over/under 2.5 goal markets

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aint been here for a while,but i'm back with a crack at these markets. these bets are based on the last 8 times that these sides have faced each other,so here goes.
Newcastle v Liverpool over 2.5 goals £100 win @1.78
Arsenal v Norwich over 2.5 goals £100 win @ 1.68
Man Utd v Southampton over 2.5 goals £100 win @ 1.82

[Win2Win]

:Helooo Hello again :smile:. Good to see you back, and the Premiership. :thumbs

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yo dude!!!!
yes good to be back.
aint been doing much gambling in the last year, only a bit of rugby and football betting,not even playing poker any more :yikes:.and thats not like me i was poker mad for 5+ years.
so this is it,i'll be posting rugby tryscorers and football over/under 2.5 goalmarket bets.


fingers crossed

[Win2Win]

I don't have time for poker any more, unless I'm in Vegas. I actually started again last night. I downloaded a poker app, and will play a sit'n'go before I sleep.... unless the wife takes my mind off it ::hump :biggrin:

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Newcastle v Liverpool over 2.5 goals £100 win @1.78 won
Arsenal v Norwich over 2.5 goals £100 win @ 1.68 won
Man Utd v Southampton over 2.5 goals £100 win @ 1.82 lost::swear


the bank stands at £1038 now after betfair commission is taken off

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just 1 selection this week
tottenham v hull back under 2.5 goals. £100 win @2.08

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just trying another angle on these 2.5 goals markets,hence the smaller stake.

Over 2.5 Goals @ 4/5 Sunderland v Newcastle

Under 2.5 Goals @ evens Southampton v Fulham

Under 2.5 Goals @ 11/10 Man Utd v Stoke

Under 2.5 Goals @ 5/4 Liverpool v West Brom

the bet is a £25 4 fold acc with paddy power

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the spurs bet was landed,but the trial bet lost,so not too bad of a weekend.
the bank now stands at £1116

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just a few selections from my trial list this week
HullvSunderland under 2.5 goals @4/7
Man CityvNorwich over 2.5 goals @ 40/85
StokevSouthampton under 2.5 goals @4/7
ArsenalvLiverpool over 2.5 goals @2/3

well have a £50 accumulator on the betfair sportsbook,that pays 5/1

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HullvSunderland under 2.5 goals @4/7 :thumbs
Man CityvNorwich over 2.5 goals @ 40/85 :thumbs
StokevSouthampton under 2.5 goals @4/7 :thumbs
ArsenalvLiverpool over 2.5 goals @2/3 ;fire

3 out of 4 yesterday meant the bank lost £50.I personally backed arsenal to be under 2.5 goals as a single just to cover my stake.
anyway 2 more today with my trial system
cardiff v swansea to be under 2.5 goals @5/6
everton v spurs to be under 2.5 goals @ 4/5
we'll have a £50 double on the betfair sportsbook. its a 2.3/1 double

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cardiff v swansea to be under 2.5 goals @5/6 :thumbs
everton v spurs to be under 2.5 goals @ 4/5 :thumbs

not too bad a weekend with this trial system,we profited £65 on the weekend.

the bank now stands at £1181

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SunderlandvMan City over 2.5 @1.61
SwanseavStoke over 2.5 @ 2.25
LiverpoolvFulham under 2.5 @ 2.45
NorwichvWest Ham under 2.5 @ 1.75
SouthamptonvHull under 2.5 @ 1.61
well have a £20 acc on the bf sportsbook. that pays a tasty 24/1
I am worried about the liverpool game,but these are system picks.
also well have a £100 single on aston villa vs cardiff on being under 2.5 goals @ 1.87

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before i go into tomorrow's "sweat on" (there is no sweat on).the the trial selections got absolutely smashed.but my mainstream bet(villa vs cardiff) came through.
after bf deductins we made a small profit of £63 on both bets.


the bank now stands at £1244,going in the right direction

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just a few bankers this week
Hull v Crystal Palace under 2.5 @ 1.71
Fulham v Swansea over 2.5 @ 2.22
Stoke v Sunderland under 2.5 @ 1.70

£100 win on all of these on betfair

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aint it nice when a plan comes together!!!
3 out of 3 gave us a nice profit of £250 after deductions. the bank stands at £1494
the highlight of my betting day was backing everton v liverpool correct score 3-3,that paid out a tasty 69/1 on betfair:wiggle::wiggle::wiggle:

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one banker for tonight
west brom vs aston villa.we'll have a £100 win on over 2.5 goals @ 2.06 on betfair

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another £101 in the bank


the bank now stands at £1595

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4 bankers for the weekend
Everton v Stoke under 2.5 goals @ 1.86
West Ham v Fulham over 2.5 @ 2.04
Newcastle v West Brom over 2.5 @ 1.93
Chelsea v Southampton over 2.5 goals @ 1.91
£120 win on each on betfair

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3 out of 4 will do.shame though as i done an accumulator as well as singles myself.
we won £208 after commision.

the bank now stands at £1803

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there are 2 for the midweek
chelsea over 2.5 @1.88 £130 win on betfair
i will post the other selection later or tomorrow when there is more money in the market

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the other selection is arsenal over 2.5 goals
£130 win @1.69 on betfair. a bit skinny but it is what it is

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we lost £21 on this tonight.
the bank now stands at £1782

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only 1 selection for the weekend
fulham v aston villa under 2.5 goals @2.02 on betfair £130 win

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another easy winner for the bank :yikes:
we made £126 after deductions.the bank now stands at £1908

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2 for this weekend.
liverpool vs cardiff over 2.5 goals
fulham vs man city over 2.5 goals
i would normally do these as singles but there is no price,they are around 1.5 on betfair.
so the bet is £130 double on betfair sportsbook . the odds are 2.21.

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i dont know if anyone is betting these selections that i am posting.but i made a small mistake when posting my selections for this weekend.
i never realized that liverpool were playing earlier in the day as to the rest of the fixtures.
i posted that the bet was a double on the sportsbook,which is what i had done a bit hasty.
you can get around 15% more for your money if you back liverpool over 2.5 goals as a single on the exchange,and then put all your winnings on man city over 2.5 as a sinlge on the exchange

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a nice easy one for a change. both games up without any worries.

the bank has now doubled to £2065

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just the 1 bet for boxing day
newcastle v stoke £140 win over 2.5 goals @2.22 betfair

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£162 profit for the day.
bank now up to £2227

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5 selections for new years day,3 of my selections are matched.
i will post my other 2 selections once they are all matched.

fulham v west ham over 2.5 goals @1.87
liverpool v hull over 2.5 goals @1.59
stoke v everton under 2.5 goals @1.85
£140 win on each

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ok the 2 bets that were missing were
arsenal v cardiff over 2.5 goals @1.71
sunderland v aston villa under 2.5 goals @1.84
we'll have £140 win on each
i'd just like to add that the way that i pick these selections,they are system selected and filters are applied.
this season has produced 38 selections of which 29 have won.
i did run trial selections earlier this year but the strike rate never lived up to expectations.
happy new year to all followers to this thread and hope 2014 is as good as 2013

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the bank profited to the tune of £60 today with 3 of the 5 coming up trumps.
got to say i thought the liverpool game was a banker,but there goes.
no more selections now until 18th jan

the bank is now on £2287

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just 2 for the weekend
man city vs cardiff over 2.5 goals @1.4
norwich vs hull under 2.5 goals @1.69
not very happy with the odds of the man city game,but these are system bets and i must stick by them.
we'll have £150 on each on betfair

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not a bad day for the bank today,we made a profit of £155.
the balance is now £2442
we have 3 bets on this thread next on the 28th jan

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3 selections for midweek, only 1 of my bets have been matched.
crystal palace vs hull £150 win @ 1.58 on betfair
i'll post the other 2 selections when they get matched

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second game matched
southampton vs arsenal under 2.5 goals £150 win @2.04

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3rd game matched
sunderland vs stoke under 2.5 goals @1.73 £150 win

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we made a small profit £37 after deductions on the 3 midweek games.
personally i never fancied the arsenal game to be under 2.5 goals,but it was a system bet and it had to be placed.
the bank now stands at £2479.
in the next month selections are a bit thin on the ground, 1 selection on the 8th feb and 1 selection on the 28th feb

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Just the one selection today
Sunderland v hull under 2.5 goals. £150 win @1.67 on betfair

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we just about held on with hull winning 2-0.that win boosted the bank by £95 after deductions.

the bank now stands at £2574

[bryn]

That is good going EP:thumbs

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cheers bryn.its nice when a plan comes together. its a case of keeping the run going now.
i'm not getting many selections but i dont mind because the strike rate is very good.
i see your challenge is ticking along nicely,keep up the good work:thumbs

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just the 1 game this weekend
norwich vs tottenham.well have £160 win on under 2.5 goals @1.93 on betfair

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still going well.another winner adds another £141 to the bank.
it now stands at £2715

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1 selection this week and personally i dont fancy it,but i have bet it
southampton vs liverpool under 2.5 goals. £160 win @2.38.

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not a good day today.the bet got sunk in the last minute.
£5000 was traded at 1.01 on betfair thats how low it got.
personally for me i didnt fancy it from the start,so i traded out for a 10% profit after around 71 minutes.
so our balance is now £2555

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3 for the weekend
Crystal PalacevSouthampton under 2.5 @1.7
NorwichvStoke under 2.5 @1.65
West BromvMan Utd over 2.5 @2.1
we'll have £160 win on each on betfair

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a nice day for us yesterday with all 3 obliging.
we made a profit of £372 after commission.
the bank now stands at £2927. our next stake will be £170 win

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2 bets this weekend one saturday,one sunday
aston villa vs chelsea over 2.5 goals @2.02 £170 win
tottenham vs arsenal over 2.5 goals @2.06 £170 win

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it was a very bad weekends gambling for me last week.i lost my largest amount ever and "boy it hurt".but thats gambling for you.
anyway enough of the personal stuff,the bank is down to £2587 with both selections getting sunk

2 selections this weekend
cardiff vs liverpool over 2.5 goals @ 1.58
west ham vs man utd over 2.5 goals @1.96
we'll have a £170 win on each

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we made a £76 loss on our selections this week.
the man utd game would have given a handsome profit to all you traders when it was 2-0 with an hour to play,but i took my chance and it never paid off.
the bank is now down to £2511.
one game tuesday night, man utd vs man city,well have £170 win on over 2.5 goals @1.77 on betfair

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one i missed for tonight
newcastle vs everton over 2.5 goals @2.04 £170 win

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2 out of 2 tonight without breaking a sweat:signs136::
the bank is now getting back on track and is up to £2803

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5 games meets the criteria this week :yikes:
arsenal v man city under 2.5 goals @2.24
fulham v everton over 2.5 goals @ 1.84
man utd v aston villa over 2.5 @ 1.85
stoke v hull under 2.5 goals @ 1.68
swansea v norwich over 2.5 goals @ 2.02
we'll have £170 win on each on bf

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a nice weekend with all 5 coming in.the bank won £748.
the bank now stands at £3551.
the next bet level is £180 wins

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3 bets for this weekend
chelsea v stoke under 2.5 goals @2.12
aston villa v fulham under 2.5 goals @2.12
west ham v liverpool over 2.5 goals@ 1.53
£180 win on each

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not a good weekend on these 3 bets with only liverpool obliging.
personally i never bet liverpool @1.53,that was far too short,i waited until 20 minutes were played and bet them at 1.95,and thanks to the comic in charge of the game i hit my 3 goals.
anyway the bank lost £270 and the bank balance is now £3281

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3 bets for the next weekend .£180 win on each on betfair
Sunderland V everton under 2.5 goals @2.02
West brom v tottenham under 2.5 goals @1.98
Liverpool v Man City over 2.5 goals @ 1.59(personally i will wait 10 minutes and then bet if its
0-0)

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2 of the 3 bets landed this weekend.
not brilliant for me, i lost a few pounds as i never got my liverpool bet on.
i was in the process of betting over 2.5 @1.85 as sterling slotted a goal into the net,so i missed that.
i cashed out on the everton game after 60 minutes winning around 85-90% of my full winnings
the bank won £94 this week and the bank balance is now £3375

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3 bets again for the up and coming weekend
chelsea v sunderland over 2.5 goals @1.63
norwich v liverpool over 2.5 goals @ 1.53
hull v arsenal over 2.5 goals @ 2.08

well have a £180 win on each

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a nice weekend with our 3 bets coming up.
who would have thought chelsea losing 2-1 eh!!!!

our bank won £383 and the balance now is £3758
our next betting level is £190 wins

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no qualifying bets this week,but we'll have 3 selections next week and 5 selections on the final day of the season

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3 selections this week
newcastle v cardiff over 2.5 goals @ 1.78
chelsea v norwich over 2.5 goals @ 1.6
stoke v fulham under 2.5 goals @ 2.00
we'll have £190 win on each

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a bit of a poor weekend last week with only newcastle getting one of our bets up,so we lost £240 of our betting bank.So the bank is down to £3418.
hopefully we will have a bit more luck this week with our 5 selections,so here goes
hull v everton over 2.5 goals @ 1.82
liverpool v newcastle over 2.5 goals @ 1.35
man city v west ham over 2.5 goals @ 1.37
southampton v mancs over 2.5 goals @ 1.8
west brom v stoke under 2.5 goals @ 2.08

we'll have £190 win on each
personally i'll bet liverpool and man city in running after 5 minutes or so,may get 1.5 by then

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quite a shocker today with only liverpool doing the business,and a bad end to the season after an excellent strike rate all year.

so today we lost £697 of our bank and that knocked the balance down to £2712
i cant really complain considering i made a nice profit to this challenge and almost trebled my bank

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its been 2 months since the last post,i wasnt going to do any bets on this market in the world cup,until today.
The last eight 3rd place finals since 1982 have had 5, 4, 5, 3, 4, 3, 4 and 5 goals,and thats enough for me to part with my hard earned today.
So we'll have a £250 win on this today on over 2.5 goals @1.8 on betfair.


once the new football season starts i'll be taking the same approach as last year,starting off with a risky staking plan,and if profits come i will be protecting my betting bank by reducing the percentage per bet.
hopefully i will get it up to £5k or £6k by the end of the season

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ok we made £190 profit after deductions,but wow that was hard work.
personally i made a huge mistake by not cashing in when it was 2-0,but the nature of a gambler is to say we will win.we did but on a personal note i cashed in and made a 60% loss on my stake after 84 minutes,can you blame me with 6 minutes to go?the brazillians wouldnt score if they played another 6 weeks and the dutch were content with a 2-0 win.
so now the bank stands at £2902

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right the new season is rapidly approaching and this is the plan for the new season.
we currently have £2902 in our betting bank but for betting purposes we'll just say we got £3000.
that is enough for 10 bets of £300,we will bet £300 per selection until we hit our target of 11 bets of £350(£3850).
we then bet £350 per selection until we hit our target of 12 bets at £400(£4800).
so after each target is reached we up the stakes by £50 and we put an extra bet into the the betting bank.( this is to safeguard our betting bank)
if i do get up to £500 per selection i would probably raise the bets in multibles of £100.
this is the strategy i took on last season and got my betting bank up to 19 bets of £190 until it took a bit of a dive at the end of last season.
in the first week we only have 1 selection.will post the selection on the friday before kick off

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ok the new season kicks off this weekend and we have 1 selection
west brom v sunderland over 2.5 goals £300 win @2.3 on bf

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a nice start with our selection winning with 4 goals scored.
we made a profit of £370 bringing our bank up to £3272.
next week there is only 1 selection that meets my system rules.will post on friday evening

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so,just the one selection this weekend.its the big one on monday night.
man city v liverpool we'll have a £300 win on over 2.5 goals on bf @ 1.7

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a profit of £200 keeps us happy at this early point in the season.there were points in the game where it was looking in doubt whether we would collect but we pulled through.
our balance now stands at £3472.

we have 3 selections for the weekend,i will post friday night

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ok,3 bets for this weekend,lets keep our fingers crossed
newcastle v crystal palace under 2.5 goals @1.78
QPR v sunderland over 2.5 goals @ 2.56 (huge odds)
tottenham v liverpool over 2.5 goals @1.75
£300 win on each at the current betfair odds

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a poor set of results really this weekend with only tottenham v liverpool obliging.
so all in all we made a loss of £386.
our balance is now £3086.
no games next week but i have 2 selections on the following weekend

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2 bets for this week
stoke v leicester over 2.5 goals @2.5
west brom v everton under 2.5 goals @2
£300 wins on each on betfair

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another week where it could have gone horribly wrong but everton managed not to score a third goal to help us get one bet from two.
after commission we made a loss of £15 which brings the balance down to £3071,so no alarm bells yet in this early part of the season,we are still in profit and still got our 10 bets in tact.
we have 2 bets for next weekend,i will post on friday evening

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ok 2 bets for this weekend
everton v crystal palace over 2.5 goals @1.82
west ham v liverpool over 2.5 goals @ 1.71
same stake again,£300 win on each on betfair

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2 easy wins gets us £438 after deductions.
the bank now stands at £3509,we are going in the right direction.
3 bets for next weekend,will update friday evening or earlier if matched

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right,posting a bit earlier this week as i've got them all matched.
liverpool v everton over 2.5 goals @1.69
chelsea v aston villa over 2.5 goals @1.7
west brom v burnley over 2.5 goals @2.36
we'll have our usuall £300 win on each

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2 out of 3 this week for a profit of £287.
to be honest i was very surprised with the liverpool result ending under 2.5 goals considering it was a frantic 90 minutes,but there you go, it is what it is.
our balance it now at it highest ever to the tune of £3796.
we have just the one selection next week

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as mentioned last week,just the one selection this week.
hull vs crystal palace under 2.5 goals £300 win @ 1.84 on betfair

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ok,it was an anxious last 5 minutes or so,but apart from that not much to worry about as our selection came in.
we won £239 from the bet after deductions which now takes our balance up to £4035.
we have now reached our first target for this current season of 11 bets of £350 (£3850),so we have now upped our stake and put an extra 10% security into our betting bank.(see post #68 in this thread)
no selections now for a couple of weeks

[MattR]

Great going with these EP :thumbs

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yeah cheers matt.
i'm getting a similar strike rate this season as the last season(around 70% or so),so if i do carry on with the same strike rate i reckon i could break the 10k barrier on this thread by the end of this season.
just hope i havnt put the mockers on it by stating that.

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nothing doing this week due to the international games.
next week i will be starting another £1000 challenge which will cover the 2.5 goal markets in spain,germany and italy.obviously there wont be as much liquidity in these betfair markets as we get in the premiership but my selections are picked in exactly the same way that i pick my premiership selections,so we'll see how they pan out.
i will be betting them,but not to the same level as the prem games.
so next week i have 3 premiership games on this thread and 7 bets on my european markets thread

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ok 3 for this weekend
newcastle v leicester under 2.5 goals @2.16
arsenal v hull over 2.5 goals @1.74
west brom v man utd over 2.5 goals @1.82
we'll have £350 win on each
will post the european games tomorrow

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ok job done,3 out of 3 for a profit of £906 for this weekend.
our balance is now £4941 and we've hit our second target of 12 bets at £400,so now we have an extra bet in our betting bank for a bit of extra protection,and we've raised our stakes.
we will bet £400 now until we get to our target of 13 bets @£450(£5850).
2 bets next weekend

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2 bets this weekend
liverpool v hull over 2.5 goals @1.67
west brom v crystal palace under 2.5 @1.9
£400 win on each

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bit of a pig this week as our 2 selections done a bismarck,but thats gambling and we cant win them all.
personally i never fancied the liverpool game at all,but the system threw it up so it had to be a bet.
i still think there will be huge profits from this and my euro thread this season,its all about controlling the bank by gradually raising the stakes and putting extra security into the bank by adding more bets as it rises.

our bank now stands at £4141

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Just the one bet this week.
Newcastle v liverpool over 2.5 goals.
We'll have a £400 win @ 1.8

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another loss hits the bank to the tune of £400.our balance is down to £3741 but its a case of "chin up",we started with £1000 and we have £3741 now,we just got to ride out the storm!!!
this week again we had liverpool in our selection and personally i have absolute no confidence in them scoring at all,but if you go back and check the scores in the last 10 years between newcastle and liverpool you will see goals galore,so what do you do?
next week we have one selection and thank:censored: its not liverpool over 2.5 goals

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just the one bet this week
sunderland v everton under 2.5 goals @2 on bf,well have a £400 win

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ok,an anxious last 10 minutes but we held out and won £380 after deductions,so now the balance goes back up to £4121.
no bets next week,but we have 2 bets the following weekend

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2 bets then this weekend
leicester v sunderland under 2.5 @1.96
stoke v burnley under 2.5 @1.9
£400 win on each

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one winner and one loser on here this week.
we made a loss of £35 which takes the bank down to £4086.
we have 2 bets next week

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2 selections this weekend
man u v hull over 2.5 goals @1.67
sunderland v chelsea over 2.5 goals @1.9
£400 win on each

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one winner,one loser costs us £145 this week.
the bank now stands at £3941.
there are no midweek selections this week,if there are any weekend selections i will post by friday evening

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just the one bet this week,playing on monday evening
southampton v man utd over 2.5 goals @2.02,£400 win

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a nice winner last night wins the bank £387,that pushes the balance up to £4328.
we have 2 bets on saturday

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2 bets this week
west brom v aston villa over 2.5 goals @ 2.42
leicester v man city over 2.5 goals @ 1.56
£400 win on both

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not a good day today,our 2 selections not even threatened to get the 3 goals needed.we lost £800,our balance is now £3528.
2 selections next weekend

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2 selections today
aston villa v man utd over 2.5 goals @ 2.04
tottenham v burnley over 2.5 goals @ 1.77
£400 win on each

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one up and one down today.we lost £107 in the process.
the bank stands at £3421
3 selections boxing day and 5 selections on 28th dec

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3 selections today
everton v stoke under 2.5 goals @ 1.84
c palace v southampton under 2.5 goals @ 1.67
leicester v spurs over 2.5 goals @ 1.9
£400 win on each

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2 out of 3 today for a profit of £261.
our balance is now £3682
we have 5 selections on the 28th

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5 for sunday
southampton v chelsea over 2.5 @2.18
aston villa v sunderland under 2.5 @ 1.65
man city v burnley over 2.5 @ 1.56
west ham v arsenal over 2.5 @ 1.75
newcastle v everton over 2.5 @ 2.04
£400 win on each

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4 out of 5 is nice,but i got to say the chelsea score really ::swear me off.That cost this betting bank £800.
we won £728 today but the chelsea result would have put us in a great position for the new year.
our balance is now £4410.
there are no selections on new years day,so i'll post the next set of bets in the new year

happy new year to all

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2 bets this weekend
Burnley v QPR under 2.5 goals @1.83
Man U v Southampton over 2.5 goals @ 2.04
£400 win on each

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2 bad results this weekend loses us £800 out of the bank,we drop back to £3610.
at this point of the season i got to say its been a frustrating few months with our balance going up and down like a yoyo,the resemblence between this season and the last is like chalk and cheese.
this time last season we just couldnt go wrong,i really thought i found something that could literally make me thousands,but now at this point in time its a warning that gambling is full of highs and lows and you have got to accept it. nothing can be taken for granted when we gamble.
we have 2 selections next week i just hope that we can get a steady run together to make this season feel worthwhile for all the work that i have put into it

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2 selections this weekend
burnley v crystal palace under 2.5 goals @1.69
swansea v chelsea under 2.5 goals @1.9
£400 win on both

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dew dew dew i can pick them!!!!
7 of the last 8 fixtures swansea v chelsea have been under 2.5 goals,4 of the last 5 at swansea have been under 2.5 goals. what do we get,5 goals:yikes:
6 of the last 8 fixtures between burnley and crystal palace have been under 2.5 goals,4 of the last 5 also have been under 2.5 goals.what do we get,5 goals :yikes:
this is typically what i base my bets on,luckily for me i do a portfolio of bets between the prem,the lower league divisions and europe, and the other bets got me out of the brown smelly stuff this weekend.
so another £800 lost from the bank again and we are back down to £2810,roughly where we were at the start of the season.
the next bet on here is on the 1st of february

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on for today
arsenal v aston villa,over 2.5 @1.73 £400 win
take cover,aston villa are not going to score,can arsenal score 3?

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a profit of £277 on our sel stops the rot(for the mean time),and puts the balance back up to £3087.
we have 1 selection next sunday

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1 selection today,its over 2.5 goals
newcastle v stoke @ 2.26
we'll carry on with the £400 win.

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a loser today and the bank slips to £2687

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2 for today
chelsea v burnley over 2.5 @ 1.61
sunderland v west brom over 2.5 @ 2.56
£400 win on each

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another mare of a weekend sees the bank lose another £800.
The bank has just plummeted from an all time high of over £5k down to the balance that we got now of £1887.
i have decided to pull the plug on this and my european market threads.
i cant complain as both markets are still in profit,but this current season is just not working out.
if anyone is putting money on these selections,i appologise but i am now working on new markets.
good luck to everyone

[Win2Win]

You may want to go through all of the past results and see if a different staking plan shows different results. The fact you are still in profit is a positive. :thumbs