View Full Version : bf last time out
piggy
9th April 2013, 04:42
a few years ago i was trying out a system for bf last time out running in the same or lower class races but then life took over and i never finished the study any stats would be gratefully recieved as ive just started to revive it.
Win2Win
9th April 2013, 09:28
Based on data for beaten Favs LTO you would have made a big loss backing or laying, even taking class into account. However if you split it into race types you get a different picture:
Classification
Runners
Winners
Win S/R
P/L Betfair
ROI Betfair
P/L to SP
ROI to SP
Lay P/L BF
Lay ROI BF
LWR
LLR
Amateur
295.00
44.00
14.92
-8.79
-2.98
-35.19
-11.93
-13.11
-4.44
3
29
Apprentice
573.00
96.00
16.75
-4.34
-0.76
-62.07
-10.83
-37.41
-6.53
2
23
Auction
568.00
165.00
29.05
-2.30
-0.41
-48.41
-8.52
-35.14
-6.19
5
13
Chase
4047.00
736.00
18.19
-392.84
-9.71
-748.83
-18.50
117.69
2.91
4
31
Claiming
439.00
100.00
22.78
-29.05
-6.62
-60.40
-13.76
-0.78
-0.18
3
20
Classified
198.00
48.00
24.24
6.15
3.11
-7.94
-4.01
-19.26
-9.73
3
23
Conditional Jockeys
365.00
60.00
16.44
9.12
2.50
-28.73
-7.87
-36.33
-9.95
3
22
Conditions
160.00
33.00
20.63
48.69
30.43
-12.87
-8.05
-63.59
-39.75
3
17
EBF
118.00
21.00
17.80
-44.63
-37.82
-49.02
-41.54
38.27
32.44
3
14
Fillies
1412.00
291.00
20.61
246.23
17.44
-16.89
-1.20
-360.38
-25.52
3
24
Grade 1
231.00
25.00
10.82
117.68
50.94
-36.97
-16.00
-143.21
-62.00
2
30
Grade 2
246.00
37.00
15.04
-65.49
-26.62
-92.63
-37.65
49.70
20.20
2
17
Grade 3
228.00
21.00
9.21
12.10
5.31
-55.42
-24.31
-31.11
-13.65
2
18
Group 1
180.00
18.00
10.00
-37.75
-20.97
-53.30
-29.61
25.16
13.98
2
28
Group 2
164.00
23.00
14.02
24.54
14.97
-2.90
-1.77
-38.16
-23.27
2
26
Group 3
278.00
45.00
16.19
85.95
30.92
-4.58
-1.65
-112.13
-40.33
4
21
Handicap
16530.00
2346.00
14.19
-1201.79
-7.27
-3008.21
-18.20
-25.38
-0.15
4
44
Hunters Chase
176.00
31.00
17.61
36.74
20.87
-11.97
-6.80
-51.63
-29.34
2
21
Hurdle
5570.00
934.00
16.77
-40.45
-0.73
-981.22
-17.62
-379.71
-6.82
6
44
Juvenile
218.00
36.00
16.51
45.14
20.70
1.58
0.72
-64.68
-29.67
2
15
Listed
635.00
101.00
15.91
108.78
17.13
-21.91
-3.45
-163.10
-25.68
2
30
Maiden
3621.00
956.00
26.40
37.07
1.02
-384.56
-10.62
-276.81
-7.64
4
27
Mares
482.00
89.00
18.46
25.59
5.31
-62.08
-12.88
-63.25
-13.12
2
21
Median
410.00
123.00
30.00
-3.26
-0.80
-37.40
-9.12
-23.02
-5.61
5
15
NHF
357.00
62.00
17.37
-9.11
-2.55
-88.24
-24.72
-18.53
-5.19
3
22
Novice
2316.00
477.00
20.60
23.56
1.02
-301.80
-13.03
-192.02
-8.29
4
23
Nursery
524.00
62.00
11.83
-66.86
-12.76
-125.81
-24.01
26.97
5.15
2
27
Rated Stakes
21.00
5.00
23.81
5.04
24.00
3.75
17.86
-6.23
-29.66
2
7
Selling
444.00
107.00
24.10
19.38
4.37
-22.13
-4.99
-51.30
-11.55
3
16
Win2Win
9th April 2013, 09:32
I forgot to mention, these results already have the 5% commission deducted. :smile:
piggy
9th April 2013, 11:56
thanks very much keith for the info
Win2Win
9th April 2013, 19:05
I did spend time adding nice colors on the spreadsheet but the cut'n'paste made them all black again :doh1: :laugh
Godspot
11th March 2016, 18:39
I did spend time adding nice colors on the spreadsheet but the cut'n'paste made them all black again :doh1: :laugh
No matter, it copy n pastes into a spreadsheet alright - shame there's not more of a breakdown in race type tho.
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