24th June Joint Effort

[TheGoodGuy]

HEREFORD
14:50
Freebets.co.uk Free Betting Novices' Handicap Hurdle
£3300.00 added, 4yo plus, 2m 1f, Class 5
16 runners
Going: Good

1 06/43F5- Ten Pole Tudor M Scudamore 7 11 12 T Scudamore
2 037-400 Cerca Trova (IRE) P Stafford 6 11 11 M G Nolan (7)
3 P313-36 Bay Central (IRE) Evan Williams 8 11 11 Mr B Browne (10)
4 5F328-6 Mr Bachster (IRE) V R A Dartnall 7 11 10 D F O'Regan
5 0/6804-2 Willard A W Carroll 6 11 8 Lee Edwards (3)
6 64P-2 Tackswop (IRE) M Mullineaux 8 11 8 S Quinlan
7 4/9540-6 Capricornus (USA) Tim Vaughan 5 11 7 NON RUNNER
8 7/4740P- Weybridge Light Jim Best 7 11 7 A P McCoy
9 77P0-52 Red Whisper B R Summers 8 11 5 C Wallis (5)
10 07/608-0 Mi Man Sam (IRE) G H Jones 7 11 0 Miss Alice Mills (7)
11 93/933-5 The Lemonpie (GER) B G Powell 7 10 12 Brendan Powell (5)
12 397/6 Duneen Dream (USA) Mrs N S Evans 7 10 9 NON RUNNER
13 7P067/0 Give A Lot Miss E England 8 10 8 C Poste
14 567-4 Chilworth Lass (IRE) Miss S West 4 10 8 NON RUNNER
15 P897P-P Lord Wheathill Mrs L Williamson 5 10 5 NON RUNNER
16 U76-0 Misefi M R Bosley 4 10 2 NON RUNNER

Betting Forecast: 5/1 Willard, 11/2 Red Whisper, 6/1 Weybridge Light, 7/1 The Lemonpie (GER), Mr Bachster (IRE), 10/1 Capricornus (USA), Chilworth Lass (IRE), 12/1 Ten Pole Tudor, Tackswop (IRE), Bay Central (IRE), 16/1 Cerca Trova (IRE), 25/1 Duneen Dream (USA), Mi Man Sam (IRE), 50/1 Give A Lot, Lord Wheathill, Misefi

Post your main and reserve selections, remembering to add which
type of bet you want to apply to your picks......
either Win Only (W), Each Way (EW) or Place Only (P).
OR to post a Double Stake bet, add one of the following bet types to your
selection: 2W or 2EW or 2P

Click HERE (http://www.win2win.co.uk/forum/showthread.php?26224-Joint-Effort-Rules) for more details.

Check out the additional NEW PRIZES which can be won each month HERE (http://www.win2win.co.uk/forum/showthread.php?76333-NEW-PRIZES-Joint-Effort-Competition)


REMEMBER

Each player may DOUBLE THE STAKES on up to SIX of their bets throughout the duration of this month's game.
All other stakes remain as normal. So...

If you post a (2Win) bet the stake will be 2pts.
If you post a (2Place) bet the stake will be 2pts.
If you post a (2EW) bet the stake will be 4pts (2pts EW).

ANY BET that is intended to be a Double Stakes bet (either a main selection OR reserve pick) MUST be posted as above. If the bet fails to include the '2' it will be treated as a normal 1pt Win, 1pt Place or 1pt EW.

Please note: these 6 Double Stake bets are optional.
Play any number you like UP TO A MAXIMUM of 6.
You don't have to play ANY if you don't want to.

Losing Double Stakes bets will result in the doubled stake being deducted from your points total.

[piggy]

Weybridge Light 2ew

[MarcusMel]

The Lemonpie (2W)

[johnwilly]

Red Whisper (2ew)

Res. Willard (win)

[scoobydoo]

Lord Wheathill e/w

if n/r

Mi Man Sam win

[tovarich]

CHILWORTH LASS (EW)

If abs.,

Red Whisper (Win)

[vegyjones]

Bay Central (Win)

[TheGoodGuy]

Mr Bachster (EW)

If N/R:
Willard (EW)

[Godspot]

Bay Central plz

if awol

Cerca Trova (IRE)

Both EW ta

[Bill]

Weybridge Light(2W) for me ta.

[seagoon]

tackswop(EW)tavm:rolleyes:

[TheGoodGuy]

1st 8 Weybridge Light 3-1 F
2nd 11 The Lemonpie (GER) 4-1
3rd 6 Tackswop (IRE) 11-1

Bill (2W) & Piggy (2EW) get the winner
Seagoon (EW) gets 3rd

Positions after DAY 24
(Numbers in brackets indicate Double Stake bets available)
Godspot (3) +52.75
Piggy (1) +21.00
DarkHorse (5) +16.38
Bill (1) +12.50
MarcusMel (2) +8.00
Tovarich (0) -2.50
Vegyjones (2) -5.00
Johnwilly (3) -23.00
Seagoon (2) -23.37
Laf (1) -24.00
Ada (3) -32.00
Scoobydoo (0) -46.00

[Godspot]

Gutting - :mad: you didn't choose the Pont 2.40 :ermmm as my clear top rated, which I quite fancied won at 20/s :frown:

[MarcusMel]

A. P. Macoy - Wins when I don't back him - its magic I tell you.

@GodSpot - If your ratings tell you a 20-1 winner more frequently than 20 times out of 100 then you have a winning system and a very profitable one with befair prices! The BIG trouble with long odds systems is haveing the patience to keep going through the awfully long losing runs, but you probably know this. The hardest thing to do in gambling is keep to a plan and stick with it through the bad times.

[Godspot]

A. P. Macoy - Wins when I don't back him - its magic I tell you.

@GodSpot - If your ratings tell you a 20-1 winner more frequently than 20 times out of 100 then you have a winning system and a very profitable one with befair prices! The BIG trouble with long odds systems is haveing the patience to keep going through the awfully long losing runs, but you probably know this. The hardest thing to do in gambling is keep to a plan and stick with it through the bad times.

It ain't no system to be sure! More of a hair pulling, procrastinating, method.

A judgement call on value or whether the figure is 'worthy'?

Like today, 2 clear top rated's, Fantacise, 7lb clear 5/2 or Dansili Dutch 10lb Clr & 10x the odds (or near enough)!

But is was her sire stats that made me decide to write, 'possible EW' next to her name this morning. Dutch Art is 16% with his runners at 8f & st grnd, this was the first time she had encountered such conditions on the flat & had an 85 from Southwell's slow fibresand 7f from me & here she was on a rating of 57 leaving her well clear at the weights.

I've not had a bad week, Ishvana tipped up Weds 20/s, the first well clear top rated I had at Ascot but figure looked worthy, so that looked worth a shout.

Cruck Realta, was a fair call yesterday 2nd @ 33/s, he was 2nd top rated but I didn't like the top rated at all,

I had a 50/1 3rd on this Joint Effort earlier in the week & I seriously fancied Jamsie 16/s 2nd Friday

But I know what you're saying - & there can't be any ratings on the planet that give 1/5 @ 20/s, not sure I'd make 1/20 @ 20/s the win but a few placed efforts could even things out & negate the losing runs a bit maybe I should try the 1000 Challenge......:smile: