EW Lucky 15s - Can We Make Them Pay?

[TheGoodGuy]

Hi guys,

I've been following a blog on another forum where the success rate in getting a half-decent return on Lucky 15 bets is pretty good, so I thought, why not see if we can do it here.

Getting one person to come up with 4 winning L15 selections is extremely rare, so why don't we each pick one NAP selection daily and combine them in groups of 4 in an EW L15 and see what kind of return we can achieve?

The only stipulation is that odds-on selections will NOT be allowed.

The hypothetical bet will be a modest EW Lucky 15 (30 bets at 25p).....max stake £7.50. All returns will be calculated to SP.

So for a bit of fun, if you think you can pick a decent priced potential winning or EW selection each day, then please make yourself known below.......who knows, it may turn out to be worth punting with real money.

:thumbs

[Godspot]

'Er, seems a giant leap forward from that Eurovision ting -

my best priced top-rated would do for starters - I'll play:smile:

[Godspot]

My selections in the Joint Effort don't do too bad either - 8/1 winner, 33 & 66/1 placed so far this month:wink:

[seagoon]

el maachi 4.30 warwick:rolleyes:
oops picked only nr on card. try mungo park 3.25 instead

[Godspot]

I fancy last year's 2nd, Tarkari, in the 2.20 @ Mar Rasen & he's 33's on 365 & have a few others to go with it, so that &

2.50 Ostland 9/s

4.35 Jawaab 16/s

& NewmR 4.25 Responsive 9/s

[TheGoodGuy]

I fancy last year's 2nd, Tarkari, in the 2.20 @ Mar Rasen & he's 33's on 365 & have a few others to go with it, so that &

2.50 Ostland 9/s

4.35 Jawaab 16/s

& NewmR 4.25 Responsive 9/s

Any comments on these picks performances.......unfortunately not even a place achieved.....5th, 9th, PU, 5th ?

[Godspot]

Any comments on these picks performances.......unfortunately not even a place achieved.....5th, 9th, PU, 5th ?

Typical Saturday! :ermmm

But Tarkari got going all too late & I was hoping for 16 runners but I pretty much knew, always dodgy when 365 offer more, they are usually right & i just greedy..

Ostland - bit disappointing, got a feeling I may have slightly overestimated but times suggest ground was a lot easier than advertised & he might need it fast

Jawaab - wasn't doing too bad until rider lost his irons & PU, there'll be another day for him

Responsive, I liked the jockey booking as much as anything but poor day by his standards & his No.1 trainer, Best Terms beat but overall, the horse was outclassed completely, another Guineas contender for the man with a hat-full, M Al Zarooni, the winner, Pimpernel, came out better on the figs than Group One winning, Lightening Pearl

I did better yesterday & I'll probably do better tomorrow but whether I'll have time to post :anerikke:

[Godspot]

Typical Saturday! :ermmm

Jawaab - wasn't doing too bad until rider lost his irons & PU, there'll be another day for him


Any day but a Saturday:

2:20 - Sergeant JP Amer Memorial Novices' Hurdle (John Wade Hurdle Series Qualifier)
Full result
2m1f, Class 4, £2,014.38
1 Jawaab 7/2
2 Strong Knight 25/1
3 Just Dave 3/1
12 ran Distances: 3l, 13l, 7l
TIME 3m 56.00s (slow by 6.00s)
Jockey: James Reveley
Trainer: Richard Guest

Lands a bit of a gamble from 11/2 Tuesday with the eye-shields back on but improved on the figure I had for him by a couple of pounds -

Today's EW bet for me was Role On in the h'cap chase later on the same card - 4.20 He was prominent when unseated his rider, I took 20/s but was 12/s & thought he may need the race, he'll strip fitter next time.

[Godspot]

Let's see if we can't pull-off another PR disaster - it's not Saturday after all:smile:

2.35 Good Sutton Veny 14/s
4.15 Curr Rising Wind (Ger) 33/s
4.35 Lim Sarteano (Fr) 20/s
5.20 Curr AOIFE ALAINN 12-20/s [Got an interesting theory about this one, I'll save u the details but I reckon that fav Sapphire is beat.

[Godspot]

Any comments on these picks performances.......unfortunately not even a place achieved.....5th, 9th, PU, 5th ?

'Er, what are the odds on that eh?

You pick two sets of 4 horses a week or so apart & they both manage 2 5th's a 9th & PU - fascinating! :anerikke:

[Godspot]

Let's see if we can't pull-off another PR disaster - it's not Saturday after all:smile:

2.35 Good Sutton Veny 14/s
4.15 Curr Rising Wind (Ger) 33/s
4.35 Lim Sarteano (Fr) 20/s
5.20 Curr AOIFE ALAINN 12-20/s [Got an interesting theory about this one, I'll save u the details but I reckon that fav Sapphire is beat.

Bang goes that theory!

Sarteano, his chance went at the start when nearly brought down & lost 10l's, l8r PU

Gutted with Rising Wind, my main bet of the day, 16th-5th within the final furlong to finish a place out of the money.

Sutton Veny the biggest disappointment tho. Might have to give this lark up:doh1:

[Godspot]

Typical Saturday! :ermmm

Ostland - bit disappointing, got a feeling I may have slightly overestimated but times suggest ground was a lot easier than advertised & he might need it fast



Yeh, I think that was the case - that the ground was too soft, won today as clear top rated (http://horseracingx.posterous.com/ratings-for-huntingdon-10112011) on better ground @Huntingdon - another thing about my tips, quite often better next time:doh1:

[seagoon]

moon over water not 3.45 12-1 4th
new decade(nap) not 4.50 12-1 10th
his royal highness ling 3.35 10-1 5th
zafaneen ling 5.10 13-2 6th

not auspicious by any stretch

[Godspot]

moon over water not 3.45 12-1
new decade(nap) not 4.50 12-1
his royal highness ling 3.35 10-1
zafaneen ling 5.10 13-2

:rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes::rolleyes:

Good luck with those - I was thinking of lowering my odds range a bit but the only EW thing I fancy today, 4.55 Punch Kind Oscar, she 25/s with 365:doh1:

[seagoon]

its a 10p lucky 15, 25p is a bit above my budget but if it come in its a couple of grand so I could have a proper bank then plus a party of course:laugh:laugh:laugh

[Godspot]

Got a batch of top or near top rated's at decent prices at Bath so we have a go:

2.20 - Heliconia
3.20 - Uphold
3.50 - Pelham Crescent
4.50 - Cristaliyev

[Godspot]

Got a batch of top or near top rated's at decent prices at Bath so we have a go:

2.20 - Heliconia
3.20 - Uphold
3.50 - Pelham Crescent
4.50 - Cristaliyev

That's the second time in a fortnight I've had 1 winner (Cristaliyev 20/1, 2 5th's & a 4th the others) & nothing else! The other time I was down town & had a 33/1 on a yankee & only learnt afterward if I had done a Lucky15 I would have had a treble the odds return on the single, so as always learning the hard way that it can pay to take advantage of any offers - not bad though from only two goes....:omg:

[Godspot]

2.20 Bang - Old Magic

2.40 Warw - Columella

2.50 Bang - Parsnip Pete

3.10 Warw - Princess Patsky

[seagoon]

Well done sir £3 invested £4.70 returned:rolleyes:

[Godspot]

Well done sir £3 invested £4.70 returned:rolleyes:

Thanks & another 20/1 winner (Columella, likes it soft?) & nothing else, Old Magic, a complete disappointment, as was Princess Patsky, who was well backed into 4/s from 12/s (no like ground my guess) & Parsnip Pete, got going all too late for a 25/1 4th but at least he completed.

[Godspot]

Well that's handy, now that Tidentime in the first is a NR

All @ Ascot

2.55 Starwatch

3.30 Hanoverian Baron

4.40 Somemothersdohavem

5.15 Magic City

[Godspot]

Poor show yesterday with none placed though most were first 1/2 of their fields, not helped by a ground change no doubt either? Bit risky today too:

3.35 Asc - Arnold Lane

4.45 Asc - Miss Work Of Art

2.40 Redc - Collateral Damage

4.15 Redc - Johny Lesters Hair

[Godspot]

2 complete disappointments above - see if we can't do better today all at Wetherby:

5.30 - Soft Spoken Guy (been backed into 10/s from 20/s

3.55 - Lease Lend

3.25 - Zaplamation

5.00 - Chac Du Cadran

[seagoon]

nice double GS been laid up past 3 days with food poisoning (not wifes cooking) so missed yesterday:rolleyes:

[Godspot]

nice double GS been laid up past 3 days with food poisoning (not wifes cooking) so missed yesterday:rolleyes:

Thanks but a bit unlucky as one place away from a place treble - hope u getting better...

All @ Cheltenham today....

3.20 Viking Blond

4.30 The Romford Pele

5.05 Iheardu

5.40 Constant Contact (tho quite like Star In Flight too but we'll stick with it, no pun intended)

[Godspot]

Bit unlucky as again, just one place away from a place treble ::swear yesterday too...

Not sure what to do today, got three solid choices & not sure about rest

2.00 Chelt - Minella For Value (Jockey for value more like but)

2.30 Chelt - Finger Onthe Pulse

3.40 Chelt - Swincombe Rock

4.45 Ascot - Axiom

If the first one not placed could have another go with rest & this hopeful?

4.50 Cork - Mont Blanc

[Godspot]

If the first one not placed could have another go with rest & this hopeful?

4.50 Cork - Mont Blanc

Of course, the only 'hopeful' goes n wins @ 20/s n only one winner again but Finger Onthe Pulse placed to make 2nd attempt a place double ??

Got a feeling I should be doing My Brother Sylvest 2.45 Kemp or Northern Alliance 3.45 Cork instead of Dancing Tornado but we'll let it go....

3.20 Kemp - Zarzal (365 going best price, usually a bad sign?)

4.30 Naas - Dancing Tornado 10/s

4.55 Kemp - Tempting Paradise 25/s

5.00 Naas - Jack Daddy 14/s

Think it will be a first & last place double today?

[Godspot]

12.00 Newc - Prince Tam

1.30 Newc - Benny Be Good

3.40 Fake - Eleazar

3.50 Donc - Merchant Of Dubai

Hoping for a bit of luck with last two at least:anerikke:

[Godspot]

Benny won 7/1 a NR & MoD weakened out of contention in the final furlong, h'mm

1.10 Aintree - Son Of Flicka

1.35 Galway - Bonheur Sectret

1.40 Aintree - Rosie's Lady (Bit risky only 7 runners but

3.25 Aintree - Takeroc

[Godspot]

Sorry about that last one, total flop as I didn't notice the going had changed at Aintree (other one came 4th) until the results started coming in:cryer

2.50 L-aw - Appealing

3.10 Strat - Joaaci

6.40 K-aw - Party Royal

7.10 K-aw - Shamir