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
27/03/2010 Bristol Rovers v Southend @ 10/11
27/03/2010 Colchester v Wycombe @ 1/1
27/03/2010 Millwall v Stockport @ 1/1

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
27/03/2010 Barnet v Burton @ 11/13
27/03/2010 Bournemouth v Accrington @ 17/20
27/03/2010 Bradford v Dag & Red @ 11/13
27/03/2010 Bury v Aldershot @ 3/4
27/03/2010 Chesterfield v Hereford @ 17/20
27/03/2010 Shrewsbury v Darlington @ 13/15

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
27/03/2010 Bournemouth v Accrington @ 17/20
27/03/2010 Bradford v Dag & Red @ 11/13
27/03/2010 Bury v Aldershot @ 3/4
27/03/2010 Chesterfield v Hereford @ 17/20
27/03/2010 Shrewsbury v Darlington @ 13/15

[lowe1]

Hi Matt

I am watching this with interest :thumbs

are you aware of this site ??

http://www.statto.com/football/stats/england/premier-league/2009-2010/over-under/full

[mathare]

are you aware of this site ??I wasn't Tony, no. Thanks for that. Interesting stuff, although I maintain a lot of that data myself in one form or another and often in a more useful form for my purposes than that given there.

[mathare]

Down close to 8pts over the weekend

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
30/03/2010 Plymouth v Barnsley @ 21/20
30/03/2010 Watford v Crystal Palace @ 11/10

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
30/03/2010 Plymouth v Barnsley @ 21/20

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
None

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
None

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
None

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
None

[mathare]

Down 0.90pts midweek. It's not worth posting up the stats again at this point so I will just press on with the first batch of Easter fixtures

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
03/04/2010 Coventry v Derby @ 6/5
03/04/2010 Preston v Watford @ 10/11
03/04/2010 QPR v Sheffield Weds @ 11/10

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
03/04/2010 Coventry v Derby @ 6/5
03/04/2010 Sheffield Utd v Barnsley @ 23/20

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
02/04/2010 Carlisle v Bristol Rovers @ 10/11
02/04/2010 Exeter v Colchester @ 4/5
02/04/2010 Millwall v Brentford @ 4/5

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
02/04/2010 Millwall v Brentford @ 4/5
02/04/2010 Tranmere v Norwich @ 11/13
03/04/2010 Leeds v Swindon @ 17/20
03/04/2010 Wycombe v Huddersfield @ 10/11

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
03/04/2010 Bournemouth v Bradford @ 10/11
03/04/2010 Burton v Darlington @ 18/19
03/04/2010 Chesterfield v Rochdale @ 10/11
03/04/2010 Hereford v Barnet @ 10/11
03/04/2010 Macclesfield v Aldershot @ 19/20

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
03/04/2010 Bournemouth v Bradford @ 10/11
03/04/2010 Burton v Darlington @ 18/19
03/04/2010 Hereford v Barnet @ 10/11
03/04/2010 Macclesfield v Aldershot @ 19/20

[mathare]

A loss of around six points over the weekend :(

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
05/04/2010 Blackpool v Doncaster @ 21/20
05/04/2010 Crystal Palace v Preston @ 6/5
05/04/2010 Derby v Ipswich @ 6/5
05/04/2010 Leicester v QPR @ 23/20
05/04/2010 Reading v Coventry @ 20/19
05/04/2010 Swansea v Scunthorpe @ 6/5
05/04/2010 Nottm Forest v Cardiff @ 23/20

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
05/04/2010 Crystal Palace v Preston @ 6/5
05/04/2010 Derby v Ipswich @ 6/5
05/04/2010 Swansea v Scunthorpe @ 6/5

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
05/04/2010 Yeovil v Leeds @ 5/6

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
05/04/2010 Yeovil v Leeds @ 5/6
05/04/2010 Bristol Rovers v MK Dons @ 19/20

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
05/04/2010 Barnet v Chesterfield @ 4/5
05/04/2010 Bradford v Macclesfield @ 4/5
05/04/2010 Bury v Burton @ 4/5
05/04/2010 Shrewsbury v Notts County @ 4/5

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
05/04/2010 Barnet v Chesterfield @ 4/5
05/04/2010 Bradford v Macclesfield @ 4/5
05/04/2010 Bury v Burton @ 4/5
05/04/2010 Shrewsbury v Notts County @ 4/5

[mathare]

A great set of results in the Championship, poor in League Two with League One somewhere in the middle. A profit of just under 2pts across all systems

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
10/04/2010 Barnsley v Derby @ 6/5
10/04/2010 Crystal Palace v QPR @ 13/10
10/04/2010 Middlesbrough v Sheffield Weds @ 23/20
10/04/2010 Nottm Forest v Ipswich @ 6/5
10/04/2010 Sheffield Utd v Coventry @ 23/20

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
10/04/2010 Barnsley v Derby @ 6/5
10/04/2010 Crystal Palace v QPR @ 13/10
10/04/2010 Nottm Forest v Ipswich @ 6/5

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
10/04/2010 Leeds v Southend @ 6/5
10/04/2010 Millwall v Gillingham @ 1/1

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
10/04/2010 Brentford v Huddersfield @ 5/6
10/04/2010 Millwall v Gillingham @ 1/1

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
10/04/2010 Burton v Bradford @ 10/11
10/04/2010 Chesterfield v Dag & Red @ 5/6
10/04/2010 Darlington v Accrington @ 3/4
10/04/2010 Hereford v Grimsby @ 3/4

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
10/04/2010 Burton v Bradford @ 10/11
10/04/2010 Hereford v Grimsby @ 3/4

[mathare]

Another couple of points lost. At least it's nearly the end of the season :rolleyes:

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
None

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
13/04/2010 Reading v Newcastle @ 10/11

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
13/04/2010 Huddersfield v Walsall @ 23/20
13/04/2010 Yeovil v Millwall @ 5/6

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
12/04/2010 Swindon v Exeter @ 11/10
13/04/2010 Bristol Rovers v Southampton @ 10/11
13/04/2010 Huddersfield v Walsall @ 23/20
13/04/2010 Yeovil v Millwall @ 5/6

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
13/04/2010 Bournemouth v Hereford @ 17/20
13/04/2010 Bradford v Morecambe @ 4/5
13/04/2010 Bury v Crewe @ 43/40
13/04/2010 Macclesfield v Burton @ 5/6
13/04/2010 Notts County v Lincoln @ 23/20
13/04/2010 Shrewsbury v Cheltenham @ 4/5

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
13/04/2010 Bournemouth v Hereford @ 17/20
13/04/2010 Bradford v Morecambe @ 4/5
13/04/2010 Bury v Crewe @ 43/40
13/04/2010 Shrewsbury v Cheltenham @ 4/5

[John]

Watching with interest Mat. How do you see yourself going into next season generally with these? Will you be tweaking to try to optimise, or ditching?

[mathare]

Watching with interest Mat. How do you see yourself going into next season generally with these? Will you be tweaking to try to optimise, or ditching?The latter, most likely. In hindsight there is a potentially backfitted element to some of these systems so it's not 100% surprising they are not working as desired. I will spend the summer looking for new systems instead of trying to patch these ones up.

[John]

OK Mat well I wish you the best of luck on this: the +/- 2.5 goal market is a lot more difficult than it initially seems. I have the occasional method bet with a couple of criteria but the most obvious to me for 'Under' instances is where two teams who are both doing poorly and struggling play each other. Obviously there are loads of other filters but this is just one I find can often work quite well, as a method and/or becoming an attribute for a system. Though obviously for the latter you need more accurate barriers in place; "poorly" and "struggling" are subjective, opinionated.

Sorry, waffling. Carry on, I'll watch. :)

[mathare]

Pretty much breakeven midweek. Down 0.3pts I think it was.

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
17/04/2010 Coventry v Preston @ 11/10
17/04/2010 Derby v Crystal Palace @ 6/5
17/04/2010 Leicester v Watford @ 11/10
17/04/2010 QPR v Cardiff @ 21/20
17/04/2010 Swansea v Barnsley @ 11/10
18/04/2010 Sheffield Weds v Sheffield Utd @ 6/5

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
17/04/2010 Coventry v Preston @ 11/10
17/04/2010 Leicester v Watford @ 11/10
17/04/2010 Swansea v Barnsley @ 11/10
18/04/2010 Sheffield Weds v Sheffield Utd @ 6/5

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
17/04/2010 Yeovil v Southampton @ 13/15

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
17/04/2010 Swindon v Walsall @ 42/41
17/04/2010 Yeovil v Southampton @ 13/15

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
17/04/2010 Bournemouth v Darlington @ 42/41
17/04/2010 Bradford v Barnet @ 4/5
17/04/2010 Shrewsbury v Lincoln @ 3/4
17/04/2010 Macclesfield v Chesterfield @ 4/5

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
17/04/2010 Bournemouth v Darlington @ 42/41
17/04/2010 Bradford v Barnet @ 4/5
17/04/2010 Shrewsbury v Lincoln @ 3/4
17/04/2010 Macclesfield v Chesterfield @ 4/5

[mathare]

A rubbish performance in the Championship but the other divisions chipped in nicely to make a few points profit in total this weekend

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
19/04/2010 Plymouth v Newcastle @ 21/20
20/04/2010 QPR v Watford @ 21/20

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
19/04/2010 Plymouth v Newcastle @ 21/20
20/04/2010 QPR v Watford @ 21/20

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
None

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
20/04/2010 Brentford v Tranmere @ 17/20

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
20/04/2010 Cheltenham v Darlington @ 17/20

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
None

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
24/04/2010 Barnsley v QPR @ 11/10
24/04/2010 Bristol City v Derby @ 6/5
24/04/2010 Cardiff v Sheffield Weds @ 23/20
24/04/2010 Middlesbrough v Coventry @ 5/4

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
24/04/2010 Bristol City v Derby @ 6/5
24/04/2010 Doncaster v Scunthorpe @ 1/1
24/04/2010 Middlesbrough v Coventry @ 5/4

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
24/04/2010 Exeter v Charlton @ 10/13
24/04/2010 Leeds v MK Dons @ 23/20
24/04/2010 Millwall v Leyton Orient @ 11/10

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
24/04/2010 Stockport v Huddersfield @ 21/20
24/04/2010 Walsall v Hartlepool @ 9/10
24/04/2010 Wycombe v Swindon @ 10/11

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
24/04/2010 Darlington v Grimsby @ 4/5
24/04/2010 Hereford v Rochdale @ 10/11
24/04/2010 Northampton v Shrewsbury @ 4/5

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
24/04/2010 Darlington v Grimsby @ 4/5
24/04/2010 Hereford v Rochdale @ 10/11
24/04/2010 Northampton v Shrewsbury @ 4/5

[mathare]

Down another point and a half or so at the weekend

[mathare]

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
27/04/2010 Darlington v Notts County @ 11/10

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
27/04/2010 Darlington v Notts County @ 11/10

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
02/05/2010 Coventry v Watford @ 11/10
02/05/2010 Derby v Cardiff @ 11/10
02/05/2010 Ipswich v Sheffield Utd @ 6/5
02/05/2010 QPR v Newcastle @ 21/20
02/05/2010 Sheffield Weds v Crystal Palace @ 11/10
02/05/2010 Swansea v Doncaster @ 11/10

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
02/05/2010 Coventry v Watford @ 11/10
02/05/2010 Ipswich v Sheffield Utd @ 6/5
02/05/2010 QPR v Newcastle @ 21/20

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
01/05/2010 Bristol Rovers v Norwich @ 1/1
01/05/2010 Carlisle v Walsall @ 19/20
01/05/2010 Gillingham v Southampton @ 19/20
01/05/2010 Huddersfield v Colchester @ 23/20
01/05/2010 Southend v Stockport @ 10/11
01/05/2010 Yeovil v Oldham @ 5/6

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
01/05/2010 Bristol Rovers v Norwich @ 1/1
01/05/2010 Huddersfield v Colchester @ 23/20
01/05/2010 Tranmere v Millwall @ 10/11
01/05/2010 Yeovil v Oldham @ 5/6

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
01/05/2010 Bournemouth v Port Vale @ 4/5
01/05/2010 Bradford v Northampton @ 17/20
01/05/2010 Bury v Torquay @ 19/20
01/05/2010 Macclesfield v Darlington @ 10/11
01/05/2010 Rotherham v Crewe @ 1/1
01/05/2010 Shrewsbury v Morecambe @ 3/4

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
01/05/2010 Bournemouth v Port Vale @ 4/5
01/05/2010 Bradford v Northampton @ 17/20
01/05/2010 Bury v Torquay @ 19/20
01/05/2010 Macclesfield v Darlington @ 10/11
01/05/2010 Rotherham v Crewe @ 1/1
01/05/2010 Shrewsbury v Morecambe @ 3/4

[mathare]

League One really let us down this weekend

[mathare]

Championship
2a (10) - Over 2.5 goals
None

4a (30) - Over 2.5 goals
None

League One
1a (30) - Under 2.5 goals
08/05/2010 Colchester v Leyton Orient @ 42/41
08/05/2010 Exeter v Huddersfield @ 10/11
08/05/2010 Leeds v Bristol Rovers @ 5/4
08/05/2010 Millwall v Swindon @ 7/8

3a (50) - Under 2.5 goals
08/05/2010 Brentford v Hartlepool @ 11/13
08/05/2010 Colchester v Leyton Orient @ 42/41
08/05/2010 Exeter v Huddersfield @ 10/11
08/05/2010 Millwall v Swindon @ 7/8
08/05/2010 Walsall v MK Dons @ 11/10

League Two
1b (6) - Under 2.5 goals
08/05/2010 Barnet v Rochdale @ 1/1
08/05/2010 Burton v Grimsby @ 7/8
08/05/2010 Darlington v Dag & Red @ 23/20
08/05/2010 Hereford v Rotherham @ 7/10
08/05/2010 Northampton v Bury @ 5/6

1b (6) Filt - Under 2.5 goals
08/05/2010 Barnet v Rochdale @ 1/1
08/05/2010 Burton v Grimsby @ 7/8
08/05/2010 Darlington v Dag & Red @ 23/20
08/05/2010 Hereford v Rotherham @ 7/10
08/05/2010 Northampton v Bury @ 5/6

[mathare]

A small loss on the final weekend of the season but another loss all the same. This has been a disappointing experiment but looking back I can see the flaws in the development of these systems to the fact they failed is perhaps not too surprising. Lessons learned for next season though.