Football System

[MattR]

7This is one I am currently testing and will post up here to trial it live. I will start recording from zero on here but below are the results so far using £10 level stakes and taking off 5% betfair commission

Bets: 11
Wins: 9
St Rate: 81%
Staked 110.00
Prof/Loss +35.77
ROI 32.51

Obviously it's a very small sample so it's by no means indiciative of how it will perform longer term, Anyway will post them up here and see if it can prove to be profitable long term. There have been two selections that have had higher odds both of which have won, one at 2.77 and 3.05 but of the other selections the average odds are 1.41 so I think this is going to generally be a lower odds system with the odd higher one thrown in.

[MattR]

2 bets Saturday and 3 on Sunday for this: (bolded team is selection)

Saturday:
Norway D1: Tromso v Sogndal
Finland D1: Kooteepee v FC Viikingit

Sunday
Korea D1: Suwon Bluewings v Gyeongnam
Norway D1: Stabaek v Stromgodset
Sweden D1: Elfsborg v Mjallby

[MattR]

Saturday:
Norway D1: Tromso 1.51 v Sogndal DREW 1-1
Finland D1: Kooteepee v FC Viikingit 2.90 WON 0-4

Sunday
Korea D1: Suwon Bluewings 1.52 v Gyeongnam LOST 0-3
Norway D1: Stabaek v Stromgodset 1.78 WON 1-2
Sweden D1: Elfsborg 1.51 v Mjallby DREW 0-0

Bets: 5
Wins: 2
Prof/Loss -4.54

[MattR]

Here's the next few days selections on these:

13/07/2012 RIRELAND D1 MERVUE UNITED v LIMERICK FC
13/07/2012 RIRELAND D1 ATHLONE TOWN v FINN HARPS
14/07/2012 ESTONIA D1 TAMMEKA TARTU v KALJU NOMME
15/07/2012 KOREA D1 JEJU UNITED FC v DAEJON CITIZEN
16/07/2012 NORWAY TIP STROMGODSET v SANDNES ULF

[MattR]

13/07/2012 RIRELAND D1 MERVUE UNITED v LIMERICK FC 1.49 WON 0-3 +4.66
13/07/2012 RIRELAND D1 ATHLONE TOWN v FINN HARPS DREW 2-2 -10.00
14/07/2012 ESTONIA D1 TAMMEKA TARTU v KALJU NOMME WON 1-4 + 1.43
15/07/2012 KOREA D1 JEJU UNITED FC v DAEJON CITIZEN WON 4-1 + 5.70



today:
16/07/2012 NORWAY TIP STROMGODSET v SANDNES UL

[MattR]

16/07/2012 NORWAY TIP STROMGODSET v SANDNES UL WON 2-1 +3.23


Thread Only:
Bets: 10
Wins: 6
St Rate: 60%
Staked 100.00
Prof/Loss +0.47


Complete
Bets: 21
Wins: 15
St Rate: 71%
Staked 210.00
Prof/Loss +36.24
ROI 17.25

[MattR]

Next few days qualifiers below: picks in bold as usual

20/07/2012 RIRELAND D1 LIMERICK FC v SD GALWAY
21/07/2012 FINLAND D2 FC VIIKINGIT v HAMEENLINNA
21/07/2012 FINLAND D2 ROPS v JIPPO
21/07/2012 KOREA D1 JEJU UNITED FC v CHUNNAM DRAGONS
21/07/2012 NORWAY TIP MOLDE v VIKING
21/07/2012 RIRELAND D1 FINN HARPS v WEXFORD YOUTHS
22/07/2012 FINLAN D2 PK-35 v HIFK
22/07/2012 LITHUANIA D1 TAURUS TAURAGE v SUDUVA MARIJAMPOLE
22/07/2012 NORWAY TIP BRANN v AALESUND
22/07/2012 SWEDEN SPR BROMMAPOJKARNA v ASSYRISKA

[MattR]

0/07/2012 RIRELAND D1 LIMERICK FC v SD GALWAY WON +1.14
21/07/2012 FINLAND D2 FC VIIKINGIT v HAMEENLINNA LOST -10.00
21/07/2012 FINLAND D2 ROPS v JIPPO DREW -10.00
21/07/2012 KOREA D1 JEJU UNITED FC v CHUNNAM DRAGONS WON +6.75
21/07/2012 NORWAY TIP MOLDE v VIKING LOST -10.00
21/07/2012 RIRELAND D1 FINN HARPS v WEXFORD YOUTHS DREW -10.00
22/07/2012 FINLAN D2 PK-35 v HIFK WON +2.57
22/07/2012 LITHUANIA D1 TAURUS TAURAGE v SUDUVA MARIJAMPOLE WON 3.33
22/07/2012 NORWAY TIP BRANN v AALESUND WON +9.98
22/07/2012 SWEDEN SPR BROMMAPOJKARNA v ASSYRISKA WON +6.94


Thread Only:
Bets: 20
Wins: 12
St Rate: 60%
Staked 200.00
Prof/Loss -8.85


Complete
Bets: 31
Wins: 21
St Rate: 67%
Staked 310.00
Prof/Loss +26.92
ROI 8.68

[MattR]

Had a big overhaul and tidy up of my football spreadsheets yesterday and today and also managed to miss a qualifier (FC Seoul 1.47) today on this and the other system!

Anyway, one more for today

Brazil D1: Ponte Preta 1.83 v Sport Recife

One for Friday

R Ireland D1: Wexford v Mervue

[MattR]

Posting sat/sun/mon now as not sure when and if I'll be able to get on at the weekend


Saturday

Fin D2: HIFK v FC Viikingit
Fin D2: PK-35 v OPS
Lithuania D1: FK Ekranas v Tauras Taurage
Sweden SPR: Brommapojkarna v Landskrona

Sunday

Brazil D1: Sao Paulo v Flamengo
Brazil D1: Cruzeiro v Palmeiras

Monday

Finland D1: Inter Turku v Mariehamn
FInland D2: Jippo v Kooteepee

[MattR]

Saturday

Fin D2: HIFK v FC Viikingit drew 1-1 -10.00
Fin D2: PK-35 v OPS won 3-0 + 5.89
Lithuania D1: FK Ekranas v Tauras Taurage wo 5-0 + 0.95
Sweden SPR: Brommapojkarna v Landskrona won 2-0 + 6.18

Sunday

Brazil D1: Sao Paulo v Flamengo won 4-1 +7.79
Brazil D1: Cruzeiro v Palmeiras won 2-1 +9.12

Monday

Finland D1: Inter Turku v Mariehamn lost 0-3 -10
FInland D2: Jippo v Kooteepeewon 1-0 +8.84



Bets: 31
Wins: 19
St Rate: 61%
Staked 310.00
Prof/Loss -5.62

[MattR]

5 for the weekend


Athlone v Wexford
Fc Viljandi v Levadia Tallin
Gremio v Bahia
Sao Paulo v Sport Recife
Cruzeiro v Ponte Preta

[MattR]

Athlone v Wexford PP
Fc Viljandi v Levadia Tallin won 0-5 +1.90
Gremio v Bahia won 3-1 +3.90
Sao Paulo v Sport Recife won 1-0 +3.99
Cruzeiro v Ponte Preta lost 1-2 -10.00

Bets: 35
Wins: 22
St Rate: 63%
Staked 350.00
Prof/Loss -5.84


one for today

PK-35 1.58 v Hameenlinna

[MattR]

PK-35 1.58 v Hameenlinna won 3-0 + 5.51


Bets: 36
Wins: 23
St Rate: 64%
Staked 360.00
Prof/Loss -0.35

[MattR]

3 for saturday


Kalju Nomme 1.10 v FC Viljandi
Tammeka Tartu v Levadia Tallin 1.20
Jeju United 1.75 v Gwangju FC

[MattR]

One for today

Gremio 1.55 v Portuguesa

[MattR]

Lost



4 over the weekend:

18/8
Korea: FC Seoul v Suwon Bluewings
Belarus: Dinamo Minsk v Torpedo Zhodino
Brazil: Sao Paulo v Ponte Preta

20/8
Estonia: Tallina Kalev v Trans Narva

[MattR]

I've been juggling around my spreadsheets for football and have decided to scrap this and the other two I was posting as I don't think the criteria used will work long term. I'm going to post up two others, one I've been running a while that has been steady so far with an roi of 6.99% and another that is going to be my own picks based on stats but not a system.