Spranger Selections

[Spranger]

Hi All
Just back off holiday so I'm not up to speed yet.
Spent a couple of hours looking at the 4.50 at Hamilton then an hour reading the form but feel my mind is still in Turkey laying around The Blue Lagoon listening to chill music.
I will wake up soon to the day to day reality of grinding out selections :confused:
Anyway
Bank £100
£2 win Pixie Cut (a little unlucky in running LTO so should be a better showing today)
£1 win A Southside Boy (does well here)
The fav Saved By The Bell is lightly raced and more to come but will watch today and back my 2 (stiffer track today)
Bank £97

Might get chance to do the 5.15 Hamilton
Good luck to all having a bet today

[Spranger]

5.25 Hamilton
Zanouska
Bank £97
£2 win
Bank £95
took a price of 7/2 bog

[Spranger]

BRAMSHILL LASS*7.15 Kempton
£2 win
7/1 BOG

[Spranger]

Good Morning
Target meeting Bath
Target race 4.30 Bath
Dist 1m3f144y
Going
Good to Soft, Soft in places
(GoingStick: 6.4 on Thursday at 06:30)
Weather Forecast: Mist and Low Cloud Am
Turning brighter into afternoon with possible sharp showers.
Max temps 15C
I was hoping that the weather would have turned better on my return from holiday but :ermmm

[Spranger]

Bath
Left handed
Galloping
Highest altitude racecourse
Run in has steady climb to finish
4.30 distance add 10 yards(due to rails being moved)
No Bet :mad:

[Spranger]

Good Morning
Target races
3.30 Brighton
Left handed, sharp. Look for jocks with experience of track. Be careful as some jocks may switch to stand side last 3f. Inexperienced horses may get unbalanced.
3.50 Newcastle
Left handed, galloping. Horses must get distance well as steady climb to line in straight.
8.45 Catterick
Left handed, sharp. Course form important.
9.05 Haydock
Left handed, flat. Careful jocks may switch to stand side when the ground is testing.

[Spranger]

3.30 Brighton
OPERA FAN
TEARS OF THE SUN
My 2 on ratings ( in order ) but race looks confusing so No Bet

[Spranger]

3.50 Newcastle

£2 winMOIDORE
Ground will suit
£2 win ARR´ KID*b
Good run LTO
Ratings no particular order

[TheGoodGuy]

Hi Spranger
I'm following this thread with interest.
I notice that you sometimes pick 2 horses in the same race.
Do you ever consider dutching them (if the odds are right) rather than the same stake on each?

:thumbs

[Spranger]

Good Afternoon Ada
Thankyou for your interest. For the purposes of the forum I keep it simple. I sometimes will alter the bets for my own purpose but mainly I will go on instinct and experience. I will also look at late money as this IMO is the strong money.
I actually bet the two In the 3.30 but to reduced stakes but levelled them at BOG and got the 12/1.
All the best
Paul

[Spranger]

Just a note to explain why I had a bet in the 3.30 after I said no bet.
I was running late due to my Excel spreadsheet corrupting my data so had to pop my formula onto a new spreadsheet. This was a bit of a headache to say the least. Anyway I was rushing in the finish and hadn't taken note of any changes to horses over the winter. The fav Jelly Fish had been gelded and was wearing a hood which I didnt know about until 5 mins before the off. This made me think that the horse might just be a problem horse. so I ruled it out. It was too late to mention this but it did give me the confidence to have a half bet.

[Spranger]

CATTERICK BRIDGE - Flat
Going Soft
(GoingStick: 6.5 on Friday at 14:00)

Stalls All races - Inside

Weather; Dry overnight , 21mm rain Wednesday
Forecast: Friday - Dry with some sunny spells

HAYDOCK PARK - Flat (Updated:30/05/2014 at 07:26:48)
Going
Soft, Good to Soft in Places
(GoingStick: 7.3 on Friday at 07:00)
Rails
All races will run on the Inner Home Straight.
Weather
3mm of rain on Thursday before racing, and dry overnight.
Dry forecast.

[Spranger]

Target Meeting Newmarket
Taget race 5.15
Course;
July Course
galloping in character and favours big, long-striding sorts
Horses need to have a willingness and be able to see out the trip very well.
Going;
Weather
Dry on Friday and overnight.
Saturday; Largely dry, sunny spells and warm.
Going
Good to Soft
(GoingStick: 6.3 on Saturday at 07:30)

[Spranger]

Dont know what happened to last nights selections but hey ho

[Win2Win]

Still running like some of mine :anerikke:

[Spranger]

Good morning/afternoon Keith
Still finding my way round this site but looks an ok place to chill.

5.15 Newmarket
Gone in early on POYLE THOMAS and will have another look at the race later.
I am aware that this is a speculative bet and I don't know how fit the horse is! Jim Crowley is at Haydock and Richard Kingscote rides.
The horse is entered on 28Jun14 3:50 (Early closer) at Newcastle, John Smith's Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) which suggests than a distance campaign is to follow. It will need to win this race in order to get in that race so Im hopeful of a good run.
Good luck to all who are putting down their cash today.

[Spranger]

Poyle thomas 8/1 bog

[Spranger]

Good Morning
Lovely morning here in East Yorkshire. Off to do my Mother in laws garden today and got to go shopping on Monday so next bet selections on Tuesday or later in the week. Hope everyone has a good weekend.
I will try to update the selection P/L over the next 2 days as everything I do and say looks a bit untidy at the moment.
All the best
Paul

[Win2Win]

Nice day here up in the Welsh mountains as well. Bloody rain forecast for the rest of the week, so it must be getting near summer! :doh1: :voodoo:

[Spranger]

Pixie Cut* Lost £2
A Southside Boy Lost £1

Zanouska won 9/2 £2 11

BRAMSHILL LASS 7.15 Kempton Lost £2

OPERA FAN no bet
TEARS OF THE SUN no bet


MOIDORE won 9/2 £2 11

ARR´ KID lost £2

POYLE THOMAS won 8/1 £2 18

Stakes £13 40

Bets 7
won 3
profit 27

[Spranger]

Target races 03/06/2014

5:30 Ripon

5:55 Yarmouth

[Spranger]

5.55 Yarmouth 1m3f 101yds ,narrow, left-handed, oval track, run-in of five furlongs, flat, with sharpish bends.
Going; Good to Firm; (GoingStick: 7.4 on Tuesday at 07:00)
Weather; Dry overnight, presently overcast due to brighten up ;sunny spells. Chance of a shower
this afternoon.



17:30 Ripon, 1m4f 10yds, right-handed, oval, run-in of five furlongs, tight bends, sharp in essence

Going;Good, Good to Soft in Places;GoingStick: 7.6 on Tuesday at 05:45
Rails;Rail on innermost position, no extra yards added

Weather;2.4mm of rain overnight
cloudy and occasional heavy showers
The course has been undergone soil relief (a large machine is usually used to put small holes in the soil. The ground is then less compacted and safer for the horses)

Nb
If Ada or Keith are reading; I was going to put the source of my info on but wasn't quite sure as to what was allowed and when I started to read the advertising bits one of the pages said unavailable. All the info I put on is freely available on the web and nothing to do with me other than getting it for nowt :biggrin:
Paul

[Spranger]

Still mulling over the 5.30 Ripon and my eyes keep going to Triple Eight but the case is weak and speculative. This one has won over 10F at Ripon and only run over 12F once at Wolves (13F once). If I discard the last two runs on soft ground on turf then we come back to the run at York over 10F good were it finished 8th beaten 5 1/4 lengths. This one has been running in reasonable races on turf. It might be that it doesn't stay 12F properly. Amazing Blue Sky could lead but there is no natural front runner that I can see. If it turns into a crawl then maybe a non stayer could win this race.
Save by the Bell is a winner LTO and is only lightly raced. That recent win came at Hamilton which is a lot stiffer test than this and with no real lead I would be worried. On saying that this horse could be the improver and might not be stopped????
It's very unsatisfactory at the moment and confusing.
Although there can be no bet worth £2 of my profits I'm going to nevertheless think about a small non account speculative wager at 16/1 on Triple Eight.
Well onto the next race
Good luck to those parting with their hard earned cash today
Paul

[Spranger]

boy this is bad.
Anyway
£2 double
Saved by the bell 5.30 RIP 0.61 BOG
Highlife Dancer 5.55 Yarm 1/1

£1 bet on Triple Eight 16/1 BOG(changed my mind half bet)

[Spranger]

Good Morning
Target races 4.00 and 5.00 Hamilton
2.10 Lingfield
5.40 and 7.55 Kempton
4.20 Southwell
Best regards
Paul

[Spranger]

2.10 Lingfield

NO BET

FAIR COMMENT was interesting after last run but no clear case could be made. LTO got knocked back through field then ran on steadily.
Fav HALLING´S WISH lightly raced and could improve further on flat.
Nothing clear cut though for me.

[Spranger]

4.00 Hamilton
No Bet

WAR LORD
Had a run out 75 days ago over hurdles Ran reasonable race at Beverley, not sure about extra dist on flat but chance.
CALL OF DUTY*b
Kept on over 10F G/S at Ayr but seems to prefer G/F

[Spranger]

Good Afternoon
DONCASTER - Flat
Going
Good to Soft, Good in Places
(GoingStick: 7.1 on Saturday at 07:00)
Weather
Friday 6th June Dry overnight
Forecast Saturday heavy showers expected
Rails
The round course is railed out from 1m2f to where the round joins
the straight adding about 18 yards to races 1m2f and over.

Target Race 3.10

[Spranger]

3.10 Doncaster
One Pursuit looks the one to beat, Linguine looks like the natural leader and on this flat track might give them a scare. Innsbruck is the most interesting and is unexposed, this one has got to be a big danger and might be better suited by this galloping track rather than its last run at Chester.

Because of the last mentioned I have decided this race is a NO BET

[Spranger]

Good Morniing
Target Race
7:25 » Lingfield (AW); TUESDAY, 10 JUNE 2014
Course
Going AWT Standard
Sharp. Stamina is rarely at a premium and strong-travelling types with a turn of foot are often favoured. Mainly flat, then rising to the summit of a slight hill after which there is a downhill turn to the straight. Lingfield replaced Polytrack in October 2012.

"I am a great believer in luck, and I find the harder I work, the more I have of it."
Thomas Jefferson

[Spranger]

7:25 » Lingfield (AW)
TUESDAY, 10 JUNE 2014
Initial thoughts are that there are 3 horses who have led before but they have done so at a steady pace. It could be that there will be just enough of a gallop to make it a true test of stamina.
The Favourite AIYANA looks to be going places and her latest run was at Southwell in April over 14F was here first run for 5 months so she can be forgiven that and may come on quite a bit. Prior to that she ran 3 good races in a row. The race at Wolves was a 0-75 and she only went down by ¾ length to Flemish School 7/2J who went on to better things. The third in that race Caterina De Medici also went on to win NTO though it was a maiden.
The second fav SIR FRANK MORGAN ran a stinker LTO but that was on soft, I don’t know if there was something amiss but I would have expected better especially after a good 2nd to Hallstatt (IRE) 6/1 over 16f G/F at Notts. Mark Johnston has not said anything about the last run but if it was the ground then the run prior to that was reasonable although Hallstatt only went up 3lb and SIR FRANK MORGAN 1lb so I guess the handicapper didn’t think a lot to the race.
MUNSARIM b has won 5 times at the track albeit over lesser distances. He has been running on and keeping on just recently so it may be worth trying this new trip.
MONTJESS p hasn’t been seeing out her recent races but the race at Wolves in November against Layline gives hope.
The profile of Poitin looks more interesting than most but the run against Hallstatt and SIR FRANK MORGAN confuses me a little especially as it was LTO.
After consideration I will risk a £2 win on AIYANA 2/1 BOG and hope I’m correct in the assumption that she will strip a lot fitter this time. One I haven’t mentioned is First Warning 11/1 BOG and although this one carry’s the top weight I think it is worth a saver £1 win. Might be that the latter is a classier type than these.
All the best
Paul (if I have made any errors in my race reading notes please feel free to let me know)

[Spranger]

Good Morning
Target race 4:40 Haydock
Going; Soft
(GoingStick: 7.4 on Wednesday at 07:00)

Rails
All races will run on the Inner Home Straight.
Race distances:
1m 3f 198yds (please note slight difference to Racing Post in yardage)
Weather
17mm of rain in two cloudbursts overnight. Forecast dry and
bright.
Track type
Left handed, flat, about thirteen furlongs round, with a run-in of four and a half furlongs which rises throughout. Interesting to note that some think it wise to be placed well turning for home. This could be because of the slight rise in the home straight stops hold up horses making ground quickly enough?

[Spranger]

Race cutting up badly. 4 non runners ???

[Spranger]

JAZZ MASTER b kept on under pressure final furlong against Arab Spring 10F. Stayed on from over 1f out to take 2nd near finish against MAGIC HURRICANE 11F. The slower conditions and the slight increase in trip may suite this one. At the price I’m willing to go in early. Fingers crossed no more withdrawals.
Jazz Master £2 win 13/2 BOG

[Spranger]

Forgot to mention blinkers now after being left off last 2 races

[Spranger]

Good Afternoon,
Target Race 5pm Ascot

[Spranger]

LIEUTENANT MILLER £2 Bog 8/1
RAY WARD £2 Bog 12/1
BROCKWELL*p£2 Bog 12/1

Just finished decorating so bit of spare time. Rating only no form study of note.
But have a go at this good race. :waver

All the best ... Paul

[Spranger]

Good afternoon
2.30 Ascot
APPLEBERRY
BOND´S GIRL
PATIENCE ALEXANDER

3:45 Ascot
DYLAN MOUTH
SNOW SKY

All the best
Paul
Quote ""The time to repair the roof is when the sun is shining." --"Annual Message to the Congress on the State of the Union (7)," January 11, 1962, Public Papers of the Presidents: John F. Kennedy, 1962

[Spranger]

Good Morning
If Marco Botti can get DANDINO fit enough first time out it should run a big race. EKTIHAAM h1 might with the aid of the hood be settled rather than lead. So where’s the pace in the race????
I would like to see Dandino break well and be up there rather than be settled midfield but I’m in the lap of the gods. Sprint for the line???????
£2 win Dandino 10/1 BOG
Enjoyed watching a bit of Ascot inbetween painting lounge ;fire

[Spranger]

£2 double
Saved by the bell 5.30 RIP 0.61 BOG -2
Highlife Dancer 5.55 Yarm 1/1

£1 bet on Triple Eight 16/1 BOG(changed my mind half bet) -1

£2 win on AIYANA 2/1 BOG -2

First Warning*11/1 BOG -1

Jazz Master £2 win 13/2 BOG -2

LIEUTENANT MILLER £2 Bog 8/1 -2
RAY WARD £2 Bog 12/1 -2
BROCKWELL*p£2 Bog 12/1 -2

2.30 Ascot*
APPLEBERRY -2
BOND´S GIRL -2
PATIENCE ALEXANDER -2

3:45 Ascot
DYLAN MOUTH -2
SNOW SKY -2

£2 win Dandino 10/1 BOG -2

-26

[Spranger]

Bets 7
won 3
profit 27
Bets 14
won nil
-26
Total21 Bets
27-26=1

Overall
+1 :doh1:

[Spranger]

LITTLE BUXTED h1
8.35 Lingfield

Has a chance, hope it stays trip
£2 win BOG 13/2

[Spranger]

Amazing, 3 turf meetings all with uphill finishes.
Best quick check guide I have come accross is http://www.flatstats.co.uk/racecourses.html

Have a good day
Paul
Quote
Deadlines refine the mind. They remove variables like exotic materials and processes that take too long. The closer the deadline, the more likely you'll start thinking waaay outside the box.
Adam Savage

[Spranger]

MIAPLACIDUS 5.15 Carlisle
£2 win
Winner please :REGamblMo

[Spranger]

Brighton. Track has similarity to Epsom. Just watched the flyover of the racecourse on YouTube. Sometimes racing can’t show the full contours of the track like this flyover. The camber looks awful and I wouldn’t want to back an inexperienced horse at this venue (although it would teach such horses a lot).
Now that the form has settled down and the going too I feel it’s time to come back.Had a bit of a bad run on here but hey ho that’s racing. Been scratching my head a bit but happier now.
As I feel its time to look at the sprinters I will take a pull on bets but will put a few up and just see how the go for the moment.

2.30 Jonny Splash
2.30 Royal Caper

3.00 Handwoven
3.00 Stoneham ( could be a speed duel with my two ????)but would take Handwoven to see it out better.

All the best to those who are putting down their cash
Paul

[Spranger]

2.40 Perth
Humphrey Bee49*p...............22.00 13.00 6.00 41.00
Dotties Dilema118*t............. 21.90 24.00 3.00 48.90
Lady Fingers1......................23.00 18.00 3.00 44.00
Pumped Up Kicks60..............14.00 19.00 4.00 37.00
Stitched In Time20*p*.........21.00 14.00 2.00 37.00
Another Dimension55*..........14.00 14.00 1.00 29.00
Attycran18*p.....................17.00 13.00 4.00 34.00
Merry Minster10..................16.00 14.00 5.00 35.00
Topo Gigio74P.....................17.00 16.00 3.00 36.00
Discoverie18*p....................20.00 20.00 2.00 42.00
Row 1 Rating A
Row 2 Rating B
Row 3 Rating C
Row 4 Totals
Hi , just want to see how this comes out. So plese take no notice :spinning

[Spranger]

2.20 Haydock

Tenhoo314*................ 41
Poor Duke5 ................27
Steelriver19 ................32
Evervescent19*...........41
Watersmeet12.............43
All Reddy26 ................29
Ferryview Place17*p......27
Idarose281..................26
Rockie Road16.............36

[Spranger]

Sandown 2pm
5 Furlong sprint track steady uphill climb.
Going
Round Course - Good to Firm
Sprint Course - Good, Good to Firm in places
(GoingStick: Round Course 8.6 Sprint Course 8.4 on Friday at
09:30)

[Spranger]

41 Goldream34 p
38 Judge ´n Jury27 t
40 New Fforest13
25 Ajjaadd42
37 Normal Equilibrium27 p
37 Taajub27
33 Milly´s Gift34
44 Lady Gibraltar27
35 Doctor Parkes6
36 Extrasolar19 t
37 Fine ´n Dandy20 t
37 Apricot Sky18
27 Trader Jack6
50 Tagula Night20 tb
31 Storm Trooper266
0 Sir Pedro7 h
Highest rating = best chance
Ratings on left hand side

Tagula Night upped in class but good draw
Golddream 6 F winner
New Forrest chance (IMO)
Lady Gibralter fine chance but hasnt won on a stiff track
For me Lady Gibralter has a chance. Fallon on board. Should be able to lay up with pace. 2 wins on G/F. 2 races this year so match fit.
£2 win Lady Gibralter

[Spranger]

1.30 Sandown

35 Mawfoor16*h1
39 Whaleweigh Station21
56 Captain Bob21*
42 Royal Seal14*h1*
46 Reedcutter21*
41 Extremity30*
0.00 Skaters Waltz14*
34 Mutawathea91
ratings on left

I have backed Reedcutter and Extremity but can,t put them up as a confident bet.

[Spranger]

Morning all
Spent a couple of weeks looking at proform professional. Its seem ok so thinking about purchasing after I have viewed all the 32 module training course. Some of the angles are the same as what i have been using but there's is a million times faster than me.
Does anyone use Proform and if so how do they find it?
Paul

[Spranger]

Good afternoon
Good luck to Ricky Fowler got my money on you :laughitupsmilie::laughitupsmilie:
Caspian Prince (IRE) 4.45 c
Biscuiteer 3.10 red
El Toreros (USA) 4.00st
Capisci (IRE) 4.50
Hallings Comet 3.50 n.a
Lord Lescribaa 2.50 n.a
Have a good day
Paul