View Full Version : european 2.5 goal market challenge
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17th October 2014, 20:33
18/10/14 bayern munich v werder bremen over 2.5 @1.32 germany
18/10/14 hannover v bor mgladbach over 2.5 @1.87 germany
18/10/14 SC FREIBURG v VfL WOLFSBURG over 2.5 @1.89 germany
18/10/14 fc shalke v hertha berlin under 2.5 @2.2 germany
18/10/14 roma v chevio under 2.5 @ 2.2 italy
19/10/14 villareal v almeria under 2.5 @2.24 spain
19/10/14 torino v udinese under 2.5 @1.67 italy
£1000 to start and we got enough for 10 bets of £100.
we bet £100 on each selection until we hit our target of 12 bets of £120(£1440).
i think that with more selections in this thread as opposed to my prem thread we need to build it up until we got 25 bets in our betting bank.(that could take a year or two)
so to the start of this thread its £100 win on each
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19th October 2014, 22:16
not too bad a start to this thread with Roma costing us a full house,but i'll take 6 out of 7 every week.
balance after the first set is £1393
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24th October 2014, 14:27
25/10/14 BORUSSIA DORTMUND v HANNOVER 96 over 2.5 @1.48 germany
25/10/14 EINTRACHT FRANKFURT v VfB STUTTGART over 2.5 @1.7 germany
25/10/14 BAYER LEVERKUSEN v FC SCHALKE 04 under 2.5 @2.64 germany
25/10/14 REAL MADRID v BARCELONA over 2.5 @1.56 spain
26/10/14 MALAGA v RAYO VALLECANO over 2.5 @2.04 spain
26/10/14 SEVILLA v VILLARREAL over 2.5 @1.85 spain
well have £100 win on each
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26th October 2014, 21:48
5 out of 6 this week wins us £355.I got to say that i never expected the sevilla vs villareal to be over 2.5 goals considering the 1st goal never got scored until the 80th minute,but there you go.
the balance now is £1748 and has passed out first target of £1440.we now bet £120 per selection until we reach our target of 14 bets of £140(£1960).
unbelievably i spent about an hour this morning checking next weeks fixtures in germany, italy and spain.there are about 25 or so games next weekend and nothing matches my system,so no bets next week
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7th November 2014, 21:03
bets are a bit thin on the ground lately with only one bet this week,but here goes
hoffenheim v fc koln under 2.5 goals @2.1 well have £120 win
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8th November 2014, 17:31
no sweat then today,we got blitzed in the first half!!!
we lost £120 today and the bank slips back to £1628.
hopefully well have more selections next week and a bit of profit
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16th November 2014, 11:03
international weekend,so there is no top flight league games in europe this weekend.
next week we have 6 selections being played fri,sat,sun and mon.i will post them after each day has been settled, just in case our targets have been hit and we need to up our stakes.
will get fridays sel up by thursday night or when matched
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18th November 2014, 21:48
first of our 6 selections plays friday night
athletico bilbao v espanyol over 2.5 goals @2.54
£120 win
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21st November 2014, 22:43
nice result tonight winning £175.
that gets the bank up to £1803.
2 selections tomorrow
fc schalke v wolfsberg over 2.5 @1.81 germany
atalanta v roma over 2.5 @2.22 italy.
£120 win on each
this thread is overperforming at the moment with an 80% strike rate with average odds of 1.95,i do expect it to average out at around the 70% mark by the end of the season so hopefully there should be plenty of room for profit
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23rd November 2014, 00:13
2 winners = target reached. We now have £2048 in the betting bank,so now we have 14 bets @ £140.
2 for sunday
verona v fiorentino over 2.5 @2.06
udinese v chevio over 2.5 @2.38
we now bet £140 on each until we hit our target of 16 bets @£160(£2560)
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23rd November 2014, 17:39
a winner and a loser today wins us £1,our balance is £2049
one bet for monday night Genoa v Palermo under 2.5 @1.68
£140 win
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24th November 2014, 22:48
1-1 after 30 minutes and thats the way it stayed,and that result wins the bank £90.
our balance is now £2131.
we have 4 selections next weekend one friday,one saturday,and two sunday
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27th November 2014, 19:44
the first of our 4 bets is friday in germany.
freiburg v stuttgart over 2.5 goals £140 win @1.9
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28th November 2014, 22:16
we had a winner tonight for a profit of £120.
we now have £2251 in the bank.
one bet for tomorrow,Hertha Berlin v B Munich,over 2.5 goals @1.49,£140 win
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30th November 2014, 13:34
our selection lost yesterday,so now the bank drops to £2111
2 selections today palermo v parma over 2.5 goals @ 2.16
juventus v torino under 2.5 goals @2.06
£140 win on each
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30th November 2014, 19:58
i'm not happy to say the very least!!!!
juventus scored with 92 minutes and 57 seconds on the clock with 3 minutes added time to play,so we had a winner and a loser today.
we won £14 on the day and puts the balance up to £2125
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6th December 2014, 10:20
3 bets for this weekend,1 of them has no value,sorry for that
06/12 stuttgart v schalke over 2.5 @1.76
06/12 real madrid v celta vigo over 2.5 @1.24:laugh
07/12 genoa v ac milan under 2.5 @ 1.85
£140 win on each
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7th December 2014, 17:15
3 out of 3 this week wins us £246.
that pushes the balance up to £2371.
the strike rate on this thread is running at 78% with average odds of 1.92,also i'd like to add there is an average of £50 profit per bet,so its looking very good for the rest of the season.
3 selections next weekend
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13th December 2014, 19:37
3 selections sunday,will update around noon on sunday due to large gaps between the back and lay on betfair
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13th December 2014, 20:23
sorry all 1 bet saturday night 2 bets sunday
lazio v atlanta under 2.5 goals @1.81
£140 win
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14th December 2014, 11:53
2 bets sunday
udinese v verona over 2.5 goals @1.86
genoa v roma over 2.5 goals @2.2
£140 win on each
will update balances later
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14th December 2014, 17:31
A very poor week on both challenges this week.we had one out of 3 on this thread losing £166.our balance now falls to £2205.
we have a busy week ahead with 7 selections,one wed,one fri,one sat and 4 sunday
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16th December 2014, 21:46
one bet wed
hoffenheim v bayer leverkusen over 2.5 goals @ 1.68
£140 win
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17th December 2014, 22:52
another poor result tonight,it just aint happening at the moment.
we lost another £140 tonight and the balance is down to £2065
1 bet friday evening fc mainz v bayern munich over 2.5 goals @1.61
same stake, £140 win
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20th December 2014, 10:52
a winner in the last few minutes last night wins £81
one selection today schalke v hamberg over 2.5 goals @1.89 £140 win
the balance is now £2147
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20th December 2014, 22:51
not a sniff with todays selection,we lost £140 and the bank is down to £2007
4 selections sunday all at tasty odds
villareal v deportivo under 2.5 goals @ 2.38
ath bilbao v ath madrid over 2.5 goals @ 2.64
inter v lazio over 2.5 goals @ 2.1
frieburg v hannover over 2.5 goals @ 1.98
£140 win on each
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21st December 2014, 22:48
3 out of 4 today gets us back in profit for the week,got to say though after the first game and the first 80 minutes of the second game i was starting to doubt myself but we pulled through with 3 winners with a profit of £354.76.
our balance is now £2361
our strike rate is now 70%.
no selections now until the new year
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30th December 2014, 15:07
due to the German Bundesliga not starting back until the last week of january,we only have 6 selection in the whole of january.its not much but it is what it is,hopefully we can get back up to 6-8 bets per week again in february.
next bets on here is 1 selection on each of the dates 4th,5th, and 6th of jan
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4th January 2015, 19:02
1 selection this evening real socidad v barcelona over 2.5 goals @1.56,£140 win
the price is a bit skinny on this,personally i will be waiting for 5-10 minutes and hopefully get 1.7-1.8
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5th January 2015, 00:13
it never happened tonight,we had a cracking start with a goal right at the start but sociedad defended well and kept them out.
our bal is now £2221
one selection monday night lazio v sampdoria under 2.5 goals @1.81.£140 win
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6th January 2015, 00:06
another poor night and another £140 lost to the layers,hopefully we can get back onto winning ways tuesday night, we have genoa v atalanta under 2.5 goals @1.7 £140 win again
our balance is now £2081,still doubled from the start
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6th January 2015, 20:18
yet another downer and another £140 lost,hopefully things will turn around soon.
balance is now £1941,our next sel is 18th jan
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16th January 2015, 23:26
one bet this weekend
getafe v real madrid over 2.5 goals @1.56 £140 win
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18th January 2015, 16:12
we hit our bet on here this week,we won £74 and put our balance up to £2015
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25th January 2015, 21:25
one bet this week on monday evening
empoli v udinese under 2.5 goals £140 win @1.73
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31st January 2015, 12:15
another shocker on monday night as our bismark of a killer goal was a cross and it beat the keeper.
our balance is now £1875
we have a good value one going for us today, hamberg v fc koln over 2.5 goals £140 win @ 2.56
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2nd February 2015, 22:00
not a confident time at the moment with our selection going down again our balance is now £1735.
we have 2 selections on tuesday evening in the german league.this has been the best league over this season.
borrusia mgladbach v frieburg under 2.5 goals @ 2.26 £140 win
eintract frankfurt v wolsfburg over 2.5 goals @1.8 £140 win(bet in running)
the eintract frankfurt v wolfsburg is currently 1.5 or thereabout but we want 1.8,put a request in for 1.8 click on view open bets and where it says "at in play" click on keep and update.
we now have an inplay bet where the odds are continuously drifting until a goal is scored,if it does not get matched we get our stake returned.
i hope i havnt over complicated things here but its a way of getting our bet on and getting better odds,because betting on these markets at silly low odds cannot be profitible over a period of time
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3rd February 2015, 22:15
one up and one down wins us £27,we now have £1903 in the kitty.
one bet for wednesday night and its going to be an in running bet again, if it dont get matched then there is no bet
the game involved is hoffenheim v werder bremmen its currently 1.46 but we want 1.8,so request 1.8 and update bet again and where it says at in play click on keep.
we'll have £140 win over 2.5 goals @1.8 no match no bet
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4th February 2015, 21:23
no bet tonight as the markets never hit 1.8 in running,so we get our stake back,a case of nothing ventured,nothing gained.
be back with 3 selections on weekend
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8th February 2015, 10:36
2 selections today,and they are both over 2.5 goals
cagliari v roma @2.14
espanyol v valencia @ 2.24
£140 win on both
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8th February 2015, 21:41
4 late goals nets us £316 today
the balance is now £2219
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14th February 2015, 11:21
ok we got 5 games his weekend,not necessarily 5 bets though as 2 are ridiculously low odds
b.leverkusen v wolfsberg over 2.5 @1.78
bayern munich v hamberg over 2.5 goals @1.75 (no match no bet)
real madrid v deportivo over 2.5 goals @1.75 (no match no bet)
the munich and madrid odds are 1.38 and 1.26 respectively but they are unbackable at those odds so its a case of "let it run".
if it gets matched we got a bet and if it dont there is no harm done
£140 win on each
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14th February 2015, 20:18
one up,one down and one not matched costs the bank £36. our balance is now £2183.
2 bets for sunday,again one is ridiculously low.
valencia v getafe over 2.5 goals @1.98
barcelona v levante over 2.5 goals @ 1.80
the barcelona game is an "in running bet". if it dont get matched then there is no bet
£140 win on each
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