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Godspot
6th September 2011, 03:08
As mentioned in the Charlie Hills post - this is something I've (joined Twitter @HorseRacingTime) been working on & a handy post by @NorthRacingClub (offering a 12 month free membership at present) here and think they're doing this for every month so will try & keep updated but

The aim of this web page is to highlight trainers who have won races at least 3 times in the last 10 years.

Besides highlighting these details the additional comments will also give other common trends linking the winners which should enhance the identification of future winners in the race rather than just backing trainers blindly.

Due to the nature of these statistics most trainers highlighted will be the larger yards and also some smaller yards local to certain courses. By posting the trends one month at a time this will also give members a chance to consider ante post options as well.

The dates of the races are as run in 2010 and whilst most fixtures will be on similar dates each year the dates can vary quite a lot when near Bank Holidays etc. Also some smaller races may not be repeated in 2011.

http://www.northernracingclub.com/TTFlat.htm

Sept 2nd Salisbury -7f Maiden for 2yo :J Gosden won in 2001, 2002 & 2005. All had run once/twice before and whilst the first two were sent off as favourites the last winner was unbacked at 33-1.

Sept 4th Haydock -1m 6f Handicap Old Borough Cup: M Johnston won in 2003, 2006 & 2009. All had finished 3rd or better on their last race (within last 14-27 days). Weights carried were all 8st 9lbs or lower.

Sept 4th Leopardstown -7f Maiden for 2yo fillies: AP O'Brien won in 2003, 2004, 2005, 2009 & 2010. 3/5 winners were favourites. Two winners were previously unraced whilst the other three had all finished 5th or better on one of last two runs.

Sept 4th Leopardstown -Gr 3 Kilternan Stakes over 1m 2f: AP O'Brien won in 2004, 2006, 2008, 2009 & 2010. 4/5 winners had two runs or less in current season (all of which were aged 3yo).

Sept 4th Leopardstown -Gr 1 Irish Champion Stakes over 1m 2f: AP O'Brien won in 2003, 2005, 2006, 2007 & 2010. Only 2/5 winners were favourites so beware if the stable has multiple runners! All five had won at least one of last two races.

Sept 6th Newcastle -6f Maiden for 2yo :M Johnston won in 2001, 2005 & 2007. The first two winners were previously unraced and were only moderately backed at odds of 13/2 or shorter. The latest winner was a heavily backed odds on favourite winning after a string of three consecutive 2nd places.

Sept 8th Doncaster - 6f Conditions Stakes for 2yo :R Hannon won in 2004, 2008 & 2009. All last raced within the previous 19 days and were well backed at odds of 11/2 or shorter.

Sept 8th Doncaster - 1m 2f Conditions Stakes for 3-5yo :S Bin Suroor won in 2002, 2005 & 2006. None had raced more than 3 times in the current season (two coming back after a rest of more than 100 days) and all were well backed at odds of 7/2 or shorter.

Sept 9th Chepstow - 5f Handicap :J Bradley won in 2001, 2003 & 2009. All finished 5th or better on their last run (within last 13 days) and carried 8st 12lbs or less.

Sept 9th Doncaster - (Listed) Sceptre Stakes over 7f for 3yo :B Hills won in 2002, 2003 & 2008.
All had finished 5th or better on last run and were ridden by M Hills. Longest priced winner from yard was 7/1.

Sept 9th Doncaster - 1m 2f Handicap :M Stoute won in 2003, 2006 & 2007. All were rested at least 16 days since their last race. Weights carried ranged from 8st 13lbs to 9st 8lbs. Whilst only one sent off as favourite all were reasonably backed at odds of 13/2 or shorter.

Sept 10th Sandown - 1m Maiden for 2yo :Mrs A Perrett won in 2002, 2007 & 2008. None had finished better than 4th in previous race(s) with all running only once or twice before. In the betting most were easy to back at odds of 6/1 or greater.

Sept 11th Curragh - Gr 1 Irish Field St Leger over 1m 6f: DK Weld won for 4 consecutive years from 2001-2004 with Vinnie Roe who had finished either 1st/2nd on last two runs.

Sept 11th Curragh - Gr 1 National Stakes over 7f for 2yo: AP O'Brien won in 2001, 2003, 2005 & 2008. All had finished either 1st/2nd on all of their last three races. 3 of the 4 were favourites and all were sent off at odds of 9/4 or shorter.

Sept 11th Curragh - (Listed) Blenheim Stakes over 6f for 2yo: AP O'Brien won for 4 consecutive years from 2003-6. All were sent off as sole/joint favourites and had last run some
14-25 days earlier.

Sept 11th Doncaster - 5.5f Portland Handicap: K Ryan won for 3 consecutive years with Halmahera The horse had always had a prep race some 18-25 days earlier and enjoyed a draw in double figures.

Sept 11th Doncaster - 1m Handicap: B Hills won in 2001, 2004 & 2007. All had finished 5th or better on their last run (within last 23 days) and carried a weight of 8st 11lbs or lower. 2/3 went off as favourites whilst all had odds of 8/1 or shorter.

Sept 11th Doncaster - Gr1 St Leger Stakes over 1m 6f+ : AP O'Brien won in 2001, 2003 & 2005. All finished 1st/2nd on last prep race and were sent off as favourites

Sept 11th Goodwood - 7f Handicap: M Channon won in 2003, 2007 & 2008. All carried a weight of 8st 12lbs or less. They also all finished 5th or better on last run some 14-15 days earlier.

Sept 11th Goodwood - 1m Maiden for 2yo: R Hannon won in 2005, 2006 & 2010. Only two of the three had run before and they finished 6th or better on last run some 14-15 days earlier All three were well backed at odds of 4/1 or shorter.

Sept 11th Goodwood - 1m 1f Handicap: M Johnston won in 2004, 2005 & 2009. All last ran some 14-16 days earlier although none could finish closer than 5th on last start and consequently all were easy to back at odds of 10/1 or greater.

Sept 12th Curragh - Gr 2 Blanford Stakes over 1m 2f: J Oxx won in 2001, 2007 & 2008. All had four previous races in current season finishing worse than 4th on just one occasion. All aged 3 years.

Sept 12th Curragh - (Listed) Solonaway Stakes over 1m: AP O'Brien won in 2004, 2006 & 2010. All were aged 3 years, finished 1st/2nd on last run and were sent off as favourite.

Sept 12th Longchamp - Gr 2 Prix Niel over 1m 4f for 3yo: A Fabre won in 2004, 2005, 2006 & 2009. All won their last race and had since been rested at least 58 days before running here. 3 of the 4 winners were favourites and all had PM (French Tote) equivalent odds of 7/2 or shorter.

Sept 12th Longchamp - Gr 1 Prix Vermeille over 1m 4f for 3-4yo fillies: A de Royer Dupre won in 2005, 2006 & 2008 with all winners ridden by C Soumillon. All were aged 3 years and sent off as either sole or joint favourites on the PM (French Tote) after winning their last race and then being rested at least 42 days before this race.

Sept 15th Yarmouth - 7f Maiden for 2yo : Two trainers have won this race at least 3 times before, they are: M Stoute won in 2003, 2004, and 2008 (both divisions of race) - all were sent off as favourites although they had all raced only once before and none had finished closer than 5th on their débuts M Jarvis won in 2006, 2007 & 2009 - similarly all were sent off as favourites and none had raced more than once before although the two that had were 4th or better on their débuts

Sept 16th Pontefract - 1m Handicap (0-80): M Dods won in 2006, 2008 & 2009. The 3 winners had all finished 6th or better on last run (within last 19-24 days), carried a weight of 9st 3lbs or more and had a middle draw.

Sept 16th Yarmouth- 6f Handicap : I Woods won for three consecutive years from 2007-9. All had finished 5th or better on their last run (within last 17-35 days) and carried a weight of 9st 2lbs or lower.

Sept 16th Yarmouth- 1m Maiden : J Gosden won in 2008 & both divisions of the race in 2010. One winner was making its racecourse début whilst the other two had only one previous race. All were well backed at odds of 7/2 or shorter.

Sept 17th Ayr - 7f Maiden for 2yo : M Johnston won in 2001, 2003 & 2004. One winner was making its racecourse début whilst the other three had just one or two previous runs. All were well supported at odds of 4/1 or shorter.

Sept 18th Ayr - Ayr Gold Cup - 6f Handicap : D Nicholls won in 2001, 2002, 2004, 2008 & 2010. None of these five winners had finished better than 3rd on their last prep race and all were aged between 3-5 years old. None were sent off as favourites with odds being 10-1 or greater. Only one had a draw of lower than stall 16.

Sept 18th Ayr - 1m Handicap : R Fahey won in 2002, 2008 & 2009. All carried a weight of 9st 1lb or greater with none being drawn higher than stall 8. All were fairly easy to back at odds of 15/2 or more.

Sept 18th Catterick - 6f Maiden for 2yo : M Johnston won in 2003, 2006, 2006 & 2009. One winner was making its racecourse début whilst the other two had just one previous run. All were well supported at odds of 11/2 or shorter.

Sept 18th Newbury - 1m 2f Handicap : L Cumani won in 2004, 2007, 2008 & 2010. The last three winners were all rested for 28 days since their last race where they had finished 1st/2nd and all were drawn in stall 13 or higher, being well backed at odds of 11/2 or shorter.

Sept 18th Wolverhampton - 8.5f Maiden : M Prescott won in 2001, 2002 & 2003. All had finished 4th or better on their last run and were sent off as favourites.

Sept 19th Hamilton - 1m Maiden for 2yo : M Johnston won in 2004, 2005, 2007, 2008 & 2010. Three winners were making their racecourse débuts whilst the other two had finished 4th on their previous run. All were well supported at odds of 3/1 or shorter with 3/5 starting as favourite.

Sept 22nd Goodwood - (Listed) 1m 2f Stakes: S Bin Suroor won in 2003, 2005, 2006, 2007 & 2010. Of the 5 winners 4 were favourites and all had odds of 5/2 or shorter. In their last race all had finished 3rd or better.

Sept 23rd Pontefract - 1m Maiden for 2yo: M Jarvis won in 2005, 2006 & 2009. All were very well backed at odds of 6/5 or shorter (two were favourites).

Sept 24th Haydock - 6f Maiden for 2yo Fillies: R Hannon won in 2005, 2008 & 2009. All had raced just once before finishing no better than 5th although notwithstanding this fact all were well backed at odds of 11/2 or shorter. A draw of stall 9 or higher was also a common factor.

Sept 24th Haydock - 6f Maiden for 2yo Colts: BW Hills won in 2007, 2008 & 2010. None had finished better than 4th on last run although all were well backed at odds of 11/4 or shorter.

Sept 24th Haydock - 1m Handicap: M Jarvis won in 2004, 2005 & 2008. Weights carried ranged from 8st 13lbs to 0st 5lbs and all were rested at least 27 days since last run. In the betting all were supported at odds of 6/1 or shorter.

Sept 25th Ascot - Gr 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes over 1m: S Bin Suroor won in 2001, 2007 & 2010. All had finished 1st/2nd on both of latest two runs although they were easy to back at odds of 9/2 or greater. L Dettori rode all three winners.

Sept 25th Ascot - Gr 2 Royal Lodge Stakes over 1m for 2yo: AP O' Brien won in 2001, 2006 & 2009. All had finished 3rd or better on their last two runs although none of the winners were strongly fancied with all odds being 11/2 or greater.

Sept 25th Ascot - Gr 1 Fillies Mile for 2yo: J Gosden won in 2004, 2005 & 2008. All had run at least 3 times before and had won their last race (within 16-27 days). In the betting all had odds of 5/1 or lower.

Sept 25th Ascot - (Listed) 7f Stakes for Fillies & Mares: M Stoute won in 2003, 2005 & 2009. All had finished 4th or better on their last run (30-41 days earlier) and were well backed at odds of 5/1 or lower.

Sept 25th Haydock - 1m Maiden for 2yo Fillies: J Dunlop won in 2001, 2002, 2006, 2008 & 2009. Only one of the five did not start as favourite and all had odds of 5/2 or shorter. A last run finishing 5th or better (in last 18-23 days) was also a common theme.

Sept 26th Ascot - Gr 3 Cumberland Lodge Stakes over 1m 4f: M Tregoning won in 2001, 2003, 2004, 2005 & 2009. Four of the five winners were favourites whilst all had odds of 3/1 or shorter. A 4th place or better on last run (within 15-18 days) was also a common feature.

Sept 26th Ascot - 1m 4f Handicap: M Johnston won in 2002, 2004 & 2009. All had finished 5th or better in their previous race (within last 16-25 days).

Sept 26th Curragh - Gr 3 Weld Stakes over 7f for 2yo: D Wachman won in 2003, 2008 & 2010. All were 1st/2nd on last run and had not finished worse than 2nd in any of their previous races. In the betting all were fairly easy to back at odds of up to 10/1.

Sept 26th Curragh - Gr 2 Beresford Stakes over 1m for 2yo: Two trainers have won the race at least 3 times since 2001 - they are: AP O'Brien, who won in 2001, 2004, 2005, 2006 & 2009. All were sent off as favourites at evens or shorter and had finished either 1st/2nd on last run - indeed only one of these winners had race more than once before. JM Oxx won in 2002, 2003 & 2008 with all having won their last race although in the betting they were easier in the market with only one starting as favourite.

Sept 29th Nottingham - 1m 2f Nursery for 2yo: R Hannon won in 2002, 2007 & 2008. All had run at least 3 times before and finished 3rd or better in at least one of their past races. A last run within 14-33 days was also a common factor.

Sept 29th Salisbury - 6f Conditions Stakes for 2yo: M Channon won in 2003, 2004 & 2010. All had last run 18-20 days earlier finishing 3rd or better. All were supported in the betting with odds of 11/4 or shorter.

Sept 29th Salisbury - 7f Novices Stakes for 2yo: R Hannon won in 2006, 2009 & 2010. A last run 20-26 days earlier was a common feature with all coming 4th or better on their last run and jockey R Hughes riding all of the winners. In small fields all were drawn in one of the two highest stalls.

Sept 30th Ayr - 7f Handicap: J Goldie won in 2005 and 2009 (both divisions of race). All were sent off at odds of 8/1 or shorter and had last run some 17-41 days earlier.

Godspot
6th September 2011, 03:17
& this is my little Top Trainers since June 2011 for repeatedly farming the same races:

Trnr4R Trainer
35 Hannon R
17 Fahey R
16 Gosden J H M
16 Johnston M
14 Easterby T D
14 Stoute M R
11 Hills B W
10 Channon M R
10 Suroor S bin
9 Prescott Mark
7 Haggas William
7 Nicholls D
7 Ryan K A
7 Vaughan Tim
6 Bell Michael
6 Cumani L M
6 Dunlop J L
6 Meehan B J
6 O’Neill Jonjo
5 Balding A M
5 Brisbourne W M
5 Goldie Jim
5 Midgley P T
5 Millman Rod
5 O'Brien A P(Ire)
5 Smart Bryan
4 Beckett R M
4 Cecil H R A
4 Elliott Gordon(Ire)
4 Noseda J
3 Barron T D
3 Charlton R
3 Cox C G
3 Ellison B
3 Evans P D
3 Fanshawe J R
3 Harris Ronald
3 McCain D Jnr
3 Swinbank G A

Godspot
8th September 2011, 01:17
One winner, Eureka for R Hannon 7/2 @ Doncaster & 1 6/1 2nd for S bin Suroor, on this method yesterday from 2 qualifiers -

Thursday

5.25 Chep, Milton Bradley but has 3 entrants so ??

4.40 Donc

M Stoute fields a Sadler's Wells runner, Total Command, who is presently 17/s on betfair, interesting jockey booking in Tom Queally, won't mind more rain me thinks?

Godspot
9th September 2011, 13:13
Disappointing yesterday -

3.20 Sand -

Amanda Perrett's 5-year stats for the course read 4 winners from 91 runners - yet she has won this race 3 times from 3 runners in the last 10 years, including 2 of the last 4 runnings - today she fields debutant, Autarch, who is the betting's 4th choice at around 10-12/1

Godspot
15th September 2011, 13:35
There's an interesting one:

2.40 Yarmouth

Handsome Ransom - for J Gosden who has had 3 winners & 2 placed runners from 5 in the last 10 years, including last two winners, presently 3/1

Godspot
18th September 2011, 13:14
This seems to be turning into a real fine Lay method:anerikke:

2.40 Ham from a choice of 3 entries - Hyperlink

Sept 19th Hamilton - 1m Maiden for 2yo : M Johnston won in 2004, 2005, 2007, 2008 & 2010. Three winners were making their racecourse débuts whilst the other two had finished 4th on their previous run. All were well supported at odds of 3/1 or shorter with 3/5 starting as favourite.

Godspot
24th September 2011, 02:49
Missed a couple of winners on this of late, most notably the Godolphin owned Hunter's Light @ 10/1

& (I've only just noticed this is Flat only) a 9/2 Twiston-Davies winner @ Perth Thurs

anyway, 3.25 Mar Ras, struggling to get enthusiastic about either of my top two rated, noticed Twiston Davies has won race 4 times & 1 placed from 5 runners these last 10 years & his runner, Bankstair is 7/s at present on Betfair