Matt's Picks

[MattR]

These will be my own picks, stats based but not a system.


I started this today and there were three today all of whom won, so we'll start with tomorrow's selection which will of course lose :rolleyes:


Osters v Brage

[MattR]

Osters v Brage WON 1-0 + 4.47



Weekend picks:

Saturday:
Flora Tallin v Tammeka Tartu
Incheon United v Jeju United

Sunday:
Molde v Valerenga
Landskrona v Degefors

[MattR]

Saturday:
Flora Tallin 1.14 v Tammeka Tartu won 5-1 +1.33
Incheon United 2.32 v Jeju United drew 0-0 -10.00

Sunday:
Molde 1.47 v Valerenga won 2-0 +4.47
Landskrona 2.00 v Degefors (this one's actually on today, monday!)

[MattR]

Two today

Kuressaare v Kalju Nomme 1.22
Fc Viljandi v Flora Tallin 1.23


Wed
Rops v Kooteepee
Atletico MG v Ponte Preta
Nautico v Figueirense

Thu
Flamengo v Sport Recife

Fri
Hacken v Orebro
Halmstad v Brage

[MattR]

Kuressaare v Kalju Nomme 1.22 WON 0-9 :yikes: +2.09
Fc Viljandi v Flora Tallin 1.23 WON 0-2 +2.19

[MattR]

Two more for tuesday


Avai 1.68 v BOA
Vitoria 1.35 v Gremio Barueri

[MattR]

Avai 1.68 v BOA WON 2-1 +6.46
Vitoria 1.35 v Gremio Barueri WON 1-0 +3.33

Bets: 12
Wins: 10
Pr/Lo: +19.89

Wed
Rops 1.41 v Kooteepee
Atletico MG 1.46 v Ponte Preta
Nautico 1.93 v Figueirense

[MattR]

Wed
Rops 1.41 v Kooteepee WON 3-0 + 3.90
Atletico MG 1.46 v Ponte Preta DREW 2-2 -10.00
Nautico 1.93 v Figueirense WON 3-2 +8.84


Bets: 15
Wins: 13
Draws: 2
Losses: 0
Pr/Lo: +22.62



Thu
Flamengo 1.59 v Sport Recife

[MattR]

Thu
Flamengo 1.59 v Sport Recife DREW 1-1 -10.00


Fri
Hacken 1.54 v Orebro
Halmstad 1.48 v Brage

Sat
Joinville v ABC
Hameenlinna v SJK

Sun
PK-35 v AC Oulu
Zalgiris Vilnius v Dainava Alytus

[MattR]

Fri
Hacken 1.54 v Orebro WON 5-2 + 5.13
Halmstad 1.48 v Brage WON 4-0 +4.56

Sat
Joinville 1.39 v ABC DREW 0-0 -10.00
Hameenlinna v SJK 1.64 WON 0-2 +6.08

Sun
PK-35 1.69 v AC Oulu WON 1-0 +6.56
Zalgiris Vilnius 1.11 v Dainava Alytus WON 3-0 +1.05

Bets: 22
Wins: 17
Draws: 5
Losses: 0
Pr/Lo: +25.99
ROI 11.81
Ave Odds 1.53

[MattR]

One today

Kalju Nomme 1.07 v Tallina Kalev

Not exactly great odds I know! But they have beaten them 3-1 and 5-0 already this season and on the face of things that's actually probably a value price! Although it is football, so... :laugh

[MattR]

Kalju Nomme 1.07 v Tallina Kalev WON 7-0 :laugh

This Estonian league has been very good this season for reliable low odds wins. Usually with most leagues there's a 1.10 to 1.20 team that cocks up and draws and wipes out any profit made on the other low odds bets but so far I've had 11 bets in this league on the top three teams when playing much weaker teams, with odds between todays 1.07 up to 1.25, averaging 1.14 and the for against record to date is 50 v 1 :laugh

[MattR]

One for Friday

America RN v Guaratingueta

[MattR]

Kalju Nomme 1.07 v Tallina Kalev WON 7-0 +0.67
America RN 1.60 v Guaratingueta WON 4-1 +5.70

Bets: 24
Wins: 19
Draws: 5
Losses: 0
Pr/Lo: +32.36
ROI 13.48
Ave Odds 1.52


Midweek picks:

Tues

Atletico Para v CRB
Avai v Ipatinga
Vitoria v BOA

Weds
Atletico MG v Sao Paulo

Thur
Kooteepee v SJK

[MattR]

Atletico Para 1.39 v CRB WON 4-1 + 3.71
Avai 1.45 v Ipatinga WON 2-1 + 4.28
Vitoria 1.46 v BOA WON 3-2 + 4.37

(note different odds on the first two games from my other system as i put these ones on this morning and Avai had moved out a bit)



Bets: 27
Wins: 22
Draws: 5
Losses: 0
Pr/Lo: +44.71
Str Rate: 81.48%
ROI 16.56
Ave Odds 1.52

[MattR]

Weds
Atletico MG 1.85 v Sao Paulo WON 1-0 + 8.08


Bets: 28
Wins: 23
Draws: 5
Losses: 0
Pr/Lo: +52.79
Str Rate: 82.14%
ROI 18.85
Ave Odds 1.52

Thur
Kooteepee v SJK

[MattR]

Thur
Kooteepee v SJK 2.04 lost 1-0 -10.00
Bets: 29
Wins: 23
Draws: 5
Losses: 1
Pr/Lo: +42.79
Str Rate: 79.31%
ROI 14.75%
Ave Odds 1.54

Three over the weekendFri
Criciuma 1.68 v ASA

Sat
PK-35 v Jippo
Fluminense 1.43 V Atletico GO

[yerotsluap]

wow Matt these picks seem to be going very well for you

[MattR]

Thanks Paul. I was hopeful they would be good enough to turn a profit as I the first step in picking them is part system that was doing ok on it's own, from there I'm then looking in more depth at the games to pick the one's for here. I am amazed myself at just how well they have started though! 2 more wins so far with Fluminense to go for the weekend.

[MattR]

Criciuma 1.68 v ASA WON 2-1 +6.46

Sat
PK-35 1.38 v Jippo WON 4-3 +3.61
Fluminense 1.43 V Atletico GO lost 1-2 -10.00


And sure enough the pick I'd have said was a so called 'banker' in the whole thread so far lost 2-1! :rolleyes: :laugh


Bets: 32
Wins: 25
Draws: 5
Losses: 2
Pr/Lo: +42.85
Str Rate: 78.13%
ROI 13.39%
Ave Odds 1.53

[MattR]

Tues
Kalju Nomme v Kuressaare
Flora Tallin v FC Vijlandi
Atlantas v FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Weds
Suduva Marijampole v Tauras Taurage

[MattR]

Kalju Nomme 1.05 v Kuressaare WON 6-1 +0.48
Flora Tallin 1.08 v FC Vijlandi WON 5-0 +0.76
Atlantas v FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.28 WON 3-4 +2.66



Bets: 35
Wins: 28
Draws: 5
Losses: 2
Pr/Lo: +46.75
Str Rate: 80.00%
ROI 13.36%
Ave Odds 1.50


Weds
Suduva Marijampole v Tauras Taurage

[MattR]

Weds
Suduva Marijampole 1.08 v Tauras Taurage WON 4-1 +0.76

Bets: 36
Wins: 29
Draws: 5
Losses: 2
Pr/Lo: +47.51
Str Rate: 80.55%
ROI 13.20%
Ave Odds 1.49

[MattR]

4 for the weekend


Saturday
Fluminense 1.45 v Nautico
Tallina Kalev v Kalju Nomme
Tammeka Tartu v Flora Tallin
Ljungskile 1.58 v Umea

[MattR]

Fluminense 1.45 v Nautico won 2-1 + 4.89
Tallina Kalev v Kalju Nomme 1.10 won 1-3 +0.95
Tammeka Tartu v Flora Tallin 1.11 won 0-3 +0.95
Ljungskile 1.58 v Umea won 2-0 +5.51




Bets: 40
Wins: 33
Draws: 5
Losses: 2
Pr/Lo: +59.29
Str Rate: 82.50%
ROI 14.82%
Ave Odds 1.47

[MattR]

One for today

Joinville 1.60 v BOA

[MattR]

Joinville 1.60 v BOA WON 3-0 +5.70

one for today

FK Ekranas 1.22 v Banga Gargzdai

[MattR]

FK Ekranas 1.22 v Banga Gargzdai won 2-0 +2.09


Bets: 42
Wins: 35
Draws: 5
Losses: 2
Pr/Lo: +67.08
Str Rate: 83.33%
ROI 15.97%
Ave Odds 1.47


4 for the weekend

Ceara v Ipatinga
Kruoja v Dainava Alytus
Maribor v Mura 05
Ljungskile v Brage

[MattR]

A few picks over the weekend

Friday
America RN v CRB

Saturday
Sao Paulo v Palmeiras
Trans Narva v Kalju Nomme
Hacken v Syrianska
Atletico MG v Figueirense
Flora Tallin v Tallina Kalev

Sunday
Molde v Sandnes

Monday
Landskrona v Trelleborgs

[MattR]

Ok, need to update this.

Ceara v Ipatinga DREW 1-1
Kruoja v Dainava Alytus WON 2-0
Maribor v Mura 05 WON 1-0
Ljungskile v Brage DREW 1-1


Friday
America RN v CRB DREW 1-1

Saturday
Sao Paulo v Palmeiras WON 3-0
Trans Narva v Kalju Nomme WON 0-2
Hacken v Syrianska WON 5-1
Atletico MG v Figueirense WON 6-0
Flora Tallin v Tallina Kalev WON 3-1

Sunday
Molde v Sandnes WON 3-2

Monday
Landskrona v Trelleborgs LOST 0-3


Results to date (time to test Keith's new forum that we can paste tables in :biggrin: )




STAKED
540.00


PR/LO
52.63


WON
43


DREW
8


LOST
3


ROI
9.75


AVE ODDS
1.45


PTS PROFIT
+5.26

[MattR]

:doh Where's the table? It's showing when I edit thread but not once posted? Must be doing something wrong!


Anyway for now here's todays

ASA v Guaratingueta

[MattR]

ASA 1.54 v Guaratingueta WON 3-1 + 5.13

Ok now for another try for a table!



STAKED
550.00


PROFIT/LOSS
57.76


WON
44


DREW
8


LOST
3


ROI
10.50


AVE ODDS
1.46




Ok, it should be above hopefully..... Really easy to add, a great addition Keith :thumbs

[MattR]

Hmm :headbange Am I missing something? It shows when I go to edit the post but not when it's posted?? :doh

[MattR]

Weekends picks

Sat 13th Oct
Avai v CRB

Sun 14th Oct
Atletico MG v Sport Recife
Coritiba v Bahia
Nautico v Palmeiras
Sao Paulo Figueirense
Mjondalen v Strommen

[MattR]

Nice clean sweep at the weekend (well apart from the game that didn't play!)


Sat 13th Oct
Avai 1.47 v CRB WON 1-0 +4.47


Sun 14th Oct
Atletico MG 1.29 v Sport Recife WON 2-1 + 2.76
Coritiba 1.68 v Bahia WON 2-1 +6.46
Nautico 1.79 v Palmeiras WON 1-0 +7.51
Sao Paulo 1.29 Figueirense WON 2-0 +2.76
Mjondalen v Strommen Postponed



STAKED
600.00


PROFIT/LOSS
81.70


WON
49


DREW
8


LOST
3


ROI
13.62


AVE ODDS
1.46





Two for midweek

16th
Vitoria v ASA

18th
Sao Paulo v Atletico GO

[MattR]

16th
Vitoria v ASA WON 2-0 +5.13


One tomorrow

18th
Sao Paulo v Atletico GO

[MattR]

Sao Paulo v Atletico GO WON 2-0 +2.95



STAKED

620.00



PROFIT/LOSS

89.77



WON

51



DREW

8



LOST

3



ROI
14.48



AVE ODDS
1.46




One for the weekend

Joinville v CRB

[MattR]

Three for tonight

Atletico Para v Guarani C
Criciuma v Gremio B
Goias v ASA

[MattR]

Joinville v CRB WON 3-1

Atletico Para v Guarani C DREW 1-1
Criciuma v Gremio B LOST 3-4 :doh
Goias v ASA WON 4-0





STAKED
660.00



PROFIT/LOSS
77.28



WON
53



DREW
9



LOST
4



ROI
11.71



AVE ODDS
1.46

[MattR]

Picks for Fri to Sun

Fri
Avai v Parana
Tom Tomsk v Petrotrest

Sun
Aluminij v Mura 05
Dnepr v Karpaty Lviv

[MattR]

Weekends selections (bold the selections not the fact I'm picking them :laugh or then again....)

Friday
Hartberg v SV Grodig

Saturday
America RN v BOA
Vaslui v Ceahlaul
Shakhter Donetsk v Metalurg Z

Monday
Pandurii v CS Turnu Severin